Toronto Raptors vs Oklahoma CityThunder NBA Betting Prediction

NBA Raptors vs Oklahoma City Thunder Prediction 2/4/2024

The Toronto Raptors (17-31) travel to face off against the Oklahoma City Thunder (34-15) on Sunday, February 4th. This game will be played at Paycom Center in Oklahoma City and televised on BSO. The Thunder are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Raptors are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Hornets. Tip-off is set for 7:00 ET.

Raptors vs Thunder

toronto raptors nba

The Raptors Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

The Raptors is coming off a loss to the Rockets in their latest game, ending with a score of 135-106. The Raptors turned the game around and came out on top, despite being in a trailing position at halftime with 66-47.

Coming into today’s game, the Raptors are 17-31 overall and are underdogs by +9.5 points. In the Eastern Conference, the Raptors are in 12th place and are 5th in the Atlantic division.

Toronto currently has an ATS record below .500, sitting at 23-25 at this point. Toronto has gone 7-9 against the spread this season when they are the favorites, and they are 16-16 when playing as underdogs.

The Thunder Are Coming Off A Win

In their most recent game, the Thunder took down the Hornets by a score of 126-106. the Thunder not only secured a victory straight-up but also did so while covering the spread as -15.5-point favorites. The over/under line for this matchup was set at 225.5 points, and the teams managed to exceed that total.

In their last five games, the Thunder are 3-2 and have an overall record of 34-15. When playing Western Conference teams, the Thunder are 21-11 compared to 13-4 in non-conference games.

Against the spread, Oklahoma City have an above .500 record vs. the spread sitting at 32-17 ATS. The Thunder maintain an ATS record of 15-9 on the road, while they have a 17-8 record vs. the spread when playing at home.

Raptors Offense Breakdown

The Raptors come into today’s game as the 20th ranked scoring offense at 114.3 points per game.

When it comes to scoring, the Raptors are 20th in the NBA at 114.3 points per game. Interestingly, they have actually been better on the road, averaging 116.6 points compared to 111.8 at home.

So far this season, the Raptors have outscored the NBA scoring average in 45.8% of their games. When it comes to pace, they are 14th in the league at 98.9 possessions per game.

In terms of shooting, Toronto is 11th in field goal percentage at 47%. They have been effective inside the arc, making 54% of their two-point attempts (16th).

Thunder Offense Breakdown

oklahoma city thunder

For the season, the Oklahoma City offense is the 4th ranked unit in the NBA, at 120.6 points per contest.

At home, the Thunder are averaging 122.3 points per game, which is 5th in the NBA. Overall, they are 4th in scoring at 120.6 points per game. In terms of field goal percentage, they are 2nd in the league at 50%. When it comes to three-point shooting, they are 3rd in percentage but just 14th in attempts.

So far this season, the Thunder have outscored the NBA scoring average in 67.3% of their games. In terms of pace, they are 12th in the league at 99.4 possessions per game. When it comes to two-point shooting, they are 3rd in percentage. However, they are just 29th in offensive rebounds.

Coming into the game, the Thunder are 10th in assists at 27 per game. In terms of free throws, they are 10th in makes but 18th in attempts. In their last two games, they have increased their scoring compared to their season average.

Raptors Team Defense

At this time, the Raptors’ defense is positioned 18th in the NBA, permitting 117.0 points per game. Toronto’s defense is currently forcing 12.8 turnovers per game, which is 14th in the league. Additionally, they enter the game ranked 20th in blocked shots, with an average of 4.8 rejections per game.

Thunder Team Defense

On defense, the Thunder come into the game ranked 10th in the league in points allowed at 112.5 per game. Over their last three games, the team is allowing 104.3 points per contest (7th). When it comes to defending inside the arc, the Thunder squad is permitting opposing teams to shoot at a clip of 50.9% inside the arc, and they’re also giving up 36.6% from downtown.

Key Players For The Raptors And Thunder

Our projections for today’s game indicate that RJ Barrett will be the primary scorer for the Raptors, with 19 points and going 7/15 from the field. During this season, he is delivering an average of 19.2 points per game, along with 5.2 rebounds.

On the flip side, our predictions place Shai Gilgeous-Alexander as the leading scorer for the Thunder. We expect him to conclude the game with a team-high 30 while also collecting 5 rebounds. For the season, he has a field goal percentage of 54.8% and is averaging 31.3 points per contest.

Raptors vs Thunder Trends

  • Across their last three road contests, Toronto has a 2-1 record vs the spread. Their overall mark in these games was 1-2, while averaging 116 points per game.
  • Although Oklahoma City has a straight up record of 6-4 in their last ten home games, they have not held up as well vs the spread going 5-5. The team averaged 118 points per game in these games.
  • As the betting underdog, the Raptors have an ATS mark of just 4-6 in their last ten games. Toronto posted a straight up mark of 2-8 in these matchups.
  • Going back to their last ten games as the favorite, the Thunder have a straight up record of 7-3. But, their mark vs the spread was just 5-5.

Raptors vs Thunder Prediction

For a point-spread bet in this Raptors vs. Thunder matchup, we’re leaning towards the Raptors at +9.5. Although our projections show the Thunder winning 117-114, we suggest placing your bet on the Raptors for the point-spread.

Right now, the over/under line for the game is sitting at 237 and given that our model is projecting 231 points between the teams, we like the under.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.