houston vs UCF ncaaf prediction

NCAAF Houston Cougars vs UCF Knights Prediction 11/25/2023

The Houston Cougars (4-7) travel to face off against the UCF Knights (5-6) on Saturday, November 25th. This game will be played at FBC Mortgage Stadium in Orlando and televised on FS1. Both Houston and UCF will be looking to bounce back from losses in their previous games. Kickoff is scheduled for 12:00 ET.

Houston Cougars vs UCF Knights

The Houston Cougars Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

In the Cougars’ 43-30 loss to Oklahoma State, the Cougars jumped out to an early 14-3 in the first quarter but were unable to ride that momentum to a win. In their previous game, quarterback Donovan Smith attempted 29 passing attempts against Oklahoma State. He finished with 235 passing yards and a completion rate of 58.6%. Additionally, he threw two interceptions during the loss.

Looking at the over/under in this matchup, the line was 57.5 and with their 73 points, the over hit. Against the spread, Houston went into the game as 6.5-point underdogs giving them an ATS and straight-up loss.

With a 4-7 record, the Houston Cougars take on UCF. Their road record so far is (0-2) and at home (2-4).

Heading into this week’s matchup with UCF, the Cougars have been favored in one game and the underdog in seven. Their ATS mark coming into the game is 3-5. Houston has an over/under record of 3-5 so far this season. On average their games have combined for 56.5 points with the average over/under line being 56.6 points.

The UCF Knights Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

In their most recent loss to Texas Tech, the Knights trailed by -21 going into the 4th quarter and ended up losing by a score 24-23. Against Texas Tech, John Rhys Plumlee threw for 249 yards on a completion percentage of 50.0%. In the loss, he threw one touchdown and had a passer rating of 73.57.

Looking at how the teams fared against the spread, UCF was 2.5 point underdogs. This gave them a straight-up loss but an ATS win. As they combined for 47 points, the under hit in this matchup.

So far, the UCF Knights are 5-6, including going 2-4 on the road and 2-2 at home.

Against the spread, UCF has gone 4-6 this season. The Knights have been favored six times compared to four games as the underdog. UCF has an over/under record of 5-5 so far this season. On average their games have combined for 59.5 points with the average over/under line being 59.6 points.

Houston Offense Breakdown

The Cougars’ heads into the game, averaging 120.9 rushing yards per game and 4 yards per attempt. Overall, they’re 102nd in rushing yards and 102nd in passing yards at 248.5 yards per contest. Houston is averaging 24.6 points per game, which is 68th in the nation.

This season, Donovan Smith has been responsible for 2639 passing yards, maintaining an average of 10.9 per completion. He has a completion rate of 64.6%, having thrown 21 touchdowns.

UCF Offense Breakdown

On offense, the Knights come in with the 74th ranked offense in terms of passing attempts and are averaging 259.7 passing yards per game. In the running game, they are 12th in terms of attempts.

The top passer for UCF is John Rhys Plumlee, who has accumulated 1821 passing yards and boasts a completion rate of 61%. He’s currently averaging 9.1 yards per passing attempt.

Houston Team Defense

Houston’s defense ranks 136th in points allowed, with 31.9 points given up per game. Teams have been averaging 255.5 passing yards against them (149th nationally). On the ground, they’ve conceded 165.3 rushing yards, putting them 112th in college football.

UCF Team Defense

UCF’s defense sits at 105th for points allowed, allowing 26.5 points per game. So far, teams have been averaging 209.5 passing yards per game against them (67th nationally). On the ground, they’re yielding 196.9 rushing yards, ranking them 150th in college football.

Houston vs UCF Trends

  • When playing on the road, Houston has an ATS mark of 1-2 vs. the spread.
  • UCF is 2-3 Against the spread in their last five games at home.
  • In the five most recent times they were the underdog, UCF has put together an ATS record of 3-2.
  • Houston’s record vs. the spread in their five most recent games as the favorite is 2-3.

Houston vs UCF Prediction

For the point spread, I’m backing Houston at +13.5. I believe the Houston rushing game will take full advantage of the issues in UCF’s defense, which had trouble defending the run in their last game. Make your bet now on Houston with +13.5.

The analysis we’ve been running for this game has Houston and UCF finishing with a combined 61 points. With the over/under line sitting at 61.5, I’m getting a bet down on the under.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.