spurs vs timberwolves nba prediction

NBA San Antonio Spurs vs Minnesota Prediction 12/6/2023

The San Antonio Spurs (3-16) travel to face off against the Minnesota Timberwolves (15-4) on Wednesday, December 6th. This game will be played at Target Center in Target Center and televised on ESPN. The Timberwolves are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Spurs are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Hornets. Tip-off is set for 7:30 ET.

Spurs vs Timberwolves

The Spurs Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

The Spurs will look to bounce back from a defeat in their last game, losing to the Pelicans with a final score of 121-106. Despite trailing at halftime by a score of 63-61, the Spurs picked up the win.

Heading into their matchup with the Timberwolves, the Spurs are 3-16 on the season and are hoping to end a 14 game losing streak. When playing at home, the Spurs are 1-9 compared to their 2-7 record on the road.

San Antonio has an overall ATS record of 7-12 as they come into today’s game. On the road, the Spurs have an ATS record of 3-6, as opposed to a 4-6 record against the spread when playing at home.

The Timberwolves Are Coming Off A Win

The Timberwolves beat the Hornets in their most recent game, ending with a score of 123-117. The start of the second half saw the Timberwolves in the lead, at 62-59.

With their record of 15-4, the Timberwolves are coming into today’s game vs. the Spurs looking to add to their above .500 record. As it stands, they are ranked 1st in the Western Conference and are 1st in the Northwest division.

Against the spread, Minnesota have an above .500 record vs. the spread sitting at 10-8 ATS. The Timberwolves maintain an ATS record of 3-5 on the road, while they have a 7-3 record vs. the spread when playing at home.

Spurs Offense Breakdown

In 19 games games, San Antonio has an average of 111.5 points per game (22nd). When looking at the Spurs pace of play, they tend to play an up-tempo style of basketball. So far, the team is in the upper half of the NBA in possessions per game, averaging 102.9. Despite their up-tempo style of play, the team could enhance their scoring efficiency, as they currently hold the 24th position in the league for overall field goal percentage, with a rate of 53%.

Timberwolves Offense Breakdown

The Timberwolves come into today’s game as the 19th ranked scoring offense at 112.8 points per game. So far, the Timberwolves are averaging 98.3 possessions per game, which places them below the NBA average. A key aspect of the team’s offensive struggles is the fact that they not only play at a slow pace, but they struggle to score inside. Heading into today’s game, Minnesota is just 16th in shots made inside the arc.

Spurs Team Defense

So far, the Spurs’ defense is ranked 28th in the league at 123.9 points per contest.

San Antonio’s defense is currently forcing 16.4 turnovers per game, which is 28th in the league. Additionally, they enter the game ranked 6th in blocked shots, with an average of 6 rejections per game.

Timberwolves Team Defense

Currently, the Timberwolves’ defense holds the 1st rank in the NBA, allowing 105.9 points per game.

When it comes to forced turnovers, the Timberwolves are forcing 14.2 per game, which is 23rd in the league. They also come into the game sitting 3rd in blocked shots at 6.3 per game.

Key Players For The Spurs And Timberwolves

The outlook for today’s matchup points to Victor Wembanyama as the primary point contributor for the Spurs, finishing with 12 points while maintaining a 5/11 shooting accuracy. For the season, he has been averaging 19.3 points per game, in addition to 9.7 rebounds.

As for Minnesota, Anthony Edwards is projected to be the primary scorer for the Timberwolves. Our forecast has him finishing the game with 20, and adding 5 rebounds. Throughout the season, he has maintained a 46.4% field goal shooting rate and is averaging 26.2 points per game.

Spurs vs Timberwolves Trends

  • In their last ten games away from home, the Spurs have a straight up record of 3-7 while going 4-6 vs the spread. The team’s offense averaged 110 points per game in these contests.
  • In their last ten games at home, the Timberwolves have a straight up record of 6-4 while going 4-5-1 vs. the spread. The team averaged 113 points per game in this stretch.
  • In their last five games as the betting underdog, the Spurs have a straight up record of 0-5 and an ATS mark of 3-2.
  • Through their last three matchups as the betting favorite, the Timberwolves have a good straight up record, but their ATS mark is just 1-2.

Spurs vs Timberwolves Prediction

For a pick on the point-spread in this Timberwolves vs. Spurs matchup, our bet is to grab the Spurs at +12.5. Even though our projections have the Timberwolves winning 111-103, we see the Spurs as the play on the point-spread.

Regarding the over/under, the current line is set at 227.5, and our model predicts the Spurs and Timberwolves to score a combined 214 points. We recommend betting on the under.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.