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NBA Thunder vs Toronto Raptors Prediction 3/22/2024

The Oklahoma City Thunder (48-20) travel to face off against the Toronto Raptors (23-46) on Friday, March 22nd. This game will be played at Scotiabank Arena in Toronto and televised on SN. The Thunder are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Raptors are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Jazz. Tip-off is set for 7:00 ET.

Thunder vs Raptors

oklahoma city thunder nba

The Thunder Are Coming Off A Win

Most recently, the Thunder bested the Jazz with a score of 119-107. The Thunder picked up the win despite trailing going into halftime 54-53.

With an overall record of 48-20, the Thunder are coming into today’s game looking to extend their three game winning streak. In their 68 games, the Thunder have gone 31-15 against Western Conference teams and have a 17-5 record in non-conference play.

Currently, Oklahoma City holds an above .500 ATS record of 40-28 so far this year. The Thunder maintain an ATS record of 18-15 on the road, while they have a 22-13 record vs. the spread when playing at home.

The Raptors Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

The Raptors is coming off a loss to the Kings in their latest game, ending with a score of 123-89. The Raptors picked up the win despite trailing going into halftime 68-45.

Coming into their match-up vs. the Thunder, the Raptors are 23-46 on the season and are hoping to end a eight game losing skid. Out of their 69 games, the Raptors have gone 16-26 vs. the Eastern Conference and are 7-20 in non-conference play.

Toronto has an overall ATS record of 31-38 for the season so far. As the favorite this season, Toronto is 9-13 vs. the spread while going 22-25 as the underdog.

Thunder Offense Breakdown

Today, the Thunder enter the game as one of the NBA’s top-scoring teams, averaging 120.7 points per game (3rd).

Heading into tonight’s game, the Thunder are one of the most efficient offenses in the NBA. They are ranked 3rd in scoring at 120.7 points per game. On the road, they are averaging 118.6 points per game.

So far this season, the Thunder have outscored the NBA scoring average in 70.6% of their games. In terms of pace, they are 12th in the league at 99.6 possessions per game.

When it comes to shooting, the Thunder are 2nd in the league in field goal percentage at 50%. From three-point range, they are shooting 39% which is 1st in the NBA. In terms of three-point attempts, they are 16th in the league.

Raptors Offense Breakdown

toronto raptors

Through 69 games the Raptors are averaging 113.3 points per contest, placing them 19th in the NBA.

At home this season, the Raptors are averaging 110.3 points per game, which is 27th in the NBA. Overall, Toronto is 19th in scoring at 113.3 points per game. In terms of pace, the Raptors are 13th in the league at 99.3 possessions per game.

When it comes to three-point shooting, the Raptors are 25th in the NBA with a three-point percentage of 35%. They are also 22nd in three-point makes at 11.8 per game. From two-point range, Toronto is 18th in shooting percentage at 54%.

So far this season, the Raptors have outscored the NBA scoring average in 44.9% of their games. In terms of assists, Toronto is 5th in the league, averaging 29 per game. In terms of free throws, the Raptors are 23rd in makes and 16th in attempts.

Thunder Team Defense

So far, the Thunder’s defense is ranked 13th in the league at 113.0 points per contest. The Thunder defense is coming off a game in which they held the Jazz offense to just 48.9% shooting. Overall, they gave up 107 points to Utah.

Raptors Team Defense

Facing Oklahoma City, the Raptors aims for a better defensive performance, given their current average of 118.1 points allowed per game (24th). For the season, Toronto is ranked 22nd in fewest fouls per game. Team’s are averaging 19.8 free-throws per game vs. the Raptors and have an overall field goal percentage of 48.8%.

Key Players For The Thunder And Raptors

In today’s game, we anticipate Shai Gilgeous-Alexander leading the scoring for the Thunder, contributing 30 points while shooting 11/20 from the field. This season, he is averaging 30.9 points per game along with 5.6 boards.

As for Toronto, Gary Trent Jr. is projected to be the primary scorer for the Raptors. Our forecast has him finishing the game with 13, and adding 3 rebounds. This season, he has put together a field goal percentage of 42.4%, and he is contributing 12.8 points per game on average.

Thunder vs Raptors Trends

  • In their last ten games away from home, the Thunder have a straight up record of 5-5 while going 3-7 vs. the spread. The team averaged 116 points per game in this stretch.
  • In their last ten games at home, the Raptors have a straight up record of 3-7 while going 5-5 vs the spread. The team’s offense averaged 115 points per game in these contests.
  • Looking back on the team’s last three games as the underdog, the Raptors have a straight up record of 0-3. Their record vs the spread in these games was 0-3.
  • In their last five games as the betting favorite, the Thunder have a straight up record of 4-1, while going 1-4 against the spread.

Thunder vs Raptors Prediction

In this Thunder vs. Raptors matchup, our point-spread bet is on the Raptors at +15. While we project the Thunder to win 115-110, our recommendation is to bet on the Raptors for the point-spread.

Regarding the over/under, the current line is set at 228.5, and our model predicts the Thunder and Raptors to score a combined 225 points. We recommend betting on the under.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.