San Antonio Spurs vs Portland Trail Blazers -NBA Prediction

NBA San Antonio vs Portland Trail Prediction 12/28/2023

The San Antonio Spurs (4-25) travel to face off against the Portland Trail Blazers (8-21) on Thursday, December 28th. This game will be played at Moda Center. The Trail Blazers are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Spurs are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Kings. Tip-off is set for 10:00 ET.

Spurs vs Trail Blazers

The Spurs Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

The Spurs is coming off a loss to the Jazz in their latest game, ending with a score of 130-118. The Spurs managed to secure te win, even though they were behind at halftime 64-60.

Heading into their matchup with the Trail Blazers, the Spurs have an overall record of 4-25 and are looking to end their five game losing streak. Currently, the Spurs are 15th in the Western Conference and are 5th in the Southwest division.

San Antonio possesses an ATS record of 11-18 for this season, including their ongoing three game losing streak against the spread. On the road, the Spurs have an ATS record of 5-9, as opposed to a 6-9 record against the spread when playing at home.

The Trail Blazers Are Coming Off A Win

In the game against the Kings, Anfernee Simons was the top scorer for Portland, recording 29 points. His field goal percentage for the game was 50%. Duop Reath also contributed 25 points as the Trail Blazers won by a score of 130-113 vs. the Kings.

Coming into today’s game against the Spurs, the Trail Blazers are 8-21 overall this season. On the road, they are 4-11 compared to 4-10 at home.

Portland currently has an ATS record below .500, sitting at 14-15 at this point. As the favorite this season, Portland is 0-2 vs. the spread while going 14-13 as the underdog.

Spurs Offense Breakdown

Through 29 games games, San Antonio is averaging 110.9 points per game (25th). In terms of pace, the Spurs are one of the top units in the NBA, averaging 102.7 possessions per game. Although the team tends to generate a lot of possessions with an up-tempo pace, they are struggling to score inside the arc. Heading into the game, the team is just 20th in made 2-point field goals per contest.

Trail Blazers Offense Breakdown

Through 29 games the Trail Blazers are averaging 108.7 points per contest, placing them 29th in the NBA. When looking at the team’s pace of play, the Trail Blazers are currently below the league average in possessions per game, averaging just 98.1 per contest. Right now, the Trail Blazers offense is in search of answers, as not only do they tend to play at a slow pace, but they are just 30th in effective field goal percentage.

Spurs Team Defense

At present, the Spurs’ defense is ranked 28th, allowing 123.2 points per game. San Antonio’s defense is currently forcing 15.3 turnovers per game, which is 28th in the league. Additionally, they enter the game ranked 9th in blocked shots, with an average of 5.9 rejections per game.

Trail Blazers Team Defense

In terms of defense, Trail Blazers is currently on par with the NBA average for points allowed, giving up an average of 114.7 points per game. On two point field goal attempts, the Trail Blazers’ defensive unit is allowing a field goal percentage of 59.1% and allowing 32.5% from beyond the arc.

Key Players For The Spurs And Trail Blazers

For today’s matchup, we project Keldon Johnson to lead the scoring for the Spurs, putting up 15 points and shooting at a rate of 5/11. For the season, he has been averaging 17.5 points per game, in addition to 6.4 rebounds.

On the other side, Anfernee Simons is our projected leading scorer for the Trail Blazers. We have him ending the game with a team-high 19 and grabbing 3 rebounds. Throughout the season, he has maintained a 45.6% field goal shooting rate and is averaging 27.1 points per game.

Spurs vs Trail Blazers Trends

  • Although San Antonio has a straight up record of 0-5 in their last five road games, they have not held up as well vs the spread going 2-3. The team averaged 101 points per game in these games.
  • When looking at their past five home matchups, Portland has an ATS record of 3-2 while averaging 111 per game. The team went 1-4 overall in these games.
  • As the betting underdog, the Spurs have an ATS mark of just 1-4 in their last five games. San Antonio posted a straight up mark of 0-5 in these matchups.
  • As the betting favorite, the Trail Blazers have an ATS mark of just 1-2 in their last three games. Portland posted a straight up mark of 1-2 in these matchups.

Spurs vs Trail Blazers Prediction

When looking to get a point-spread pick down in this Trail Blazers vs. Trail Blazers game, our recommendation is to take the Spurs at +4.5. Despite our model showing the Trail Blazers winning 105-104, we like Spurs as our point-spread pick.

Right now, the over/under line for the game is sitting at 234 and given that our model is projecting 209 points between the teams, we like the under.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.