Rockets vs San Antonio Spurs NBA Betting Prediction

NBA Rockets vs San Antonio Spurs Prediction 3/12/2024

The Houston Rockets (29-35) travel to face off against the San Antonio Spurs (14-51) on Tuesday, March 12th. This game will be played at Frost Bank Center in San Antonio and televised on KENS. The Rockets are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Spurs are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Kings. Tip-off is set for 8:30 ET.

Rockets vs Spurs

houston rockets nba

The Rockets Are Coming Off A Win

The Rockets picked up a win over the Kings in their latest game, finishing with a score of 112-104. Heading into the game, the Rockets were the underdogs at +7 giving them both a straight-up and ATS win. Concerning the over/under, the total of 216 points remained below the established over/under line of 234.

As of today, the Rockets hold an overall record of 29-35 and have gone 2-1 in their last three games. When playing at home, the Rockets are 21-11 this season compared to their 8-24 mark on the road.

The Rockets are riding a six game ATS win streak and currently possess an overall ATS record of 35-28. Houston has covered the spread in two consecutive home games, while maintaining an ATS record of 22-10 at home as opposed to 13-18 on the road.

The Spurs Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

In their most recent matchup, the Spurs conveyed a message to the Warriors with a score of 112-102. Alonside their straight-up loss, the Spurs failed to cover the spread as +5 point underdogs. Regarding the over/under, the combined score of 214 points ended up below the over/under line of 226.5.

With their current overall record of 14-51, the Spurs are 15th in the Western Conference and are 5th in the Southwest division. In their last ten games, the team is 3-7 and they are set to face the Rockets.

So far, San Antonio is below .500 in their ATS record, currently standing at 32-33. San Antonio has covered the spread in two straight road games and are 18-18 ATS on the road compared to 14-15 at home.

Rockets Offense Breakdown

Houston has recorded an average of 113 points per game (20th) throughout 64 games games.

The Rockets are a below-average scoring team this season, averaging 113 points per game (20th). However, they have been better on the road, averaging 111 points per game compared to 115 at home.

When it comes to pace, Houston is 14th in the league at 99.3 possessions per game. In terms of field goal percentage, they are 28th overall at 45%.

So far this season, the Rockets have attempted the 10th most two-point field goals per game but are just 27th in two-point field goal percentage (52%). From beyond the arc, they are 15th in attempts but just 28th in three-point shooting percentage (34%).

Spurs Offense Breakdown

san antonio spurs

The Spurs come into today’s game as the 21st ranked scoring offense at 112.5 points per game.

At home, the Spurs are averaging 114.8 points per game this season, which is 17th in the NBA. Overall, they are 21st in scoring at 112.5 points per game. In terms of pace, San Antonio is 3rd in the league at 101.2 possessions per game.

When it comes to shooting, the Spurs are 24th in field goal percentage (46%). From beyond the arc, they are 27th in three-point shooting at 35%. In terms of free throws, San Antonio is 26th in both attempts (20 per game) and makes (15.6 per game).

So far this season, the Spurs have outscored the NBA scoring average in 47.7% of their games. In terms of assists, San Antonio is 2nd in the league at 29.8 per game.

Rockets Team Defense

Coming into the game, the Rockets defense has held opposing team’s to fewer points than the league average in 42.2% of their games. Currently, they are 11th in the NBA at 112.7 points per game allowed. When it comes to forced turnovers, the Rockets are forcing 12.4 per game, which is 11th in the league. They also come into the game sitting 25th in blocked shots at 4.5 per game.

Spurs Team Defense

Coming into the game, the Spurs’ defense is giving up an average of 120.1 points per game. So far, they have given up more points than the NBA league average in 69.2% of their games. When it comes to forced turnovers, the Spurs are forcing 14.4 per game, which is 28th in the league. They also come into the game sitting 3rd in blocked shots at 6.3 per game.

Key Players For The Rockets And Spurs

In today’s game, we anticipate Jalen Green leading the scoring for the Rockets, contributing 18 points while shooting 6/15 from the field. During this season, he is delivering an average of 18.4 points per game, along with 4.8 rebounds.

On the opposing side, we anticipate Devin Vassell to be the top scorer for the Spurs. Our projection has him finishing the game with 20, and he is expected to secure 4 rebounds. Throughout the season, he has maintained a 47% field goal shooting rate and is averaging 19.4 points per game.

Rockets vs Spurs Trends

  • In their last ten games away from home, the Rockets have a straight up record of 3-7 while going 5-5 vs. the spread. The team averaged 111 points per game in this stretch.
  • Across their last three home contests, San Antonio has a 2-1 record vs the spread. Their overall mark in these games was 1-2, while averaging 118 points per game.
  • Through their last three games as the betting underdog, the Spurs have a strong record vs the spread going 2-1. Their straight up mark in these contests is 1-2.
  • Through their last five games as the favorite, the Rockets have an ATS record of 4-1 and a straight up mark of 4-1.

Rockets vs Spurs Prediction

Our bet is on the Rockets for a win, and we project the score to be 107-102. Additionally, we expect them to cover the spread, so our recommendation is to wager on the Rockets with the spread at -3.5.

Regarding the over/under, the current line is set at 222.5, and our model predicts the Rockets and Spurs to score a combined 209 points. We recommend betting on the under.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.