State Warriors vs Dallas Mavericks NBA Betting Prediction

NBA State Warriors vs Dallas Mavericks Prediction 4/5/2024

The Golden State Warriors (42-34) travel to face off against the Dallas Mavericks (46-30) on Friday, April 5th. This game will be played at American Airlines Center in Dallas and televised on NBCS. Both team’s come into this one having won their previous games. Tip-off is set for 8:30 ET.

Warriors vs Mavericks

golden state warriors nba

The Warriors Are Coming Off A Win

The Warriors notched a win against the Rockets in their most recent game, concluding with a score of 133-110. The Warriors were leading the game going into the second half 65-50.

Coming into today’s game against the Mavericks, the Warriors are above .500 at 42-34. In their 76 games, the Warriors are 22-24 against Western Conference opponents and 20-10 in non-conference games.

Golden State has an overall ATS record of 42-33 as they come into today’s game. During this season, Golden State has a 25-24 record against the spread as favorites and 17-9 as underdogs.

The Mavericks Are Coming Off A Win

Most recently, the Mavericks bested the Hawks with a score of 109-95. The Mavericks not only won the game but also covered the spread as -12-point favorites. In terms of the over/under, the combined 204 points was below the over/under line of 227.5.

In Western Conference games, the Mavericks are 29-20 and are 17-10 in non-conference games. They have an overall record of 46-30 and are 2-1 in their last three games.

In terms of the spread, Dallas currently holds an ATS record of 44-32, which is above .500. In their last five home games, Dallas has successfully covered the spread, and they maintain an ATS record of 19-19 at home compared to 25-13 on the road.

Warriors Offense Breakdown

For the season, the Golden State offense is the 7th ranked unit in the NBA, at 118 points per contest.

When it comes to scoring, the Warriors are 7th in the league at 118 points per game. Interestingly, they have been a better scoring team on the road (118.4) than at home (117.6).

Golden State is one of the top three-point shooting teams in the NBA, averaging 14.7 made threes per game (3rd). Overall, they are 15th in field goal percentage (47%).

So far this season, the Warriors have outscored the NBA scoring average in 57.9% of their games. In terms of pace, they are 11th in the league at 99.5 possessions per game.

Mavericks Offense Breakdown

dallas mavericks

Heading into play, the Mavericks’ offense is rated 6th in the league in scoring, averaging 118.3 points per contest.

At 118.3 points per game, the Mavericks are the 6th highest-scoring team in the NBA this season. They have been even better at home, averaging 119.0 points per game.

So far, the Mavericks have outscored the NBA scoring average in 59.2% of their games. They are also 11th in field goal percentage and 9th in true shooting percentage.

When it comes to three-point shooting, the Mavericks are one of the best teams in the league. They are 2nd in both three-pointers made and attempted per game. However, they are just 23rd in offensive rebounds.

Warriors Team Defense

Coming into today’s game, the Warriors’ defense is giving up an average of 115.6 points per contest. In their previous matchup vs. the Rockets, the Warriors’ defense struggled, giving up a field goal percentage of 58% leading to 110 points.

Mavericks Team Defense

At this time, the Mavericks’ defense is positioned 20th in the NBA, permitting 115.8 points per game. Opponents are hitting 54.6% of their two-point field goal attempts this season, and they’re also connecting on 36.7% of their three-point attempts.

Key Players For The Warriors And Mavericks

Our projections for today’s game indicate that Stephen Curry will be the primary scorer for the Warriors, with 26 points and going 9/19 from the field. During this season, he is delivering an average of 26.4 points per game, along with 4.4 rebounds.

As for Dallas, Luka Doncic is projected to be the primary scorer for the Mavericks. Our forecast has him finishing the game with 34, and adding 9 rebounds. For the season, he has a field goal percentage of 48.6% and is averaging 33.8 points per contest.

Warriors vs Mavericks Trends

  • Through their last ten road contests, the Warriors offense has averaged 111 points per game while allowing an average of 109. Golden State posted an overall record of 7-3 while going 6-4 ATS.
  • When looking at their past three matchups at home, Dallas has an ATS record of 2-1 while averaging 110 per game. The team went 2-1 overall in these games.
  • In their last five games as the betting underdog, the Warriors have a strong straight up record of 3-2. In addition, their ATS record was 3-2 in these scenarios.
  • Through their last three games as the favorite, the Mavericks have an ATS record of 2-1 and a straight up mark of 2-1.

Warriors vs Mavericks Prediction

For a point-spread bet in this Warriors vs. Mavericks matchup, we’re leaning towards the Warriors at +5.5. Although our projections show the Mavericks winning 117-112, we suggest placing your bet on the Warriors for the point-spread.

As for the over/under, the the line is currently at 228.5, and our model projects the Warriors and Mavericks to reach a combined total of 229 points. Our bet is on taking the over.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.