drake vs valparasio ncaab prediction

NCAAB Drake Bulldogs vs Valparaiso Prediction 11/29/2023

The Drake Bulldogs (4-1) travel to face off against the Valparaiso Beacons (3-2) on Wednesday, November 29th. This game will be played at Athletics-Recreation Center in Valparaiso and televised on ESPN+. Both team’s come into this one having won their previous games. Tip-off is set for 8:00 ET.

Drake Bulldogs vs Valparaiso Beacons

The Drake Bulldogs Are Coming Off A Win

Heading into their 6th game of the season, Drake currently boasts a 4-1 overall record. In their last three road games, including one from last year, Drake has a record of 1-2. As of today’s game, Drake has a 1-4 record against the spread. When playing away, Drake is 0-2 vs. the spread this season and 5-5 in their previous ten road games.

Up to this point, games involving Drake have had an average of 152.6 points per game, with the average over/under line set at 141.8 points. Their over/under record is 4-1-0. Looking at the Bulldogs’ last three games, their over/under record is 2-1 with their games averaging 74 points per game.

The Valparaiso Beacons Are Coming Off A Win

After defeating Southern by a score of 71-59 in their last game, Valparaiso now has a 3-2 record. In their previous five home games, which includes games from last year, Valparaiso has yet to win a game at home. Valparaiso has a current ATS record of 3-2 heading into today’s game. In their last five games, the team holds an ATS record of 3-1.

Valparaiso’s games have, on average, featured 133 points per game leading to an over/under record of 1-4-0. Their average over/under line is currently 141.6 points so far. Looking at the Beacons’ last three games, their over/under record is 0-3 with their games averaging 69 points per game.

Drake Offense Breakdown

Coming off their recent game, the Drake offense tallied 77 points in a matchup against Texas Southern. Their field goal percentage for the game was 52.7%, and they made 1 three. Leading the team in scoring was Darnell Brodie with 18 points. Tucker DeVries also added 16 points for the Bulldogs.

Name PPG REB AST
Tucker DeVries (G) 20.2 7.0 3.3
Atin Wright (G) 15.2 2.0 2.0
Kevin Overton (G) 14.7 3.7 1.3

Valparaiso Offense Breakdown

In their recent game, the Beacons’ offense concluded with 71 points, consistent with their ongoing season average of 71.3 points per contest. The team’s top scorer is Isaiah Stafford, who comes into today’s matchup with an average of 17.5, while Cooper Schwieger also maintains a PPG average of 11.8 leading up to the game.

Name PPG REB AST
Isaiah Stafford (G) 17.5 4.8 2.7
Cooper Schwieger (F) 11.8 5.5 0.5
Jaxon Edwards (G) 8.7 6.7 0.5

Drake Team Defense

So far, the Bulldogs’ defense is ranked 136th in the country at 72.7 points per contest. The Drake defense is coming off a game in which they gave up a total of 71 points and allowed Texas Southern to connect on 1 threes.

Valparaiso Team Defense

So far this season, the Valparaiso defense has been performing well, ranking 69th in the country at 66.3 points allowed per contest. In terms of field goal percentage allowed, Valparaiso’s defense has allowed opponents to shoot 44.0% from the field, including a three-point shooting percentage allowed of 30.5% this season.

Bulldogs vs Beacons Trends

  • In their last five games away from home, the Bulldogs have a straight up record of 2-3 while going 1-4 vs the spread. The team’s offense averaged 69 points per game in these contests.
  • Across their last three home contests, Valparaiso has a 2-1 record vs the spread. Their overall mark in these games was 0-3, while averaging 63 points per game.
  • Spanning across their last ten games as the betting underdog, the Beacons have gone 5-5 vs the spread. Their overall record in these games was 1-9.
  • Through their previous five contests as the betting favorite, the Bulldogs have a strong record of 4-1. Their record vs the spread in these matchups is 1-4.

Bulldogs vs Beacons Prediction

Coming in as the underdogs at +11, we have the Beacons as the way to go on the point spread. Not only do we have them covering, but our projections show they have a good one of winning this one straight-up, if you’re looking for a higher payout on the moneyline.

Regarding the over/under, the current line is set at 142.5, and our model predicts the Bulldogs and Beacons to score a combined 142 points. We recommend betting on the under.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.