georgia state vs old dominion ncaaf prediction

NCAAF Georgia State vs Old Dominion Prediction 11/25/2023

The Georgia State Panthers (6-5) travel to face off against the Old Dominion Monarchs (5-6) on Saturday, November 25th. This game will be played at S.B. Ballard Stadium in Norfolk and televised on ESPN+. Old Dominion is coming off a win in their previous game, while Georgia State is looking to get back on track from a loss to the LSU. Kickoff is set for 2:00 ET.

Georgia State Panthers vs Old Dominion Monarchs

The Georgia State Panthers Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

Against LSU, the Panthers trailed by -21 going into the 4th quarter and ended up losing by a score of 56-14. In the loss against LSU, quarterback Darren Grainger achieved a QB rating of 103.88, completing 23 of 29 passes for 179 yards. Additionally, he contributed one touchdown to the game.

Against the spread, Georgia State was not able to cover as 33-point underdogs. On the over/under, the line was 74.5 going into the game resulting in the under hitting.

With a 6-5 record, the Georgia State Panthers take on Old Dominion. Their road record so far is (3-2) and at home (2-3).

Georgia State’s average scoring differential for the season is -5.4 leading to an ATS mark of 5-5. The Panthers have been favored five times and the underdog in four games This season, Georgia State holds an over/under record of 4-6. On average, their games have produced a combined total of 57.2 points, with the typical over/under line set at 58.6 points.

The Old Dominion Monarchs Are Coming Off A Win

As Old Dominion prepares to face Georgia State, they are coming off a 20-17 win over Georgia Southern. In the win against Georgia Southern, quarterback Grant Wilson wrapped up the game with a QB rating of 94.98 after completing 17 of 27 passes for 182 yards. He also added one touchdown to his performance.

Going into the game, the over/under line was 62 points, which the teams did not surpass. Against the spread, Old Dominion picked up a win as 5-point underdogs.

With a 5-6 record, the Old Dominion Monarchs take on Georgia State. Their road record so far is (2-4) and at home (3-2).

Against the spread, Old Dominion has gone 7-4 this season. The Monarchs have been favored two times compared to nine games as the underdog. Heading into this week’s game, Old Dominion’s over/under record is 5-6. Their average margin against their over/under lines is currently -4.5 with their games averaging 49.2 points per game.

Georgia State Offense Breakdown

Georgia State’s offense has put up an average of 25.9 points per game, placing them 62nd in the NCAA rankings. Through the air, they’ve gained 201.1 passing yards on average, ranking 91st in the nation. On the ground, they’re holding the 39th position in rushing yards, with 423 rushing attempts per game this season.

This season, Darren Grainger has thrown for a total of 2165 yards while maintaining an average of 10.9 yards per completion. His completion percentage is 66.3%, and he’s recorded 15 touchdowns.

Old Dominion Offense Breakdown

Old Dominion enters the game on offense with an average of 22.7, ranking them 77th in the NCAA. Their passing game has them at 92nd in the nation, with an average of 200.1 passing yards per game. On the ground, they’re at 71st in rushing yards, with an average of 406 rushing attempts per game this season.

Grant Wilson is Old Dominion’s top passer with 1818 passing yards. In addition, he’s 3rd on the team in rushing yards on his 107 attempts, amassing 182 yards. His overall completon percentage for the season is at 58.4%.

Georgia State Team Defense

Looking at this week’s game, the Georgia State defense stands at 133rd in points allowed, permitting 31.3 points on average per game. So far, opposing teams have managed 294.3 passing yards per game against them (177th). On the ground, they’re conceding 148.8 rushing yards, ranking them 79th in college football.

Old Dominion Team Defense

Coming into this week’s game, the Old Dominion defense is 104th in points allowed at 26.5 points per game. So far, team’s have averaged 241.5 passing yards per game vs. the unit (131st). On the ground, they are giving up 152.5 rushing yards, putting them 87th in college football.

Georgia State vs Old Dominion Trends

  • Georgia State is 7-3 in their last ten games road games.
  • Old Dominion is 7-3 in their last ten home games.
  • Old Dominion’s ATS record in their ten most recent games as the underdog is 8-2.
  • Looking back on the last three times Georgia State was favored, their ATS record was 1-2.

Georgia State vs Old Dominion Prediction

Old Dominion’s offense has been below average when it comes down to third-down conversions. I’m not banking on a sudden improvement, and I’m leaning towards Georgia State +2.5.

Coming in with an over/under line of 54.5, I’m going with the under as my pick. Georgia State has an -3.4 margin against their over/under lines so far this season.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.