thunder vs timberwolves nba betting prediction

NBA: Thunder vs Minnesota Timberwolves Prediction 1/20/2024

The Oklahoma City Thunder (28-13) travel to face off against the Minnesota Timberwolves (30-11) on Saturday, January 20th. This game will be played at Target Center in Minneapolis and televised on BSN. Both team’s come into this one having won their previous games. Tip-off is set for 8:00 ET.

Thunder vs Timberwolves

oklahoma city thunder nba

The Thunder Are Coming Off A Win

The Thunder notched a win against the Jazz in their most recent game, concluding with a score of 134-129. Not only did the Thunder win this game straight-up, but they also covered the spread as -3 point favorites. The over/under line entering this matchup was 246 points, and both teams achieved a total score that exceeded that line.

As they prepare to face the Timberwolves, the Thunder are hoping to add to their above .500 record of 28-13. When playing on the road, the Thunder are 12-8 this season compared to their 16-5 record at home.

Oklahoma City comes in with an overall ATS record of 28-13 so far this season. In their six most recent home games, Oklahoma City has covered the spread and they are 16-5 ATS at home compared to 12-8 on the road.

The Timberwolves Are Coming Off A Win

The Timberwolves notched a win against the Grizzlies in their most recent game, concluding with a score of 118-103. The Timberwolves managed to secure te win, even though they were behind at halftime 55-50.

In their last five games, the Timberwolves are 4-1 and have an overall record of 30-11. At home, the Timberwolves have gone 17-2 compared to 13-9 on the road this season.

Minnesota is currently performing above .500 against the spread with an ATS record of 21-19. When playing on the road, the Timberwolves hold an ATS record of 10-11 in contrast to a 11-8 record against the spread when playing at home.

Thunder Offense Breakdown

Coming into today’s action, Oklahoma City is averaging 122.2 points per contest. This figure places them 3rd in the league.

So far this season, the Thunder have been one of the most efficient offenses in the NBA, ranking 3rd in points per game at 122.2. When playing on the road, they are averaging 119.8 points per game.

When it comes to shooting, the Thunder have been one of the best teams in the league. They are currently 2nd in field goal percentage at 50% and are 2nd in three-point shooting at 39%. Overall, they are 3rd in two-point shooting percentage at 57%.

Despite being 10th in pace, the Thunder are 10th in assists at 27.6 per game. On the offensive glass, they are last in the league with just 8.3 offensive rebounds per game.

Timberwolves Offense Breakdown

minnesota timberwolves

In 41 games games, Minnesota has an average of 113.5 points per game (21st).

Heading into the game, the Timberwolves are 21st in the NBA in scoring at 113.5 points per game. At home, they are averaging 112.8 points per game.

Minnesota has outscored the NBA scoring average in just 43.9% of their games this season. Their scoring average is 113.5 points per game, which is 24th in the league.

So far this season, the Timberwolves are 6th in the NBA in field goal percentage at 49%. They are also 6th in true shooting percentage.

Thunder Team Defense

On defense, the Thunder come into the game ranked 14th in the league in points allowed at 114.1 per game. Over their last three games, the team is allowing 123 points per contest (22nd). When it comes to forced turnovers, the Thunder are forcing 11.7 per game, which is 2nd in the league. They also come into the game sitting 1st in blocked shots at 6.4 per game.

Timberwolves Team Defense

Minnesota’s defense has been playing well, ranking 1st in the NBA with 107.4 points allowed per game. Inside the arc, the Timberwolves defense is giving up a shooting percentage of 50.2% and 35.3% from three-point territory.

Key Players For The Thunder And Timberwolves

Our projections for today’s game indicate that Shai Gilgeous-Alexander will be the primary scorer for the Thunder, with 29 points and going 10/18 from the field. For the season, he has been averaging 31 points per game, in addition to 5.7 rebounds.

On the other side, Anthony Edwards is our projected leading scorer for the Timberwolves. We have him ending the game with a team-high 25 and grabbing 5 rebounds. This season, he is shooting at a field goal percentage of 46.5%, and his scoring average is 26.1 points per game.

Thunder vs Timberwolves Trends

  • Across their ten previous road games, Oklahoma City has an ATS mark of 4-6. Their straight up record in these matchups was 5-5 while averaging 123 points per game.
  • Across their last three home contests, Minnesota has been good against the spread posting a mark of 2-1. Their overall mark in these games was 2-1, while averaging 119 points per game.
  • Going back to their previous three games as the underdog, Oklahoma City has an ATS mark of 1-2 while going 1-2 straight up.
  • In their last five games as the betting favorite, the Timberwolves have a strong straight up record of 5-0. In addition, their ATS record was 4-1 in these scenarios.

Thunder vs Timberwolves Prediction

For a pick on the point-spread in this Timberwolves vs. Thunder matchup, our bet is to grab the Thunder at +3. Even though our projections have the Timberwolves winning 120-118, we see the Thunder as the play on the point-spread.

As for the over/under, the the line is currently at 230.5, and our model projects the Thunder and Timberwolves to reach a combined total of 238 points. Our bet is on taking the over.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.