Ball State Cardinals vs Evansville Aces prediction

NCAA Basketball: Ball State Cardinals vs. Evansville Aces Prediction 11/18/2023

The Ball State Cardinals (1-0) travel to face off against the Evansville Aces (2-0) on Saturday, November 18th. This game will be played at Ford Center in Evansville and televised on ESPN+. Both team’s come into this one having won their previous games. Tip-off is set for 2:00 ET.

Ball State Cardinals vs Evansville Aces

The Ball State Cardinals Are Coming Off A Win

After defeating Old Dominion by a score of 73-68, Ball State now holds a 1-0 record. All of their games have been played at home. As Ball State prepares for today’s game, their ATS record stands at 1-0. Last season, they finished with an 8-8 vs. the spread record in away games. Now, as they enter their first road game of the current season, Ball State looks to continue their positive trend.

Heading into their 2nd game of the season, Ball State has an over/under record of 0-1-0 after going 18-10-2 last season (over/under). Over the course of the last five games, the Cardinals’ games have averaged 83 points per game, along with an over/under record of 2-1.

The Evansville Aces Are Coming Off A Win

Evansville is coming into their third game of the season with a perfect 2-0 record so far. Looking back at their last ten home games, including last year, they have a record of 1-9. As of now, Evansville holds a 2-0 record against the spread going into today’s matchup. Looking at the Aces’ performance in the previous three games, they have a 1-1 ATS record with an average scoring differential of +16.

In two games, Evansville comes in with an over/under mark of 0-2-0, with their games averaging 134.5 points per game. When looking at the Aces’ last three games, their over/under record is 1-1, with their games averaging 88 points per game.

Ball State Offense Breakdown

The Ball State offense is coming off a game in which they scored 73 points vs. Old Dominion. Overall their field goal percentage was 39.6% while connecting on 10 threes. Jalin Anderson is the current leading scorer for the team, with an average of 19.7 as they approach today’s matchup. In addition, Basheer Jihad brings a PPG average of 15 into the game.

Jalin Anderson (G) 19.7 5.0 2.3
Basheer Jihad (F) 15.0 5.0 1.0
Mickey Pearson Jr (F) 11.3 3.7 0.3

Evansville Offense Breakdown

In contrast to their season average of 88 points per game, the Evansville had a below average performance. They scored 76 points against Southeast Missouri State and had a field goal percentage of 53.3%. Currently leading the team in scoring is Ben Humrichous who comes into today’s matchup averaging 16.7. Yacine Toumi also heads into the game with a PPG average of 14.3.

Ben Humrichous (F) 16.7 5.7 2.0
Yacine Toumi (F) 14.3 5.3 2.3
Chuck Bailey III (G) 9.0 2.7 1.3

Ball State Team Defense

So far this season, the Ball State defense has been performing well, ranking 5th in the country at 53.0 points allowed per contest. So far, the Ball State defense is giving up an average of 4.3 offensive rebounds per game and are turning teams over 8.3 times per game (194th).

Evansville Team Defense

Evansville’s defense has been playing well, ranking 10th nationally, with 55.7 points allowed per game. In their previous game vs. Southeast Missouri State, the Redhawks finished with a field goal percentage of 43% and a total of 57 points vs. Evansville.

Cardinals vs Aces Trends

  • Across their ten previous road games, Ball State has an ATS mark of 6-4. Their straight up record in these matchups was 5-5 while averaging 74 points per game.
  • Through their last three home games, Evansville has an ATS record of just 1-2. However, their overall record was 1-2 while averaging 62 points per game.
  • Going back to their previous ten games as the underdog, Evansville has an ATS mark of 4-5-1 while going 3-7 straight up.
  • Spanning across their last three games as the betting favorite, the Cardinals have gone 0-3 vs the spread. Their overall record in these games was 0-3.

Cardinals vs Aces Prediction

The Aces come in as the underdog at +1.5, making them our top choice on the point spread. We not only expect them to cover the spread but also believe they have a strong chance of winning the game outright, especially if you’re aiming for a higher moneyline payout.

As for the over/under, the the line is currently at 144.5, and our model projects the Cardinals and Aces to reach a combined total of 142 points. Our bet is on taking the under.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.