oregon state vs oregon ncaaf prediction

NCAAF Oregon Beavers vs Oregon Ducks Prediction 11/24/2023

The Oregon State Beavers (8-3) travel to face off against the Oregon Ducks (10-1) on Friday, November 24th. This game will be played at Autzen Stadium in Eugene and televised on FOX. Oregon is coming off a win in their previous game, while Oregon State is looking to get back on track from a loss to the Washington. Kickoff is set for 8:30 ET.

Oregon State Beavers vs Oregon Ducks

The Oregon State Beavers Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

Oregon State heads into this week’s game looking to rebound from a 22-20 loss to Washington. In their previous game, quarterback DJ Uiagalelei made 31 passing attempts against Washington. He concluded the game with 164 passing yards, completing 48.4% of his passes. Additionally, he had two interceptions during the loss.

Leading up to the game, Oregon State was favored to win by 1, handing them an ATS and straight-up defeat. The under ended up hitting as the line going into the game was 62.5.

With a 8-3 record, the Oregon State Beavers take on Oregon. Their road record so far is (3-2) and at home (4-1).

For the season, Oregon State’s ATS record is > and they have been the favorite in every game so far. The average point total in Oregon State’s 11 games is currently 56.9 points per game. This has led to an over/under record of 5-5 for the Beavers.

The Oregon Ducks Are Coming Off A Win

Oregon is coming off a 49-13 win over Arizona State. The Ducks set the tone early in the game, leading by a score of 21-0 after the first quarter. Against Arizona State, Bo Nix threw for 404 yards on a completion percentage of 82.8%. In the win, he threw six touchdowns and had a passer rating of 158.33.

Heading into the game Oregon was the betting favorite at 24.5 and picked up an ATS win. Together, the teams scored 62 points, resulting in a hit for the over.

So far, the Oregon Ducks are 10-1, including going 4-1 on the road and 5-0 at home.

Oregon’s average scoring differential for the season is +29.8 leading to an ATS mark of 7-2-1. The Ducks have been favored nine times and the underdog in one games The average point total in Oregon’s 11 games is currently 63.3 points per game. This has led to an over/under record of 4-6 for the Ducks.

Oregon State Offense Breakdown

The Beavers’ heads into the game, averaging 196.9 rushing yards per game and 5 yards per attempt. Overall, they’re 20th in rushing yards and 20th in passing yards at 248.5 yards per contest. Oregon State is averaging 36.3 points per game, which is 17th in the nation.

DJ Uiagalelei is the team’s passing leader, having thrown for 2418 yards. He has also added some production in the running game, ranking 3rd on the team in rushing yards. This season, he’s carried the ball 61 times for 206 yards, while maintaining a completion rate of 57.5%.

Oregon Offense Breakdown

On the offensive side, Oregon has averaged 46.5 points per game this season. This figure has them 2nd in the NCAA. Their passing game, averaging 350 passing yards, is ranked 3rd nationally. In terms of rushing, they’re 18th in rushing yards with an average of 352 rushing attempts per contest this season.

So far this season, Bo Nix has thrown for 3539 yards, averaging 12.5 per completion. His completion percentage is 78.1%, and he’s registered 35 touchdowns.

Oregon State Team Defense

In terms of passing yards allowed per game, Oregon State’s defense is ranked 119th. Opponents, on average, attempt 33.4 passes against the Beavers. They are allowing 20.6 PPG, which places them 78th in college football. Their rush defense ranks 24th in the NCAA.

Oregon Team Defense

The Ducks defense heads into this week’s matchup with 31 sacks and sitting 1st in QB hurries. So far, they’ve allowed 16.7 points per game (57th). In the pass defense department, they’re 73rd nationally, giving up 213.8 passing yards per game. Additionally, when it comes to defending the run, Oregon’s defense is allowing 96.2 rushing yards per contest.

Oregon State vs Oregon Trends

  • Looking at Oregon State’s five most recent road games, they have put together a record vs. the spread of 2-3.
  • At home, Oregon has gone 2-0-1 against the spread (last three).
  • Looking back at the last five times Oregon went into a game as the underdog, their ATS mark was 1-3-1.
  • Oregon State are 1-2 in their last three games as favorites.

Oregon State vs Oregon Prediction

Oregon has been dealing with turnovers in their passing game so far this year. My point spread pick is to take Oregon State to cover the spread at +14.

With the over/under line set at 62.5, I’m going with the under. So far this season, games involving Oregon State have averaged 56.9 points per game, and I expect this game to stay below 62.5.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.