alabama vs ohio state ncaab prediction

NCAAB: Alabama vs. Ohio State Prediction 11/24/2023

The Alabama Crimson Tide (4-0) travel to face off against the Ohio State Buckeyes (3-1) on Friday, November 24th. This game will be played at Raider Arena in Destin and televised on CBSS. Both team’s come into this one having won their previous games. Tip-off is set for 7:00 ET.

Alabama Crimson Tide vs Ohio State Buckeyes

The Alabama Crimson Tide Are Coming Off A Win

After playing four games, Alabama has a perfect 4-0 record. In their previous ten road games, including those from last year, Alabama went 7-3. As of now, Alabama holds a perfect 4-0 record against the spread for this season leading into today’s game. Looking back to last season, Alabama went 7-7 vs. the spread when playing on the road.

Alabama’s games have, on average, featured 168.2 points per game leading to an over/under record of 3-1-0. Their average over/under line is currently 153.2 points so far. The Crimson Tide have an over/under record of 2-1 in their last three games, with their games averaging 100 points per game.

The Ohio State Buckeyes Are Coming Off A Win

After playing four games, Ohio State has a 3-1 record. In their previous ten home games, including last year, Ohio State has a 3-7 record. Heading into their game against Alabama, Ohio State currently holds a 0-4 ATS record. Over their last ten games, which includes the previous season, Ohio State is 2-8 vs. the spread.

Up to this point, games involving Ohio State have had an average of 137 points per game, with the average over/under line set at 139.5 points. Their over/under record is 2-2-0. The Buckeyes’ last five games have finished with a combined 73 points per game and an over/under record of 3-2.

Alabama Offense Breakdown

In their most recent game, the Crimson Tide’s offense tallied 98 points, consistent with their ongoing season average of 101.8 points per game. Mark Sears led the scoring for the Crimson Tide, contributing 24 points. Additionally, Nick Pringle chipped in with 14 points.

Mark Sears (G) 19.5 4.8 4.5
Aaron Estrada (G) 15.2 4.0 3.0
Grant Nelson (F) 13.8 6.8 2.5

Ohio State Offense Breakdown

In their latest game, Ohio State offense put up 73 points against Western Michigan. They recorded an overall field goal percentage of 46.8% and made 10 threes. The team’s top scorer is Bruce Thornton, who enters today’s matchup with an average of 15.2, while Roddy Gayle Jr. also carries a PPG average of 14.8 into the game.

Bruce Thornton (G) 15.2 1.5 4.5
Roddy Gayle Jr. (G) 14.8 6.8 4.0
Zed Key (F) 11.8 7.2 0.0

Alabama Team Defense

At present, the Crimson Tide’s defense is nationally ranked 73rd, allowing 66.5 points per game. On average, opposing teams are hitting 6.2 threes per game vs. Ohio State. This has come on three-point shooting percentage of 26.9%.

Ohio State Team Defense

Currently, the Buckeyes’ defense holds the 44th rank in the nation, allowing 63.5 points per game. In terms of field goal percentage allowed, Ohio State’s defense has allowed opponents to shoot 39.8% from the field, including a three-point shooting percentage allowed of 29.9% this season.

Crimson Tide vs Buckeyes Trends

  • Through their last three road contests, the Crimson Tide offense has averaged 66 points per game while allowing an average of 70. Alabama posted an overall record of 1-2 while going 0-3 ATS.
  • Although Ohio State has a straight up record of 3-7 in their last ten home games, they have not held up as well vs the spread going 4-6. The team averaged 67 points per game in these games.
  • As the betting underdog, the Buckeyes have an ATS mark of just 4-6 in their last ten games. Ohio State posted a straight up mark of 3-7 in these matchups.
  • The Crimson Tide have played well in their last three games as the betting favorite, going 3-0 straight up and 3-0 against the spread.

Crimson Tide vs Buckeyes Prediction

The Buckeyes come in as the underdog at +7.5, making them our top choice on the point spread. We not only expect them to cover the spread but also believe they have a strong chance of winning the game outright, especially if you’re aiming for a higher moneyline payout.

Right now, the over/under line for the game is sitting at 151 and given that our model is projecting 143 points between the teams, we like the under.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.