NCAAF: North Texas vs. Tulsa Prediction 11/18/2023

The North Texas Mean Green (3-7) travel to face off against the Tulsa Golden Hurricane (3-7) on Saturday, November 18th. This game will be played at Skelly Field at H.A. Chapman Stadium in Tulsa and televised on ESPN+. Both North Texas and Tulsa will be looking to bounce back from losses in their previous games. Kickoff is scheduled for 3:00 ET.

North Texas Mean Green vs Tulsa Golden Hurricane

The North Texas Mean Green Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

North Texas will be looking to rebound from a 45-21 loss to SMU in their most recent game. The Mean Green fell behind early, trailing by -7 after the first quarter. In the loss against SMU, quarterback Chandler Rogers achieved a QB rating of 90.79, completing 18 of 31 passes for 240 yards. Additionally, he contributed two touchdowns to the game.

Against the spread, North Texas was not able to cover as 19.5-point underdogs. On the over/under, the line was 66.5 going into the game resulting in the under hitting.

With a 3-7 record, the North Texas Mean Green take on Tulsa. Their road record so far is (1-4) and at home (1-3).

North Texas’ average scoring differential for the season is -4.1 leading to an ATS mark of 5-3-1. The Mean Green have been favored two times and the underdog in seven games Heading into this week’s game, North Texas’ over/under record is 4-5. Their average margin against their over/under lines is currently +7.2 with their games averaging 70.9 points per game.

The Tulsa Golden Hurricane Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

Tulsa heads into this week’s game looking to rebound from a 24-22 loss to Tulane. In the passing attack, Kirk Francis had a big game through the air vs. Tulane, throwing for 345 yards while completing 22 of his 34 attempts. Overall, he averaged 15.7 yards per completion and finished with a passer rating of 108.09.

Going into the game, Tulsa was 24-point underdogs and despite the straight-up loss, they did cover the spread. The team’s combined 46 points was not enough to surpass the over/under line of 53.5.

The Tulsa Golden Hurricane take on the North Texas with a 3-7 record, including 1-4 on the road and 1-2 at home.

Heading into this week’s matchup with North Texas, the Golden Hurricane have been favored in two games and the underdog in six. Their ATS mark coming into the game is 4-3-1. Over 10 games, the average over/under line for Tulsa’s games has been 55.8 points. The total score in these matchups has averaged 56.8 points, resulting in an OU record of 3-5.

North Texas Offense Breakdown

North Texas’ rushing attack is ranked 52nd in college football with 354 rushing attempts per game. This has translated into an average of 175.4 rushing yards per game, placing them 45th nationally. On average, they are attempting 37.8 passes per game leading to 295.5 passing yards per contest. In terms of scoring, they hold the 28th position, averaging 33.4 points per game.

The top passer for North Texas is Chandler Rogers, who has accumulated 2685 passing yards and boasts a completion rate of 62.8%. He’s currently averaging 7.9 yards per passing attempt.

Tulsa Offense Breakdown

As they prepare to face the North Texas, the Golden Hurricane’s offense is averaging 184.8 rushing yards per game and 4 yards per attempt. Nationally, they are 32nd in rushing yards and 105th in passing yards, on an average of 190.8 yards per matchup. Tulsa has averaged 22.4 points per game so far. This figure places them 82nd in the nation.

This season, Cardell Williams has been responsible for 1149 passing yards, maintaining an average of 14.5 per completion. He has a completion rate of 59.8%, having thrown 10 touchdowns.

North Texas Team Defense

North Texas’ defense enters the game ranked 135th in passing yards allowed per game. Opponents throw the ball an average of 26.7 times against the Mean Green. They have given up 37.5 PPG, which ranks 145th in college football. In terms of rushing yards allowed, they stand at 185th in the NCAA.

Tulsa Team Defense

Tulsa’s defense is ranked 35th in passing yards allowed per game as they prepare for this matchup. Opponents have attempted an average of 33.9 passing attempts against the Golden Hurricane. They have given up 34.4 points per game so far, placing them 135th in college football. In the NCAA’s rush defense category, they are 81st.

North Texas vs Tulsa Trends

  • North Texas is 6-4 in their last ten games road games.
  • Tulsa’s ATS record at home (last five) is 3-1-1.
  • Looking back at the last three times Tulsa went into a game as the underdog, their ATS mark was 1-1-1.
  • North Texas’ record vs. the spread in their five most recent games as the favorite is 2-3.

North Texas vs Tulsa Prediction

North Texas should win the battle up-front in this one. So far this season, Tulsa have been tackled for a loss more than their opponents in zero of their games. Look for North Texas to cover at -2.5.

So far this season, North Texas has an +7.2 average margin against their over/under lines. At 67, we have this game going over with a combined 68 points.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.