iowa vs purdue ncaab prediction

NCAAB: Iowa vs Purdue Boilermakers Prediction 12/4/2023

The Iowa Hawkeyes (5-2) travel to face off against the Purdue Boilermakers (7-1) on Monday, December 4th. This game will be played at Mackey Arena in West Lafayette and televised on BTN. Iowa is coming off a win in their previous game, while Purdue is looking to get back on track from a loss to the Northwestern. Tip-off is set for 7:00 ET.

Iowa Hawkeyes vs Purdue Boilermakers

The Iowa Hawkeyes Are Coming Off A Win

As they prepare for their 8th game of the season, Iowa currently has a 5-2 overall record. In their last three road games, which includes games from last year, Iowa has a road record of 1-2. Looking at Iowa’s ATS performance, they have a current ATS record of 3-4 heading into today’s game. In their last five games, they have gone 2-3 against the spread.

After seven games, Iowa has an over/under record of 5-2-0, with their games averaging a combined 166.4 points per game so far. When assessing the Hawkeyes’ performance in their last three games, their over/under record stands at 2-1, with their games averaging 161 points per game.

The Purdue Boilermakers Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

Purdue, who is preparing for their 9th game of the season, has a 7-1 overall record. In their last ten home games, which includes last year, Purdue has a 9-1 record at home. As of now, Purdue’s against the spread record stands at 4-2-2 leading into today’s game. Up to this point, the Boilermakers have gone 1-1-1 ATS on the road and 3-1-1 vs. the spread at home.

Through eight games, Purdue has an over/under record of 6-2-0 with their games averaging a combined 151.8 points per game so far. When analyzing the Boilermakers’ last five games, they have produced a combined average of 153 points per game and an over/under record of 4-1.

Iowa Offense Breakdown

Iowa’s offense is coming off a good game, putting up 103 points vs. North Florida. Overall, they hit 59% of their shots from the field and went 23/26 from the free-throw line. Offensively, the Hawkeyes hold a season-long field goal percentage of 49%, placing them 59th in the national rankings. When it comes to three-pointers, they are ranked 125th in terms of percentage and 238th in three-pointers made.

Name PPG REB AST
Ben Krikke (F) 18.7 4.6 1.7
Payton Sandfort (F) 14.3 8.4 2.4
Tony Perkins (G) 12.9 5.1 2.7

Purdue Offense Breakdown

Purdue’s offense is coming off a strong performance, scoring 88 points against Northwestern. They had an overall field goal percentage of 43.3% and made 31/41 free throws. Leading Purdue in scoring vs. Northwestern was Zach Edey with his 35 points. Fletcher Loyer also added 17 points for the Boilermakers.

Name PPG REB AST
Zach Edey (C) 23.5 11.1 0.9
Braden Smith (G) 12.9 6.0 7.0
Fletcher Loyer (G) 10.8 2.8 1.1

Iowa Team Defense

Currently, the Hawkeyes’ defense holds the 192nd rank in the nation, allowing 75.7 points per game. So far, the Iowa defense is giving up an average of 10.9 offensive rebounds per game and are turning teams over 8.6 times per game (236th).

Purdue Team Defense

At this time, the Boilermakers’ defense is positioned 77th in the country, permitting 67.1 points per game. So far, the Purdue defense is giving up an average of 7.5 offensive rebounds per game and are turning teams over 12.8 times per game (475th).

Hawkeyes vs Boilermakers Trends

  • Although Iowa has a straight up record of 2-3 in their last five road games, they have not held up as well vs the spread going 2-2-1. The team averaged 70 points per game in these games.
  • In their last ten games at home, the Boilermakers have a straight up record of 6-4 while going 2-6-2 vs the spread. The team’s offense averaged 68 points per game in these contests.
  • As the betting underdog, the Hawkeyes have an ATS mark of just 2-3 in their last five games. Iowa posted a straight up mark of 1-4 in these matchups.
  • In their last three contests as the favorite, Purdue has a poor record vs the spread going 1-1-1. But, they still put together a straight up mark of 2-1.

Hawkeyes vs Boilermakers Prediction

For a pick on the point-spread in this Boilermakers vs. Hawkeyes matchup, our bet is to grab the Hawkeyes at +13.5. Even though our projections have the Boilermakers winning 74-69, we see the Hawkeyes as the play on the point-spread.

Regarding the over/under, the current line is set at 165.5, and our model predicts the Hawkeyes and Boilermakers to score a combined 143 points. We recommend betting on the under.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.