western kentucky vs bowling green ncaab prediction

NCAAB: W. Kentucky vs Bowling Green Prediction 11/24/2023

The Western Kentucky Hilltoppers (1-1) travel to face off against the Bowling Green Falcons (2-2) on Friday, November 24th. This game will be played at Place Bell in Laval and televised on ESPN+. Western Kentucky is coming off a win in their previous game, while Bowling Green is looking to get back on track from a loss to the Bellarmine. Tip-off is set for 7:00 ET.

Western Kentucky Hilltoppers vs Bowling Green Falcons

The Western Kentucky Hilltoppers Are Coming Off A Win

Heading into their third game of the season, Western Kentucky has a record of 1-1. Up until this point, all of the Hilltoppers’ games have been played away from home. Western Kentucky has a 1-1 ATS record heading into today’s game. Over their last three games, including last season, the team is 1-1 against the spread with an average scoring margin of +3.

Looking at their over/under performance through two games, Western Kentucky has an over/under record of 1-1-0, with their games averaging 149.5 points per game on average. In the Hilltoppers’ last five games, the combined scoring average stands at 76 points per game, accompanied by an over/under record of 1-2.

The Bowling Green Falcons Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

This will be the 5th game of the season for Bowling Green, who currently have a 2-2 record. In their one road game, they are 0-1, while they are 2-1 at home. As of today’s game, Bowling Green has a 2-2 record against the spread for this season. Looking back at their last ten games, which includes the previous season, Bowling Green is 6-4 vs. the spread.

Bowling Green comes in with an over/under record of 1-3-0 through four games, with their games averaging a combined 140.5 points per game so far. In the Falcons’ last five games, the combined scoring average stands at 75 points per game, accompanied by an over/under record of 1-4.

Western Kentucky Offense Breakdown

Western Kentucky’s offense is coming off a good game, putting up 86 points vs. Murray State. Overall, they hit 52.6% of their shots from the field and went 18/21 from the free-throw line. Donald McHenry is leading the team in scoring at 13.8 points per contest. Brandon Newman has also been a key contributor with a PPG average of 12 going into the game.

Donald McHenry (G) 13.8 4.0 3.0
Brandon Newman (G) 12.0 6.5 0.5
Rodney Howard (F) 8.8 5.0 0.5

Bowling Green Offense Breakdown

In their previous game, the Falcons’ offense finished with 67 points, which is right in line with their current average of 70 points per contest. The Bowling Green offense has been looking to get up shots from outside so far this season, averaging 24.5 three-point attempts per contest. Overall, they have connected on 27% of their looks from outside this season.

Marcus Hill (G) 13.5 3.8 2.8
DaJion Humphrey (G) 11.2 2.5 1.5
Rashaun Agee (F) 10.5 6.5 1.5

Western Kentucky Team Defense

Currently, the Hilltoppers’ defense holds the 123rd rank in the nation, allowing 72.8 points per game. Western Kentucky’s three-point defense is currently 8th in the country at 3.2 made threes per game. In terms of overall field goal percentage, opponets have hit 36.8% of their shots vs. Western Kentucky.

Bowling Green Team Defense

At present, the Falcons’ defense is nationally ranked 103rd, allowing 70.5 points per game. In their previous game vs. Bellarmine, the Knights finished with a field goal percentage of 37% and a total of 85 points vs. Bowling Green.

Hilltoppers vs Falcons Trends

  • In their last five games away from home, the Hilltoppers have a straight up record of 2-3 while going 2-3 vs. the spread. The team averaged 60 points per game in this stretch.
  • In their last five games at home, the Falcons have a straight up record of 0-5 while going 0-5 vs the spread. The team’s offense averaged 64 points per game in these contests.
  • Going back to their previous ten games as the underdog, Bowling Green has an ATS mark of 2-8 while going 0-10 straight up.
  • As the betting favorite, the Hilltoppers have an ATS record of 3-0 in their last three games. In these matchups, their straight up record was 3-0.

Hilltoppers vs Falcons Prediction

The Falcons come in as the underdog at +4.5, making them our top choice on the point spread. We not only expect them to cover the spread but also believe they have a strong chance of winning the game outright, especially if you’re aiming for a higher moneyline payout.

As for the over/under, the the line is currently at 149.5, and our model projects the Hilltoppers and Falcons to reach a combined total of 142 points. Our bet is on taking the under.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.