San Antonio Spurs vs Miami Heat NBA Betting Prediction

NBA San Antonio Spurs vs Miami Heat Prediction 2/7/2024

The San Antonio Spurs (10-40) travel to face off against the Miami Heat (27-24) on Wednesday, February 7th. This game will be played at Kaseya Center in Miami and televised on BSSU. The Heat are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Spurs are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Magic. Tip-off is set for 7:30 ET.

Spurs vs Heat

san antonio spurs nba

The Spurs Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

The Spurs’ most recent game versus the Cavaliers saw Devin Vassell lead the Spurs with 22 points while shooting 7/16 from the field. Victor Wembanyama finished 2nd on the team with 19 points, but San Antonio ended the game with a 117-101 loss.

With an overall record of 10-40, the Spurs are 5th in the Southwest division and 15th in the Western Conference. In their last ten games, they are 3-7 and are set to face the Heat.

San Antonio’s ATS record sits below .500 (24-26). During this season, San Antonio has a 4-1 record against the spread as favorites and 20-25 as underdogs.

The Heat Are Coming Off A Win

The Heat took down the Magic in their most recent game with a final score of 121-95. The start of the second half saw the Heat in the lead, at 56-49.

With an above .500 record of 27-24, the Heat are looking to add to their wins today vs. the Spurs. In the Eastern Conference, the Heat are 7th and hold the top spot in the Southeast division.

Miami’s ATS record sits below .500 (21-27). The Heat maintain an ATS record of 11-11 on the road, while they have a 10-16 record vs. the spread when playing at home.

Spurs Offense Breakdown

This season, the San Antonio offense is ranked 24th in the NBA in scoring at 112.3 points per game.

This season, the Spurs have been an above-average offensive team, ranking 24th in the NBA with 112.3 points per game. However, on the road, they are averaging just 110.0 points per game.

San Antonio’s offense has been efficient inside the arc, as they are hitting 54% of their two-point attempts (18th). However, they are just 27th in three-point shooting at 34%.

One area where the Spurs have struggled is getting to the free-throw line, as they are 29th in free-throw attempts. Overall, they are 27th in field goal percentage.

Heat Offense Breakdown

miami heat

Through 51 games games, Miami is averaging 110.4 points per game (27th).

At home, the Heat are averaging 113.2 points per game, which is 23rd in the league. Overall, they are 27th in scoring at 110.4 points per game. In terms of pace, Miami is 28th in the NBA.

When it comes to three-point shooting, the Heat are 9th in the league at 37%. They are also 7th in free throw attempts and 19th in three-point attempts. In terms of field goal percentage, Miami is 25th in the NBA.

So far this season, the Heat have outscored the NBA scoring average in 33.3% of their games. In terms of assists, they are 21st in the league, and they are 25th in offensive rebounds.

Spurs Team Defense

Currently, the Spurs’ defense holds the 26th rank in the NBA, allowing 120.9 points per game. On two point field goal attempts, the Spurs’ defensive unit is allowing a field goal percentage of 55.7% and allowing 38.2% from beyond the arc.

Heat Team Defense

Currently, the Heat’s defense holds the 7th rank in the NBA, allowing 110.9 points per game. When it comes to forced turnovers, the Heat are forcing 12.3 per game, which is 10th in the league. They also come into the game sitting 30th in blocked shots at 3.2 per game.

Key Players For The Spurs And Heat

The outlook for today’s matchup points to Devin Vassell as the primary point contributor for the Spurs, finishing with 18 points while maintaining a 6/14 shooting accuracy. Throughout this season, his average stands at 18.7 points per game, along with 3.6 rebounds.

On the opposing side, we anticipate Jimmy Butler to be the top scorer for the Heat. Our projection has him finishing the game with 21, and he is expected to secure 5 rebounds. Throughout the season, he has maintained a 50.2% field goal shooting rate and is averaging 21.5 points per game.

Spurs vs Heat Trends

  • San Antonio has a 1-4 record in their last five road games. In this stretch, they averaged 114 points per game while allowing 122. The team also performed well vs the spread at 3-2.
  • In their last ten games at home, the Heat have a straight up record of 4-6 while going 2-6-2 vs. the spread. The team averaged 103 points per game in this stretch.
  • Going back to their last ten games as the underdog, the Spurs have a straight up record of 2-8. But, their mark vs the spread was just 5-5.
  • As the betting favorite, the Heat have an ATS record of 2-0-1 in their last three games. In these matchups, their straight up record was 3-0.

Spurs vs Heat Prediction

For a point-spread bet in this Spurs vs. Heat matchup, we’re leaning towards the Spurs at +8. Although our projections show the Heat winning 113-107, we suggest placing your bet on the Spurs for the point-spread.

Regarding the over/under, the current line is set at 223.5, and our model predicts the Spurs and Heat to score a combined 220 points. We recommend betting on the under.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.