Phoenix Suns vs San Antonio Spurs NBA Betting Prediction

NBA Phoenix Suns vs San Antonio Spurs Prediction 3/25/2024

The Phoenix Suns (42-29) travel to face off against the San Antonio Spurs (15-56) on Monday, March 25th. This game will be played at Frost Bank Center in San Antonio and televised on BSSW. The Suns are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Spurs are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Spurs. Tip-off is set for 8:00 ET.

Suns vs Spurs

phoenix suns nba

The Suns Are Coming Off A Win

The Suns clinched a 131-106 win over the Spurs in their previous game. Suns’ victory in this game wasn’t just a straight-up win; they also covered the spread as -10.5-point favorites. The over/under line heading into this matchup was 231.5 points in which the two teams surpassed.

In their last five games, the Suns are 4-1 and have an overall record of 42-29. As of now, they are in 6th place in the Western Conference and hold the 2nd spot in the Pacific division.

Phoenix comes in with an overall ATS record of 29-41 so far this season. In their two most recent home games, Phoenix has covered the spread and they are 14-22 ATS at home compared to 15-19 on the road.

The Spurs Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

The Spurs’ most recent matchup against the Suns saw Keldon Johnson lead the Spurs with 14 points while shooting 5/11 from the field. While Victor Wembanyama was 2nd on the team with 13 points, San Antonio fell short in the game with a final score of 131-106.

As they prepare to take on the Suns, the Spurs come in with a 15-56 overall record and are looking to snap a three game losing streak. On the road, the Spurs are 7-29 this season compared to their 8-27 record at home.

San Antonio arrives with an ATS record of 35-36 for the season up to this point. During this season, San Antonio has a 5-2 record against the spread as favorites and 30-34 as underdogs.

Suns Offense Breakdown

The Suns come into today’s game as one of the better scoring teams in the NBA at 117.3 points per game (10th).

The Suns are one of the top offensive teams in the league, ranking 10th in scoring at 117.3 points per game. On the road, they are averaging 117.4 points per game, which is 7th in the NBA.

When it comes to shooting, Phoenix is 4th in field goal percentage at 49%. They are also 3rd in true shooting percentage. In terms of three-point shooting, the Suns are 6th in three-point percentage at 38% but are just 20th in made threes per game.

So far this season, the Suns have outscored the NBA scoring average in 57.7% of their games. They have also outscored their own scoring average in their last two games.

Spurs Offense Breakdown

san antonio spurs

The Spurs come into today’s game as the 22nd ranked scoring offense at 112 points per game.

This season, the Spurs have been one of the most efficient offenses in the NBA, ranking 3rd in pace at 101.1 possessions per game. However, their overall scoring numbers are below the league average, averaging 112 points per game (22nd). At home, they are averaging 113.3 points per game.

When it comes to shooting, the Spurs are 24th in field goal percentage at 46%. They are also one of the worst three-point shooting teams in the league, hitting just 34% of their attempts (30th). In terms of free throws, they are 29th in attempts (20.1) and 25th in made free throws (15.7).

So far, the Spurs have outscored the NBA scoring average in 45.1% of their games. In terms of assists, they are 2nd in the league with an average of 29.6 per game. In terms of offensive rebounding, they are 17th in the NBA.

Suns Team Defense

On defense, the Suns come into the game ranked 16th in the league in points allowed at 114.3 per game. Over their last three games, the team is allowing 107.7 points per contest (26th). On two point field goal attempts, the Suns’ defensive unit is allowing a field goal percentage of 53.2% and allowing 36.4% from beyond the arc.

Spurs Team Defense

Looking at the Spurs defense, they will be looking for a better performance considering they are currently conceding 119.5 points per game (25th). When it comes to forced turnovers, the Spurs are forcing 14.5 per game, which is 28th in the league. They also come into the game sitting 3rd in blocked shots at 6.4 per game.

Key Players For The Suns And Spurs

For today’s matchup, we project Kevin Durant to lead the scoring for the Suns, putting up 28 points and shooting at a rate of 10/19. This season, he is averaging 27.5 points per game along with 6.6 boards.

On the opposing side, we anticipate Devin Vassell to be the top scorer for the Spurs. Our projection has him finishing the game with 20, and he is expected to secure 4 rebounds. This season, he is shooting at a field goal percentage of 47%, and his scoring average is 19.1 points per game.

Suns vs Spurs Trends

  • When looking at their past five road matchups, Phoenix has an ATS record of 2-3 while averaging 119 per game. The team went 3-2 overall in these games.
  • When looking at their past ten home matchups, San Antonio has an ATS record of 6-4 while averaging 112 per game. The team went 2-8 overall in these games.
  • As the betting underdog, the Spurs have an ATS mark of just 6-4 in their last ten games. San Antonio posted a straight up mark of 3-7 in these matchups.
  • As the betting favorite, the Suns have an ATS mark of just 5-5 in their last ten games. Phoenix posted a straight up mark of 8-2 in these matchups.

Suns vs Spurs Prediction

For a point-spread wager in this Suns vs. Spurs game, we suggest taking the Spurs at +12.5. Even though our predictions have the Suns winning 112-104, we see the Spurs as the better choice on the point-spread.

Regarding the over/under, the current line is set at 232.5, and our model predicts the Suns and Spurs to score a combined 216 points. We recommend betting on the under.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.