Georgia southern vs appalachian state ncaaf prediction

NCAAF Georgia Southern vs Appalachian Prediction 11/25/2023

The Georgia Southern Eagles (6-5) travel to face off against the Appalachian State Mountaineers (7-4) on Saturday, November 25th. This game will be played at Kidd Brewer Stadium in Boone and televised on ESNU. Appalachian State is coming off a win in their previous game, while Georgia Southern is looking to get back on track from a loss to the Old Dominion. Kickoff is set for 3:30 ET.

Georgia Southern Eagles vs Appalachian State Mountaineers

The Georgia Southern Eagles Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

In their most recent loss to Old Dominion, the Eagles trailed by -7 going into the 4th quarter and ended up losing by a score 20-17. Quarterback Davis Brin threw for one touchdown in Georgia Southern’s loss over Old Dominion. Overall, he had a passer rating of 87.2 while completing 57.1% of his passes for 235 yards.

Leading up to the game, Georgia Southern was favored to win by 5, handing them an ATS and straight-up defeat. The under ended up hitting as the line going into the game was 62.

So far, the Georgia Southern Eagles are 6-5, including going 1-4 on the road and 4-1 at home.

Georgia Southern’s average scoring differential for the season is +4 leading to an ATS mark of 4-5-1. The Eagles have been favored five times and the underdog in three games So far in this season, Georgia Southern has posted an over/under record of 4-5-1. On average, their matchups have yielded a combined score of 58.5 points, with the typical over/under line set at 62.6 points.

The Appalachian State Mountaineers Are Coming Off A Win

Appalachian State is coming off a thrilling 26-23 win over James Madison. The two teams needed overtime to settle the game, as they were all tied at 20-20 at the end of regulation. Against James Madison, Joey Aguilar threw for 318 yards on a completion percentage of 60.9%. In the win, he threw three touchdowns and had a passer rating of 94.29.

Combining for 49 points, the under hit in this matchup with a line of 56.5. Appalachian State covered the spread, as they were 10-point underdogs going into the game.

This season, the Appalachian State Mountaineers are currently 7-4. So far this season, they have played four road games and four at home.

Against the spread, Appalachian State has gone 3-4-1 this season. The Mountaineers have been favored six times compared to two games as the underdog. Over 11 games, the average over/under line for Appalachian State’s games has been 54.8 points. The total score in these matchups has averaged 60.6 points, resulting in an OU record of 3-5.

Georgia Southern Offense Breakdown

Georgia Southern’s offense is averaging 31.3 points per game, which ranks them 37th in the NCAA. Through the air, they’re at 300.2 passing yards on average, putting them at 13th in the nation. Their rushing attack is currently 96th in rushing yards, with an average of 330 rushing attempts per game this season.

Davis Brin leads the team in passing yards this season with 3193. He’s averaging 10.4 per completion and holds a 64.2% completion rate, having thrown 22 touchdowns.

Appalachian State Offense Breakdown

The Mountaineers’ offense is gearing up to take on Georgia Southern, with an average of 174.2 rushing yards per game and an 4 yards per attempt. In the college football rankings, they are currently in 46th place for rushing yards and 28th place for passing yards, accumulating an average of 277.1 yards per contest. Appalachian State’s overall scoring average is at 34 points per game, placing them 21st rank nationally.

Leading the team in passing yards is Joey Aguilar with 2975 yards. In addition, he is 3rd on the team in rushing yards. This season, he’s carried the ball 66 times for 263 yards while boasting a completion rate of 63.5%.

Georgia Southern Team Defense

Defensively, the Eagles defense has come up with 22 sacks this season and are 1st in quarterback hurries. Overall, they are allowing 27.3 points per contest (111th). Against the pass, they are 125th in the NCAA, having allowed 239.4 passing yards allowed per game. Georgia Southern is giving up 149.6 rushing yards per contest.

Appalachian State Team Defense

Coming into their matchup vs. Georgia Southern, the Appalachian State defense is 106th in points allowed, giving up 26.6 points per game. So far, opponents have averaged 209.2 passing yards per game against them (66th in the country). Against the run, they’re allowing 178 rushing yards, which ranks them 133rd in college football.

Georgia Southern vs Appalachian State Trends

  • Georgia Southern’s ten most recent games vs. the spread has seen them go 3-6-1 against the spread.
  • At home, Appalachian State has gone 2-2-1 against the spread (last five).
  • Looking back at the last five times Appalachian State went into a game as the underdog, their ATS mark was 4-0-1.
  • Georgia Southern’s record vs. the spread in their five most recent games as the favorite is 3-2.

Georgia Southern vs Appalachian State Prediction

Appalachian State’s offense has been below average when it comes down to third-down conversions. I’m not banking on a sudden improvement, and I’m leaning towards Georgia Southern +8.5.

My choice for this matchup is the under, considering the over/under line at 63. Heading into this game, games featuring Appalachian State have seen an average combined score of 60.6 points, and I believe this game will remain under 63.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.