Oklahoma City Thunder vs Dallas Mavericks NBA Betting Prediction

NBA Thunder vs Dallas Mavericks Prediction 2/10/2024

The Oklahoma City Thunder (35-16) travel to face off against the Dallas Mavericks (29-23) on Saturday, February 10th. This game will be played at American Airlines Center in Dallas and televised on NBA. The Mavericks are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Thunder are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Knicks. Tip-off is set for 3:00 ET.

Thunder vs Mavericks

oklahoma city thunder nba

The Thunder Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

The Thunder will look to bounce back from a defeat in their last game, losing to the Jazz with a final score of 124-117. In addition to their straight-up loss, the Thunder also couldn’t meet the spread, coming up short as -3 point favorites. The over/under line heading into this matchup was 239.5 points in which the two teams surpassed.

Coming into today’s action, the Thunder have an overall record of 35-16 and have gone 2-1 in their last three games. On the road, the Thunder are 15-10 compared to their 20-6 record at home this season.

Currently, Oklahoma City holds an above .500 ATS record of 32-19 so far this year. The Thunder have failed to cover the spread in two straight games as the favorite and are 11-5 vs. the spread as the underdog.

The Mavericks Are Coming Off A Win

The Mavericks took down the Knicks in their most recent game with a final score of 122-108. the Mavericks entered the second half with an advantage, leading with 59-48.

Across their last five games, the Mavericks have gone 3-2 and have an overall record of 29-23. Currently, they hold the 8th spot in the Western Conference and are 2nd in the Southwest division.

Dallas comes in with an overall ATS record of 27-25 so far this season. The Mavericks have three straight ATS losses as the underdog and are 18-11 vs. the spread as the favorite.

Thunder Offense Breakdown

Coming into today’s action, Oklahoma City is averaging 120.8 points per contest. This figure places them 4th in the league.

When it comes to scoring, the Thunder are one of the NBA’s best teams, averaging 120.8 points per game (4th). On the road, they are scoring 118.6 PPG (7th).

Overall, the Thunder are 11th in pace at 99.5 possessions per game. In terms of field goal percentage, they are 2nd in the league at 50%. In terms of true shooting percentage, they are 1st.

When it comes to three-point shooting, the Thunder are 11th in made threes per game (13.3) and 3rd in three-point shooting percentage (39%).

Mavericks Offense Breakdown

dallas mavericks

The Mavericks arrive for today’s game as one of the NBA’s top offensive teams, scoring an average of 118.3 points per game (10th).

The Mavericks are one of the top three-point shooting teams in the league, ranking 2nd in both three-pointers made and attempted per game. Overall, they are 10th in scoring at 118.3 points per game.

When playing at home, the Mavericks are averaging 119.9 points per game compared to 116.6 on the road. So far, they have outscored the NBA scoring average in 57.7% of their games.

In terms of pace, Dallas is 12th in the league at 99.4 possessions per game. They have also been efficient inside the arc, ranking 9th in two-point shooting percentage.

Thunder Team Defense

At present, the Thunder’s defense is ranked 12th, allowing 113.0 points per game. When it comes to forced turnovers, the Thunder are forcing 11.7 per game, which is 2nd in the league. They also come into the game sitting 1st in blocked shots at 6.6 per game.

Mavericks Team Defense

On defense, the Mavericks are ranked 22nd in the NBA this season. So far, they have given up more points than the NBA scoring average in 65.4% of their games. Opponents are hitting 56.2% of their two-point field goal attempts this season, and they’re also connecting on 36.9% of their three-point attempts.

Key Players For The Thunder And Mavericks

The outlook for today’s matchup points to Shai Gilgeous-Alexander as the primary point contributor for the Thunder, finishing with 31 points while maintaining a 11/20 shooting accuracy. Throughout this season, his average stands at 31.1 points per game, along with 5.6 rebounds.

As for Dallas, Luka Doncic is projected to be the primary scorer for the Mavericks. Our forecast has him finishing the game with 32, and adding 8 rebounds. For the season, he has a field goal percentage of 48.9% and is averaging 34.6 points per contest.

Thunder vs Mavericks Trends

  • When looking at their past ten road matchups, Oklahoma City has an ATS record of 5-5 while averaging 119 per game. The team went 6-4 overall in these games.
  • When looking at their past three matchups at home, Dallas has an ATS record of 3-0 while averaging 119 per game. The team went 3-0 overall in these games.
  • As the betting underdog, the Mavericks have an ATS mark of just 0-3 in their last three games. Dallas posted a straight up mark of 0-3 in these matchups.
  • Going back to their previous ten games as the favorite, Oklahoma City has an ATS mark of 4-6 while going 7-3 straight up.

Thunder vs Mavericks Prediction

For a pick on the point-spread in this Thunder vs. Mavericks matchup, our bet is to grab the Mavericks at +2.5. Even though our projections have the Thunder winning 123-121, we see the Mavericks as the play on the point-spread.

Regarding the over/under, the current line is set at 242, and our model predicts the Thunder and Mavericks to score a combined 244 points. We recommend betting on the over.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.