Sacramento Kings vs Dallas Mavericks NBA Betting Prediction

NBA: Sacramento Kings vs Dallas Mavericks Prediction 1/27/2024

The Sacramento Kings (25-18) travel to face off against the Dallas Mavericks (25-20) on Saturday, January 27th. This game will be played at American Airlines Center in Dallas and televised on NBCS. Both team’s come into this one having won their previous games. Tip-off is set for 9:00 ET.

Kings vs Mavericks

sacramento kings nba

The Kings Are Coming Off A Win

The Kings took down the Warriors in their most recent game with a final score of 134-133. Going into the second half the Kings held the lead at 75-72.

In non-conference games, the Kings have gone 9-5 and are 16-13 against Western Conference opponents. Overall, the Kings are 25-18 coming into today’s matchup with the Mavericks.

Sacramento currently has an ATS record of 23-20, placing them above .500 against the spread. Sacramento has gone 16-17 against the spread this season when they are the favorites, and they are 7-3 when playing as underdogs.

The Mavericks Are Coming Off A Win

The Mavericks took down the Hawks in their most recent game with a final score of 148-143. The team’s were tied going into halftime, before the Mavericks outscored the Hawks 82-77 in the 2nd half.

As of today, the Mavericks have an overall record of 25-20 and are 1-2 in their last three games. In the Western Conference, the Mavericks are currently in 8th place while holding the 2nd place spot in the Southwest Division.

Dallas is currently performing above .500 against the spread with an ATS record of 24-21. The Mavericks have experienced a two game ATS loss streak as favorites, and they are 9-11 vs. the spread when they are underdogs.

Kings Offense Breakdown

Coming into today’s action, Sacramento is averaging 118.7 points per contest. This figure places them 8th in the league.

This season, the Kings are one of the most prolific three-point shooting teams in the league, averaging 15.2 made threes per game (3rd). Overall, they are 8th in scoring at 118.7 points per game.

When it comes to scoring on the road, Sacramento is averaging 116 points per game. So far, they have outscored the NBA scoring average in 67.4% of their games.

On the season, the Kings are shooting 47% from the field, which is 13th in the NBA. They are also 9th in pace at 100.3 possessions per game.

Mavericks Offense Breakdown

dallas mavericks

The Mavericks arrive for today’s game as one of the NBA’s top offensive teams, scoring an average of 118.7 points per game (7th).

At home, the Mavericks are averaging 119.8 points per game, which ranks 10th in the NBA. Overall, they are 7th in the league at 118.7 points per game. In terms of pace, Dallas is 11th in the NBA with 99.8 possessions per game.

When it comes to three-point shooting, the Mavericks are one of the league’s best. They are 2nd in both three-point attempts (41 per game) and makes (15.2 per game). In terms of overall field goal percentage, Dallas is 16th in the league at 47%.

So far this season, the Mavericks have outscored the NBA scoring average in 55.6% of their games. In terms of assists, they are 23rd in the league at 25.3 per game. In terms of offensive rebounds, Dallas is 21st in the NBA.

Kings Team Defense

At present, the Kings’ defense is ranked 20th, allowing 118.1 points per game. In their previous game, the Kings’ defense struggled against the Warriors, giving up 133 points on a field goal percentage of 52%.

Mavericks Team Defense

Facing Sacramento, the Mavericks aims for a better defensive performance, given their current average of 118.3 points allowed per game (21st). On two point field goal attempts, the Mavericks’ defensive unit is allowing a field goal percentage of 56.2% and allowing 36.7% from beyond the arc.

Key Players For The Kings And Mavericks

In today’s game, we anticipate De’Aaron Fox leading the scoring for the Kings, contributing 26 points while shooting 9/20 from the field. This season, he is averaging 27.5 points per game along with 4.1 boards.

On the opposing side, we anticipate Luka Doncic to be the top scorer for the Mavericks. Our projection has him finishing the game with 32, and he is expected to secure 8 rebounds. Throughout the season, he has maintained a 49.2% field goal shooting rate and is averaging 34.6 points per game.

Kings vs Mavericks Trends

  • In their last five road games, Sacramento has averaged 121 points per game while allowing 121. The team’s record in this stretch was 2-3 while going 3-2.
  • Through their last three home contests, the Mavericks offense has averaged 116 points per game while allowing an average of 132. Dallas posted an overall record of 1-2 while going 1-2 ATS.
  • Going back to their previous three games as the underdog, Dallas has an ATS mark of 1-2 while going 1-2 straight up.
  • Over the team’s last three games as the favorite, the Kings struggled vs the spread going just 1-2. However, they still had a straight up mark of 2-1.

Kings vs Mavericks Prediction

For a point-spread wager in this Kings vs. Mavericks game, we suggest taking the Mavericks at +2.5. Even though our predictions have the Kings winning 114-112, we see the Mavericks as the better choice on the point-spread.

Right now, the over/under line for the game is sitting at 242 and given that our model is projecting 226 points between the teams, we like the under.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.