The Texas State Bobcats (6-4) travel to face off against the Arkansas State Red Wolves (5-5) on Saturday, November 18th. This game will be played at Centennial Bank Stadium in Jonesboro and televised on ESPN+. Both Texas State and Arkansas State will be looking to bounce back from losses in their previous games. Kickoff is scheduled for 3:00 ET.
Texas State Bobcats vs Arkansas State Red Wolves
The Texas State Bobcats Look To Bounce Back From A Loss
Most recently, Texas State faced off against Coastal Carolina and lost by a score of 31-23. The Bobcats were able to cut into Coastal Carolina’s lead in the 4th, but still took the L. TJ Finley finished with 49 yards against Coastal Carolina while going 6 for 11 for a completion percentage of 54.5%. He ended the game without a rushing or passing touchdown.
The pre-game over/under line for this matchup was 55 points, which the teams fell short of. Texas State not only lost straight-up but didn’t cover the spread as 2.5-point favorites.
The Texas State Bobcats take on the Arkansas State with a 6-4 record, including 2-3 on the road and 4-1 at home.
Against the spread, Texas State has gone 5-5 this season. The Bobcats have been favored six times compared to four games as the underdog. Texas State has an over/under record of 3-6-1 so far this season. On average their games have combined for 63.4 points with the average over/under line being 61.4 points.
The Arkansas State Red Wolves Look To Bounce Back From A Loss
Most recently, Arkansas State faced off against South Alabama and lost by a score of 21-14. The Red Wolves were able to cut into South Alabama’s lead in the 4th, but still took the L. In the loss against South Alabama, quarterback Jaylen Raynor wrapped up the game with a QB rating of 71.43 after completing 15 of 28 passes for 186 yards. He also added one touchdown to his performance.
Going into the game, Arkansas State was 14.5-point underdogs and despite the straight-up loss, they did cover the spread. The team’s combined 35 points was not enough to surpass the over/under line of 55.
This season, the Arkansas State Red Wolves are currently 5-5. So far this season, they have played five road games and four at home.
Against the spread, Arkansas State has gone 5-4 so far this season. This has come on an average scoring differential of -7.3 and being the underdog in all of their games. In 10 games played, the average over/under line for Arkansas State’s games has been set at 55.5 points. These contests have seen an average combined score of 54.3 points, resulting in an OU record of 4-5.
Texas State Offense Breakdown
On the offensive side, Texas State has averaged 34.9 points per game this season. This figure has them 20th in the NCAA. Their passing game, averaging 263.6 passing yards, is ranked 38th nationally. In terms of rushing, they’re 15th in rushing yards with an average of 405 rushing attempts per contest this season.
TJ Finley is the top passer for the team this season, with 2454 yards and an average of 11.8 per completion. His completion rate is 68.9%, and he’s thrown 18 touchdowns.
Arkansas State Offense Breakdown
Arkansas State comes into the game with an offense averaging 23.5, which places them at 77th in the NCAA rankings. Their passing game has them ranked 72nd nationally, with an average of 222.2 passing yards. In the rushing department, they’re 77th in the nation, with 359 rushing attempts per game for the season.
Jaylen Raynor is the top passer for the team this season, with 1834 yards and an average of 15.7 per completion. His completion rate is 58.5%, and he’s thrown 14 touchdowns.
Texas State Team Defense
On defense, Texas State comes into the game ranked 66th in passing yards per game. Opponents are throwing the ball an average of 32.9 times per contest vs. the Bobcats. Overall, they are giving up 28.5 points per game, which is 113th in college football. Against the run, they are 95th in the NCAA in rushing yards allowed.
Arkansas State Team Defense
Arkansas State’s defense is ranked 59th in passing yards allowed per game as they prepare for this matchup. Opponents have attempted an average of 32.4 passing attempts against the Red Wolves. They have given up 30.8 points per game so far, placing them 124th in college football. In the NCAA’s rush defense category, they are 129th.
Texas State vs Arkansas State Trends
- Looking at Texas State’s five most recent road games, they have put together a record vs. the spread of 3-2.
- Arkansas State is 3-2 Against the spread in their last five games at home.
- In the ten most recent times they were the underdog, Arkansas State has put together an ATS record of 5-5.
- Over their last five games as the betting favorite, Texas State has an ATS record of 2-3.
For this matchup, I’m placing my bet on Texas State to cover the spread at -3.5. Texas State had an impressive performance in their last game, particularly in the ground game against Coastal Carolina. I expect them to continue that trend this week, which is why I’m backing Texas State before kickoff.
Texas State’s games this season have produced an average of 63.4 points. With the over/under line set at 59.5, I’m opting for the over.
All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!
* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.