troy vs eastern kentucky ncaab prediction

NCAAB Troy vs Eastern Kentucky Prediction 11/27/2023

The Troy Trojans (1-2) travel to face off against the Eastern Kentucky Colonels (0-2) on Monday, November 27th. This game will be played at Baptist Health Arena in Richmond and televised on ESPN+. Troy is coming off a win in their previous game, while Eastern Kentucky is looking to get back on track from a loss to the Prairie View A&M. Tip-off is set for 7:00 ET.

Troy Trojans vs Eastern Kentucky Colonels

The Troy Trojans Are Coming Off A Win

Troy has a 1-2 record heading into today’s game. In their last three road games, including last year, Troy has gone 0-3. As of today’s game, Troy has an ATS record of 1-2. Looking back to last season, Troy is 4-4 against the spread in their last ten games.

So far, Troy’s games have averaged 155.3 points per game with the average over/under line being 142 points. The Trojans’ last five games have finished with a combined 85 points per game and an over/under record of 4-0.

The Eastern Kentucky Colonels Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

As they head into their 3rd game, Eastern Kentucky, who currently have a record of 0-2, will face off against Troy. Up to this point, all of Eastern Kentucky’s games have been played at their home arena. Eastern Kentucky enters today’s game with a 0-2 ATS record. Over their last three games, including last season, the team has a 0-2 ATS record and an average scoring differential of +19.

Eastern Kentucky’s games have, on average, featured 147 points per game leading to an over/under record of 0-2-0. Their average over/under line is currently 157.5 points so far. The Colonels have an over/under record of 0-2 in their last three games, with their games averaging 90 points per game.

Troy Offense Breakdown

Troy’s offense is coming off a good game, putting up 80 points vs. Grambling State. Overall, they hit 45.5% of their shots from the field and went 27/39 from the free-throw line. On the offensive front, the Trojans have a season-long field goal percentage of 44%, ranking 225th nationally. When it comes to three-point shooting, they are ranked 316th in terms of percentage and 149th in three-pointers made.

Name PPG REB AST
Christyon Eugene (G) 15.0 5.3 4.3
Tayton Conerway (G) 11.7 2.8 2.8
Thomas Dowd (F) 10.3 6.3 0.7

Eastern Kentucky Offense Breakdown

Eastern Kentucky offense recently wrapped up a game with a total of 64 points against Prairie View A&M. In that game, they made 7/25 three-point attempts and achieved a field goal percentage of 34.3%. On the offensive front, the Colonels have a season-long field goal percentage of 46%, ranking 195th nationally. When it comes to three-point shooting, they are ranked 285th in terms of percentage and 46th in three-pointers made.

Name PPG REB AST
Isaiah Cozart (F) 18.2 10.5 1.2
Leland Walker (G) 12.2 5.0 5.5
John Ukomadu (F) 10.8 6.0 1.2

Troy Team Defense

At present, the Trojans’ defense is nationally ranked 99th, allowing 69.5 points per game. On average, opposing teams are hitting 4.0 threes per game vs. Eastern Kentucky. This has come on three-point shooting percentage of 20.5%.

Eastern Kentucky Team Defense

Currently, the Colonels’ defense holds the 169th rank in the nation, allowing 75.8 points per game. On average, opposing teams are hitting 5.2 threes per game vs. Troy. This has come on three-point shooting percentage of 21.0%.

Trojans vs Colonels Trends

  • Across the Trojans last ten road games, the team averaged 67 points per game while allowing 73. Their record vs the spread in these contests was 3-7, while going 3-7 straight-up.
  • The Colonels are 5-0 ATS in their last home games and 3-2 straight-up.
  • The last ten games that Troy was the underdog, they have an ATS mark of 4-6 while going 1-9 straight up.
  • The last ten games that Eastern Kentucky was favored, they have an ATS mark of 5-5 while going 6-4 straight up.

Trojans vs Colonels Prediction

Not only do we have the Colonels winning this one by a score of 77-67, but we see them covering the spread. Our pick is to grab the Colonels at -4.5.

Right now, the over/under line for the game is sitting at 150.5 and given that our model is projecting 144 points between the teams, we like the under.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.