Washington Wizards vs Miami Heat NBA Betting Prediction

NBA Washington Wizards vs Miami Heat Prediction 3/10/2024

The Washington Wizards (10-53) travel to face off against the Miami Heat (35-28) on Sunday, March 10th. This game will be played at Kaseya Center in Miami and televised on BSSU. The Wizards are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Heat are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Hornets. Tip-off is set for 6:00 ET.

Wizards vs Heat

washington wizards nba

The Wizards Are Coming Off A Win

Kyle Kuzma scored 28 for Washington against the Hornets which was the most on the team. His field goal percentage for the game was 49.4%. Deni Avdija also contributed 18 points as the Wizards won by a score of 112-100 vs. the Hornets.

Heading into today’s game vs. the Heat, the Wizards are 10-53 overall this season. At home, the Wizards are 4-26 compared to 6-27 on the road.

Washington comes in with an overall ATS record of 29-33 so far this season. This season, Washington has a 1-3 record against the spread when they are the favorites, and they are 28-30 as underdogs.

The Heat Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

In their most recent game, the Heat fell to the Thunder by a score of 107-100. The Heat may have lost the game outright, but they did succeed in covering the spread as +8.5 point underdogs. Regarding the over/under, the combined score of 207 points ended up below the over/under line of 226.5.

In their last five games, the Heat have gone 2-3 and have an overall record of 35-28. Out of their 63 games, the Heat are 23-16 against Eastern Conference teams and 12-12 in non-conference games.

Miami possesses a .500 ATS record for the season, sitting at 30-30 ATS. The Heat have failed to cover the spread in two straight games as the favorite and are 15-13 vs. the spread as the underdog.

Wizards Offense Breakdown

In 63 games games, Washington has an average of 114.5 points per game (16th).

This season, the Wizards have been one of the league’s most uptempo teams, leading the NBA in pace at 102.7 possessions per game. In terms of scoring, they are 16th in the league at 114.5 points per game. However, they have actually been slightly better on the road, averaging 115.3 points compared to 113.6 at home.

When it comes to their shooting, the Wizards are 17th in the NBA with a field goal percentage of 47%. Inside the arc, they are 5th in the league in two-point shooting at 54%. However, their three-point shooting has been a struggle, as they are 29th in the NBA at 34%.

So far this season, the Wizards have outscored the NBA scoring average in 44.4% of their games. In terms of assists, they are 9th in the league at 28.1 per game. When it comes to free throws, the Wizards are 25th in the NBA in both attempts and makes.

Heat Offense Breakdown

miami heat

In 63 games games, Miami has an average of 110.5 points per game (27th).

At home this season, the Heat are averaging 113.7 points per game (21st). Overall, they are 27th in scoring at 110.5 points per game. Heading into this game, Miami has scored less than their season average in three straight games and in 65.1% of their games this season.

So far this season, the Heat have made 12.4 three-pointers per game (16th) while shooting 37% from beyond the arc (6th). In terms of pace, Miami is 29th in the NBA at 96.1 possessions per game.

When it comes to two-point shooting, the Heat are 27th in the league at 52%. In terms of free throws, Miami is 8th in the league at 18.6 made per game. In terms of assists, the Heat are 20th in the NBA.

Wizards Team Defense

So far, the Wizards’ defense is ranked 30th in the league at 124.2 points per contest. Opponents are hitting 57.5% of their two-point field goal attempts this season, and they’re also connecting on 36.7% of their three-point attempts.

Heat Team Defense

This season, the Heat’s defense is the 6th ranked defense in the NBA at 6th PPG. So far, they have held opposing offenses below the NBA scoring average in 76.2% of their games. In terms of two point field goal attempts, the Heat defense has allowed a shooting percentage of 55.2% while allowing 36.3% from downtown.

Key Players For The Wizards And Heat

In today’s game, we anticipate Kyle Kuzma leading the scoring for the Wizards, contributing 23 points while shooting 9/19 from the field. Throughout this season, his average stands at 22.3 points per game, along with 6.5 rebounds.

On the flip side, our predictions place Terry Rozier as the leading scorer for the Heat. We expect him to conclude the game with a team-high 20 while also collecting 4 rebounds. For the season, he has a field goal percentage of 44.4% and is averaging 20.3 points per contest.

Wizards vs Heat Trends

  • Across their five previous road games, Washington has an ATS mark of 1-4. Their straight up record in these matchups was 0-5 while averaging 115 points per game.
  • In their last three home games, Miami has averaged 101 points per game while allowing 108. The team’s record in this stretch was 0-3 while going 2-1.
  • Spanning across their last ten games as the betting underdog, the Wizards have gone 4-6 vs the spread. Their overall record in these games was 0-10.
  • Miami has done well both straight up and vs the spread when favored to win the game, going 5-0 SU and 5-0 ATS in their last five games.

Wizards vs Heat Prediction

For a pick on the point-spread in this Heat vs. Wizards matchup, our bet is to grab the Wizards at +10.5. Even though our projections have the Heat winning 113-109, we see the Wizards as the play on the point-spread.

As for the total, the line is currently sitting at 229 and our model has the Wizards and Heat finishing with a combined 222 points. Our pick is to take the under.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.