Warriors vs San Antonio Spurs NBA Betting Prediction

NBA Warriors vs San Antonio Spurs Prediction 3/11/2024

The Golden State Warriors (33-30) travel to face off against the San Antonio Spurs (14-50) on Monday, March 11th. This game will be played at Frost Bank Center in San Antonio and televised on NBCS. The Spurs are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Warriors are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Warriors. Tip-off is set for 8:00 ET.

Warriors vs Spurs

golden state warriors nba

The Warriors Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

In their most recent matchup, the Warriors conveyed a message to the Spurs with a score of 126-113. In addition to their straight-up loss, the Warriors also couldn’t meet the spread, coming up short as -12.5 point favorites. Before the game, the over/under line was 225 points, and both teams ended up surpassing that mark.

Heading into today’s game versus the Spurs, the Warriors are above .500 at 33-30 and are looking to build on their success. So far, they are 16-22 against Western Conference teams and have gone 17-8 in non-conference games.

Golden State comes in with an overall ATS record of 34-28 so far this season. This season, Golden State has a 20-21 record against the spread when they are the favorites, and they are 14-7 as underdogs.

The Spurs Are Coming Off A Win

In the Spurs’ most recent game against the Warriors, Keldon Johnson led the Spurs with 22 points while going 9/18 from the field. As the Spurs secured the victory with a final score of 126-113, Jeremy Sochan also chipped in with 20 points.

As of now, the Spurs are 14-50 overall and have gone 1-2 in their last three games. In the Western Conference, they are 15th and are 5th in the Southwest division.

San Antonio has a .500 ATS record so far this season, marked at 32-32. In their two most recent home games, San Antonio has covered the spread and they are 14-14 ATS at home compared to 18-18 on the road.

Warriors Offense Breakdown

The Warriors step onto the court for today’s game as one of the NBA’s top-scoring squads, putting up 118.7 points per game (7th).

Golden State is one of the top three-point shooting teams in the league, attempting an average of 39.8 three-pointers per game (3rd). So far, they have made 37% of their attempts from beyond the arc (9th).

When it comes to scoring, the Warriors are averaging 118.7 points per game this season (7th). Interestingly, they have scored more points on the road (119.7) than at home (117.7).

Overall, Golden State’s field goal percentage is 47% (16th). In terms of pace, they are 7th in the league with an average of 100.2 possessions per game.

Spurs Offense Breakdown

san antonio spurs

Through 64 games the Spurs are averaging 112.6 points per contest, placing them 21st in the NBA.

At home this season, the Spurs are averaging 115.2 points per game, which is 16th in the league. Overall, they are 21st in scoring at 112.6 points per game.

San Antonio’s offense has been one of the most efficient units in the NBA this season. They are 3rd in pace at 101.2 possessions per game and 2nd in assists with 29.9 per game.

From beyond the arc, the Spurs are shooting just 35% (27th). However, they are 11th in three-point attempts and have hit an average of 12.6 threes per game (15th).

Warriors Team Defense

So far, the Warriors’ defense is ranked 18th in the league at 117.0 points per contest. In terms of two point field goal attempts, the Warriors defense has allowed a shooting percentage of 54.4% while allowing 35.9% from downtown.

Spurs Team Defense

So far, the Spurs’ defense is ranked 25th in the league at 120.3 points per contest. Inside the arc, the Spurs defense is giving up a shooting percentage of 56.0% and 37.8% from three-point territory.

Key Players For The Warriors And Spurs

For today’s matchup, we project Jonathan Kuminga to lead the scoring for the Warriors, putting up 17 points and shooting at a rate of 6/12. This season, he is averaging 15.9 points per game along with 4.8 boards.

On the opposing side, we anticipate Devin Vassell to be the top scorer for the Spurs. Our projection has him finishing the game with 20, and he is expected to secure 4 rebounds. Throughout the season, he has maintained a 47.1% field goal shooting rate and is averaging 19.5 points per game.

Warriors vs Spurs Trends

  • When looking at their past ten road matchups, Golden State has an ATS record of 8-2 while averaging 121 per game. The team went 8-2 overall in these games.
  • San Antonio has a 1-2 record in their last three home games. In this stretch, they averaged 118 points per game while allowing 119. The team also performed well vs the spread at 2-1.
  • In their last three games as the betting underdog, the Spurs have a straight up record of 1-2 and an ATS mark of 2-1.
  • As the betting favorite, the Warriors have an ATS record of 3-2 in their last five games. In these matchups their, straight up record was 3-2.

Warriors vs Spurs Prediction

When looking to get a point-spread pick down in this Warriors vs. Spurs game, our recommendation is to take the Spurs at +4.5. Despite our model showing the Warriors winning 111-109, we like Spurs as our point-spread pick.

Regarding the over/under, the current line is set at 227.5, and our model predicts the Warriors and Spurs to score a combined 220 points. We recommend betting on the under.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.