Sacramento Kings vs Denver Nuggets NBA Betting Prediction

NBA Sacramento Kings vs Denver Nuggets Prediction 2/28/2024

The Sacramento Kings (33-24) travel to face off against the Denver Nuggets (39-19) on Wednesday, February 28th. This game will be played at Ball Arena in Denver and televised on NBCS. The Nuggets are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Kings are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Warriors. Tip-off is set for 9:00 ET.

Kings vs Nuggets

sacramento kings nba

The Kings Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

Most recently, the Kings lost to the Heat with a final score of 121-110. Turning the tide, the Kings picked up the win, overcoming a halftime deficit of 65-62.

Coming into today’s matchup against the Nuggets, the Kings have an overall record of 33-24 and have gone 2-1 in their last three games. This season, the Kings are 17-14 on the road while going 16-10 at home.

Sacramento has an ATS record above .500, currently standing at 29-28 against the spread. This season, Sacramento has a 19-21 record against the spread when they are favored, and they are 10-7 when playing as underdogs.

The Nuggets Are Coming Off A Win

The Nuggets won vs. the Warriors in their most recent game, ending with a score of 119-103. The Nuggets faced the Warriors as +2 underdogs, achieving both a straight-up and ATS win in the game. Considering the over/under, the total of 222 points fell short of the set over/under line of 232.5.

Coming into today’s game, the Nuggets are 39-19 overall and have won three straight games. When playing away from home, the Nuggets are 17-14 compared to their 22-5 record at home.

Denver’s ATS record sits below .500 (25-31). This season, Denver has a 21-26 record against the spread when they are favored, and they are 4-5 when playing as underdogs.

Kings Offense Breakdown

Heading into play, the Kings’ offense is rated 8th in the league in scoring, averaging 118.5 points per contest.

This season, the Kings are 8th in the league in scoring at 118.5 points per game. However, on the road, they are averaging 115.9 points per game compared to 121.6 points per game at home.

When it comes to pace, Sacramento is 10th in the NBA at 100.1 possessions per game. In terms of field goal percentage, they are 11th at 48%.

One area where the Kings have excelled is their three-point shooting. They are 4th in the league in three-point attempts and makes, averaging 14.7 made threes per game. Overall, they are shooting 37% from beyond the arc.

Nuggets Offense Breakdown

denver nuggets

Through 58 games games, Denver is averaging 114.5 points per game (16th).

At home this season, the Nuggets have been one of the better offensive teams in the league. They are ranked 9th in scoring at 119.1 points per game. Overall, Denver is averaging 114.5 points per game, which is 16th in the NBA. In terms of field goal percentage, the Nuggets are 6th in the league at 49%.

When it comes to three-point shooting, the Nuggets are 27th in both makes and attempts per game. So far, they have hit 36% of their looks from deep, which is 15th in the NBA. In terms of free throws, Denver is 27th in makes at 15.6 per game.

One area where the Nuggets have excelled is in two-point shooting. They are 2nd in the league in two-point makes and 3rd in attempts. Overall, Denver is 10th in two-point shooting percentage at 56%.

Kings Team Defense

At this time, the Kings’ defense is positioned 23rd in the NBA, permitting 117.9 points per game. Inside the arc, the Kings defense is giving up a shooting percentage of 54.4% and 39.3% from three-point territory.

Nuggets Team Defense

So far, the Nuggets’ defense is ranked 7th in the league at 110.7 points per contest. In the terms of takeaways, Nuggets are causing 11.8 turnovers per game, ranking 4th in the league. They also enter the matchup ranked 11th in rejections, averaging 5.4 blocked shots each game.

Key Players For The Kings And Nuggets

Our game forecasts for today suggest that De’Aaron Fox is set to be the main scorer for the Kings, recording 27 points and shooting 10/21 from the field. During this season, he is delivering an average of 26.9 points per game, along with 4.2 rebounds.

On the opposing side, we anticipate Nikola Jokic to be the top scorer for the Nuggets. Our projection has him finishing the game with 26, and he is expected to secure 12 rebounds. This season, he is shooting at a field goal percentage of 58.3%, and his scoring average is 26.1 points per game.

Kings vs Nuggets Trends

  • Through their last five road contests, the Kings offense has averaged 114 points per game while allowing an average of 119. Sacramento posted an overall record of 2-3 while going 2-3 ATS.
  • When looking at their past five home matchups, Denver has an ATS record of 3-2 while averaging 112 per game. The team went 3-2 overall in these games.
  • The Kings have played well in their last three games as the betting underdog, going 2-1 straight up and 2-1 against the spread.
  • As the betting favorite, the Nuggets have an ATS record of 2-1 in their last three games. In these matchups, their straight up record was 2-1.

Kings vs Nuggets Prediction

When looking to get a point-spread pick down in this Kings vs. Nuggets game, our recommendation is to take the Kings at +8. Despite our model showing the Nuggets winning 123-122, we like Kings as our point-spread pick.

As for the over/under, the the line is currently at 228.5, and our model projects the Kings and Nuggets to reach a combined total of 245 points. Our bet is on taking the over.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.