Timberwolves vs Indiana Pacers NBA Betting Prediction

NBA Timberwolves vs Indiana Pacers Prediction 3/7/2024

The Minnesota Timberwolves (43-19) travel to face off against the Indiana Pacers (35-28) on Thursday, March 7th. This game will be played at Gainbridge Fieldhouse in Indianapolis and televised on BSIN. Both team’s come into this one having won their previous games. Tip-off is set for 7:00 ET.

Timberwolves vs Pacers

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The Timberwolves Are Coming Off A Win

In their last game, the Timberwolves defeated the Trail Blazers with a final score of 119-114. Going into the game, the Timberwolves were favored by -16 and their 5 point win was not enough to cover the spread. The over/under line for this matchup was set at 210.5 points, and the teams managed to exceed that total.

Coming into today’s game, the Timberwolves hold an overall record of 43-19 and have gone 1-2 in their last three games. They are currently in 1st place in the Western Conference and are also leading the Northwest division.

So far, Minnesota’s ATS record is below .500 at 30-31. The Timberwolves are in the midst of a three game ATS win streak as underdogs, and they come in with a 23-27 record against the spread as favorites.

The Pacers Are Coming Off A Win

The Pacers’ most recent matchup against the Mavericks saw Myles Turner lead the Pacers with 20 points while shooting 7/14 from the field. The Pacers picked up a 137-120 win, and Bennedict Mathurin also added 19 points which was 2nd on the team.

On the road, the Pacers have gone 15-16 this season compared to their 20-12 home record. Overall, the Pacers are 35-28 and have gone 1-2 in their last three games.

Currently, Indiana holds an above .500 ATS record of 33-28 so far this year. Indiana has gone 14-16 against the spread this season when they are the favorites, and they are 19-12 when playing as underdogs.

Timberwolves Offense Breakdown

In 62 games games, Minnesota has an average of 113.3 points per game (19th).

Heading into tonight’s game, the Timberwolves are 19th in the NBA in scoring at 113.3 points per game. On the road, they are averaging 115.0 points per game compared to 111.7 at home.

Minnesota’s offense is 9th in field goal percentage at 48% and 7th in true shooting percentage. They are 23rd in pace at 97.3 possessions per game.

When it comes to three-point shooting, the Timberwolves are 3rd in three-point percentage but just 25th in three-point attempts. Overall, they are 16th in three-point makes at 12.5 per game.

Pacers Offense Breakdown

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For the season, the Indiana offense is the 1st ranked unit in the NBA, at 123.5 points per contest.

When it comes to scoring, the Pacers are the top-ranked team in the NBA, averaging 123.5 points per game. At home, they are averaging 126.3 points per game.

Indiana has been one of the most efficient shooting teams this season, ranking first in field goal percentage at 50%. They also lead the league in two-point field goal percentage at 58%.

So far this season, the Pacers have outscored the NBA scoring average in 69.8% of their games. In terms of pace, they are second in the league at 101.6 possessions per game.

Timberwolves Team Defense

So far, the Timberwolves defense is giving up 106.5 points per contest, which has them sitting 1st in the NBA. One thing to note, is they have given up more points than their season average in five straight matchups. Minnesota’s defense is currently forcing 13.9 turnovers per game, which is 22nd in the league. Additionally, they enter the game ranked 6th in blocked shots, with an average of 6 rejections per game.

Pacers Team Defense

On defense, the Pacers come into the game ranked 28th in the league in points allowed at 122.0 per game. Over their last three games, the team is allowing 122 points per contest (21st). In the terms of takeaways, Pacers are causing 12.7 turnovers per game, ranking 16th in the league. They also enter the matchup ranked 9th in rejections, averaging 5.7 blocked shots each game.

Key Players For The Timberwolves And Pacers

For today’s matchup, we project Anthony Edwards to lead the scoring for the Timberwolves, putting up 25 points and shooting at a rate of 9/19. This season, he is averaging 26.1 points per game along with 5.2 boards.

On the opposing side, we anticipate Pascal Siakam to be the top scorer for the Pacers. Our projection has him finishing the game with 21, and he is expected to secure 7 rebounds. This season, he is shooting at a field goal percentage of 53.4%, and his scoring average is 21.6 points per game.

Timberwolves vs Pacers Trends

  • Through their last ten road games, Minnesota has an ATS record of just 6-4. However, their overall record was 8-2 while averaging 117 points per game.
  • In their last ten games at home, the Pacers have a straight up record of 4-6 while going 4-5-1 vs the spread. The team’s offense averaged 115 points per game in these contests.
  • As the betting underdog, the Timberwolves have an ATS mark of just 6-4 in their last ten games. Minnesota posted a straight up mark of 5-5 in these matchups.
  • Going back to their previous three games as the favorite, Indiana has an ATS mark of 1-2 while going 1-2 straight up.

Timberwolves vs Pacers Prediction

As the underdogs with a spread of +1.5, we recommend going with the Timberwolves on the point spread. We not only see them covering the spread but also have a strong likelihood of winning this one outright, especially if you’re seeking a higher payout on the moneyline.

As for the total, the line is currently sitting at 228.5 and our model has the Timberwolves and Pacers finishing with a combined 233 points. Our pick is to take the over.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.