Suns vs Oklahoma City Thunder NBA Betting Prediction

NBA Suns vs Oklahoma City Thunder Prediction 3/29/2024

The Phoenix Suns (43-30) travel to face off against the Oklahoma City Thunder (50-22) on Friday, March 29th. This game will be played at Paycom Center in Oklahoma City and televised on KSBI. The Suns are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Thunder are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Nuggets. Tip-off is set for 8:00 ET.

Suns vs Thunder

phoenix suns nba

The Suns Are Coming Off A Win

The Suns picked up a win over the Nuggets in their latest game, finishing with a score of 104-97. the Suns entered the second half with an advantage, leading with 59-52.

When breaking down the Suns’ last ten games, they are 6-4 and come into today’s game vs. the Thunder with an overall record of 43-30. In road games this season, the Suns are 20-16 and have gone 23-14 at home.

Phoenix has an overall ATS record of 30-42 as they come into today’s game. On the road, the Suns have an ATS record of 16-20 compared to a 14-22 record vs. the spread at home.

The Thunder Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

The Thunder were defeated by the Rockets in the most recent game, concluding with a score of 132-126. Besides losing the game outright, the Thunder also fell short against the spread, failing to cover as -4.5 point favorites. The over/under line entering this matchup was 226.5 points, and both teams achieved a total score that exceeded that line.

On the road, the Thunder have gone 22-14 this season and are 28-8 at home. Overall, the Thunder are 50-22 and have gone 1-2 in their last three games.

Oklahoma City has an overall ATS record of 42-30 as they come into today’s game. On the road, the Thunder have an ATS record of 20-16 compared to a 22-14 record vs. the spread at home.

Suns Offense Breakdown

The Suns come into today’s game as one of the better scoring teams in the NBA at 116.9 points per game (10th).

The Suns’ offense is one of the top-scoring units in the league, averaging 116.9 points per game (10th). In terms of field goal percentage, they are 4th in the NBA at 49%. When it comes to free throws, Phoenix is one of the top teams in the league, ranking 2nd in both free throws made and attempted per game.

So far this season, the Suns have outscored the NBA scoring average in 56.2% of their games. On the road, Phoenix is averaging 116.6 points per game compared to 117.1 at home.

When it comes to three-point shooting, the Suns are 5th in three-point percentage but are 26th in three-point attempts. Overall, they are 19th in three-point makes per game. In terms of pace, Phoenix is 15th in the league at 98.3 possessions per game.

Thunder Offense Breakdown

oklahoma city thunder

The Thunder arrive for today’s game as one of the NBA’s top offensive teams, scoring an average of 120.4 points per game (3rd).

At home, the Thunder are scoring 122.8 points per game, which is 4th in the NBA. Overall, they are 3rd in scoring at 120.4 points per game. In terms of field goal percentage, they are 2nd in the league at 49%. From three-point range, they are 2nd in three-point shooting percentage at 39%.

So far this season, Oklahoma City has outscored the NBA scoring average in 70.8% of their games. In terms of pace, they are 9th in the league at 99.8 possessions per game. When it comes to two-pointers, the Thunder are 5th in shooting percentage at 56%.

Overall, they are 13th in assists at 26.8 per game. In terms of free throws, they are 12th in both free throws made and free throw attempts. On the offensive glass, they are 29th in the NBA.

Suns Team Defense

Coming into the game, the Suns defense has held opposing team’s to fewer points than the league average in 43.8% of their games. Currently, they are 16th in the NBA at 113.9 points per game allowed. On two point field goal attempts, the Suns’ defensive unit is allowing a field goal percentage of 53.3% and allowing 36.1% from beyond the arc.

Thunder Team Defense

On defense, Thunder is currently around the league average in points allowed, giving up an average of 113.2 points per game. Oklahoma City struggled on the boards in their last game vs. the Rockets, giving up 13. For the game, Houston scored 132 points in the game.

Key Players For The Suns And Thunder

In today’s game, our projections have Kevin Durant leading the Suns with 28 points on 10/19 shooting from the field. For the season, he has been averaging 27.6 points per game, in addition to 6.8 rebounds.

On the opposing side, we anticipate Shai Gilgeous-Alexander to be the top scorer for the Thunder. Our projection has him finishing the game with 30, and he is expected to secure 6 rebounds. This season, he is shooting at a field goal percentage of 54%, and his scoring average is 30.4 points per game.

Suns vs Thunder Trends

  • When looking at their past ten road matchups, Phoenix has an ATS record of 4-6 while averaging 114 per game. The team went 5-5 overall in these games.
  • Through their last ten home contests, the Thunder offense has averaged 117 points per game while allowing an average of 114. Oklahoma City posted an overall record of 7-3 while going 5-5 ATS.
  • Going back to their last ten games as the underdog, the Thunder have a straight up record of 4-6. But, their mark vs the spread was just 5-5.
  • Going back to their previous ten games as the favorite, Phoenix has an ATS mark of 4-6 while going 7-3 straight up.

Suns vs Thunder Prediction

For a point-spread bet in this Suns vs. Thunder matchup, we’re leaning towards the Thunder at +2.5. Although our projections show the Suns winning 116-115, we suggest placing your bet on the Thunder for the point-spread.

As for the over/under, the the line is currently at 226.5, and our model projects the Suns and Thunder to reach a combined total of 231 points. Our bet is on taking the over.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.