north carolina state vs ole miss ncaab prediction

NCAAB North Carolina State vs Ole Miss Prediction 11/28/2023

The North Carolina State Wolfpack (4-1) travel to face off against the Ole Miss Rebels (5-0) on Tuesday, November 28th. This game will be played at The Sandy and John Black Pavilion at Ole Miss in Oxford and televised on ESPN2. Ole Miss is coming off a win in their previous game, while North Carolina State is looking to get back on track from a loss to the BYU. Tip-off is set for 9:00 ET.

North Carolina State Wolfpack vs Ole Miss Rebels

The North Carolina State Wolfpack Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

As North Carolina State gets ready for their 6th game of the season, they currently hold a 4-1 overall record. Looking back at their previous ten road games, which includes last year, North Carolina State has a record of 3-7. North Carolina State’s performance against the spread heading into today’s game stands at 2-3. On the road, they have a 0-2 ATS record this season and are 3-7 vs. the spread in their last ten games away from home.

Up to this point, games involving North Carolina State have had an average of 152.4 points per game, with the average over/under line set at 146 points. Their over/under record is 2-2-1. Looking at the Wolfpack’s last three games, their over/under record is 2-1 with their games averaging 85 points per game.

The Ole Miss Rebels Are Coming Off A Win

The North Carolina State Wolfpack come into their game against North Carolina State with a perfect 5-0 record. So far this season, the Wolfpack have been the favored team in all of their games. Ole Miss’ ATS performance shows that they are currently 0-5 heading into today’s game. Taking into account their performance from last season, Ole Miss has gone 1-9 against the spread in their last ten games.

Ole Miss’ games have, on average, featured 139.2 points per game leading to an over/under record of 2-3-0. Their average over/under line is currently 137.3 points so far. The Rebels have an over/under record of 1-2 in their last three games, with their games averaging 71 points per game.

North Carolina State Offense Breakdown

North Carolina State’s offense is coming off a strong performance, scoring 86 points against BYU. They had an overall field goal percentage of 46.9% and made 16/22 free throws. Leading the team in scoring is Casey Morsell, who is averaging 15 heading into today’s matchup. Additionally, Jayden Taylor also maintains a PPG average of 14.8 heading into game.

Name PPG REB AST
Casey Morsell (G) 15.0 3.2 1.6
Jayden Taylor (G) 14.8 3.2 2.0
D.J. Burns (F) 14.6 5.6 3.0

Ole Miss Offense Breakdown

The Ole Miss offense is coming off a game in which they scored 77 points vs. Temple. Overall their field goal percentage was 50.8% while connecting on 10 threes. Offensively, the Rebels have a season long field goal percentage of 44%, which is 216th in the nation. In terms of three-pointers, they are 172nd in percentage and 261st in three-pointers made.

Name PPG REB AST
Allen Flanigan (G) 20.2 7.2 2.2
Matthew Murrell (G) 14.4 5.0 3.8
Jaylen Murray (G) 12.4 2.4 3.8

North Carolina State Team Defense

At this time, the Wolfpack’s defense is positioned 104th in the country, permitting 69.8 points per game. North Carolina State’s defense is coming off a game in which they allowed the BYU offense to knock down 56% of their shots on their way to putting up 95 points.

Ole Miss Team Defense

So far, the Rebels’ defense is ranked 79th in the country at 67.0 points per contest. Ole Miss’ three-point defense is currently 89th in the country at 8.2 made threes per game. In terms of overall field goal percentage, opponets have hit 40.8% of their shots vs. Ole Miss.

Wolfpack vs Rebels Trends

  • When looking at their past ten road matchups, North Carolina State has an ATS record of 3-7 while averaging 71 per game. The team went 3-7 overall in these games.
  • Although Ole Miss has a straight up record of 3-7 in their last ten home games, they have not held up as well vs the spread going 4-6. The team averaged 68 points per game in these games.
  • Going back to their previous three games as the underdog, North Carolina State has an ATS mark of 0-3 while going 0-3 straight up.
  • Through their last three matchups as the betting favorite, the Rebels have a good straight up record, but their ATS mark is just 0-3.

Wolfpack vs Rebels Prediction

Coming in as the underdogs at +1.5, we have the Wolfpack as the way to go on the point spread. Not only do we have them covering, but our projections show they have a good one of winning this one straight-up, if you’re looking for a higher payout on the moneyline.

Right now, the over/under line for the game is sitting at 146 and given that our model is projecting 143 points between the teams, we like the under.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.