Northern Colorado Bears vs New Mexico State Aggies prediction

NCAA Basketball: Northern Colorado Bears vs. New Mexico State Aggies Prediction 11/18/2023

The Northern Colorado Bears (0-1) travel to face off against the New Mexico State Aggies (0-2) on Saturday, November 18th. This game will be played at Pan American Center in Las Cruces and televised on ESPN+. Both Northern Colorado and New Mexico State will be looking to bounce back from losses in their previous games. Tip-off is scheduled for 9:00 ET.

Northern Colorado Bears vs New Mexico State Aggies

The Northern Colorado Bears Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

Northern Colorado is set to play their second game of the season, and they currently have a 0-1 record. In the last three games where they were the underdog, they went 0-3. As of now, Northern Colorado has a 0-1 record against the spread for the season leading into today’s game. Last season, Northern Colorado struggled on the road with a 4-13 record vs. the spread.

After one game, Northern Colorado’s over/under mark is 0-1-0 after posting an over/under record of 20-11-0 last season. The Bears have seen their last five games conclude with a collective average of 77 points per game and an over/under record of 2-1.

The New Mexico State Aggies Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

As New Mexico State prepares for their third game of the season, they are coming off a 0-2 start. In their last three home games, which includes last year, New Mexico State has a record of 0-3. As of now, New Mexico State’s record against the spread stands at 0-2 leading into today’s matchup. In their previous ten games, including those from the previous season, New Mexico State is 2-5 vs. the spread.

Up to this point, games involving New Mexico State have had an average of 148.5 points per game, with the average over/under line set at 138.5 points. Their over/under record is 1-1-0. When assessing the Aggies’ performance in their last three games, their over/under record stands at 1-0, with their games averaging 81 points per game.

Northern Colorado Offense Breakdown

In their latest game, Northern Colorado offense put up 64 points against Colorado State. They recorded an overall field goal percentage of 36.9% and made 7 threes. Coming into the game, the Bears offense has strugled with their outside shot this season, hitting threes at a rate of just 29%. On average, they get up 27.3 three-point attempts per game and are averaging 18 made free-throws.

Brock Wisne (F) 15.7 2.3 1.3
Dejour Reaves (G) 14.7 4.7 1.0
Saint Thomas (F) 13.3 11.3 3.7

New Mexico State Offense Breakdown

The Aggies’ offense finished with 74 points in their previous game, mirroring their current average of 70.5 points per contest. The team’s top scorer is Jaden Harris, who enters today’s matchup with an average of 12.8, while Robert Carpenter also carries a PPG average of 11.2 into the game.

Jaden Harris (G) 12.8 4.2 1.0
Robert Carpenter (F) 11.2 5.0 1.0
Jaylin Jackson-Posey (G) 9.2 4.2 4.5

Northern Colorado Team Defense

This season, the Northern Colorado defense has been impressive, holding the 64th position in the country while permitting an average of 67.0 points per contest. On average, opposing teams are hitting 3.3 threes per game vs. New Mexico State. This has come on three-point shooting percentage of 12.8%.

New Mexico State Team Defense

Currently, the Aggies’ defense holds the 65th rank in the nation, allowing 67.2 points per game. In today’s game vs. Northern Colorado, the New Mexico State defense will be looking to do a better job avoiding putting opponents on the line. In their last game, New Mexico State made 21 free-throws vs. the Aggies.

Bears vs Aggies Trends

  • When looking at their past five road matchups, Northern Colorado has an ATS record of 1-4 while averaging 75 per game. The team went 1-4 overall in these games.
  • Across the Aggies last ten home games, the team averaged 69 points per game while allowing 82. Their record vs the spread in these contests was 2-7-1, while going 1-9 straight-up.
  • Looking back on the team’s last ten games as the underdog, the Bears have a straight up record of 1-9. Their record vs the spread in these games was 2-8.
  • In their last ten games as the betting favorite, the Aggies have a straight up record of 6-4 and an ATS mark of 5-5.

Bears vs Aggies Prediction

Entering the game as underdogs with a spread of +7, the Bears is our point spread pick. Our projections not only see them covering the spread but also indicate a solid chance of an outright victory. This is a good choice for those looking for a higher moneyline payout.

Regarding the over/under, the current line is set at 148.5, and our model predicts the Bears and Aggies to score a combined 143 points. We recommend betting on the under.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.