The Alabama Crimson Tide (10-1) travel to face off against the Auburn Tigers (6-5) on Saturday, November 25th. This game will be played at Jordan-Hare Stadium in Auburn and televised on CBS. Alabama is coming off a win in their previous game, while Auburn is looking to get back on track from a loss to the New Mexico State. Kickoff is set for 3:30 ET.
Alabama Crimson Tide vs Auburn Tigers
The Alabama Crimson Tide Are Coming Off A Win
Alabama is coming off a 66-10 win over the Chattanooga. The Crimson Tide benefited from a strong first-half, going into halftime with a 38-28 lead. In the win vs. Chattanooga, quarterback Jalen Milroe finished with a QB rating of 157.55 while completing 13 of 16 passes for 197 yards. He also ended the game with three touchdowns.
So far, the Alabama Crimson Tide are 10-1, including going 4-0 on the road and 5-1 at home.
While being favored in all of their games so far this season, Alabama is 7-3 against the spread. The team comes into the game with an average scoring margin of +19.2. This season, Alabama has an over/under record of 7-3. Their games have, on average, produced a combined total of 53.9 points, with the typical over/under line being 51.4 points.
The Auburn Tigers Look To Bounce Back From A Loss
The Tigers could never recover from a rough first quarter in their most recent game vs. New Mexico State, as they trailed 7-0 after the first period. Auburn ended up dropping the game 31-10. In the loss vs. New Mexico State, quarterback Payton Thorne concluded with a QB rating of 116.67, connecting on 15 of 19 passes for 148 yards. He also added one touchdown to his performance.
Leading up to the game, Auburn was favored to win by 26.5, handing them an ATS and straight-up defeat. The under ended up hitting as the line going into the game was 48.
So far, the Auburn Tigers are 6-5, including going 3-2 on the road and 2-3 at home.
Auburn’s average scoring differential for the season is +6.1 leading to an ATS mark of 5-5. The Tigers have been favored five times and the underdog in five games The average point total in Auburn’s 11 games is currently 49 points per game. This has led to an over/under record of 4-6 for the Tigers.
Alabama Offense Breakdown
Alabama enters the game on offense with an average of 36.5, ranking them 15th in the NCAA. Their passing game has them at 62nd in the nation, with an average of 229 passing yards per game. On the ground, they’re at 42nd in rushing yards, with an average of 427 rushing attempts per game this season.
Quarterback Jalen Milroe leads the team with 2267 passing yards while completing 66.4% of his passes. So far, he is averaging 10.6 yards per passing attempt.
Auburn Offense Breakdown
The Tigers’ heads into the game, averaging 196.8 rushing yards per game and 5 yards per attempt. Overall, they’re 21st in rushing yards and 21st in passing yards at 162.9 yards per contest. Auburn is averaging 27.5 points per game, which is 57th in the nation.
With 1580 passing yards under his belt, Payton Thorne leads the team through the air. He’s also 2nd on the team in rushing yards. This season, he’s contributed on the ground with 110 carries and 463 rushing yards, all while maintaining a completion rate of 64.9%.
Alabama Team Defense
Ranked 168th in passing yards allowed per game, Alabama’s defense gets ready to take on Auburn. Opponents have attempted an average of 30.9 passes per game against the Crimson Tide. They’re allowing 17.4 points per contest, placing them 60th in college football. Their rush defense ranks 38th in the NCAA.
Auburn Team Defense
On defense, Auburn comes into the game ranked 162nd in passing yards per game. Opponents are throwing the ball an average of 28.2 times per contest vs. the Tigers. Overall, they are giving up 21.5 points per game, which is 81st in college football. Against the run, they are 94th in the NCAA in rushing yards allowed.
Alabama vs Auburn Trends
- On the road, Alabama has gone 5-5 vs. the spread.
- Auburn’s ATS record at home (last ten) is 4-5-1.
- Auburn is 4-5-1 in their last ten games as underdogs.
- Looking back on the last three times Alabama was favored, their ATS record was 3-0.
In this matchup, I’m counting on the Alabama offense to take advantage of a Auburn defense that has allowed opponents to increase their passing yards per attempt in zero straight games. I like Alabama as road favorites.
Our model sees the over/under line for this matchup being to low and like the outlook of this game surpassing 49 points. The betting model spit out this game finishing with a combined 50 points.
All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!
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