NCAAF: Oregon vs. Arizona State Prediction 11/18/2023

The Oregon Ducks (9-1) travel to face off against the Arizona State Sun Devils (3-7) on Saturday, November 18th. This game will be played at Mountain America Stadium in Tempe and televised on FOX. Both team’s come into this one having won their previous games. Kickoff is set for 4:00 ET.

Oregon Ducks vs Arizona State Sun Devils

The Oregon Ducks Are Coming Off A Win

Oregon most recently played against USC and won by a score of 36-27. Bo Nix delivered a passer rating of 155.58 as he threw for 412 yards against USC. In the game, he made 31 passing attempts and completed 74.2% of his passes.

Combining for 63 points, the teams fell short of the over/under line of 76.5. Oregon was favored to win by 16.5 going into the game, giving them an ATS loss.

The Oregon Ducks take on the Arizona State with a 9-1 record, including 3-1 on the road and 5-0 at home.

Oregon has gone into eight games as the favorite this season and one game as the underdog. Their ATS record is currently 6-2-1. Heading into this week’s game, Oregon’s over/under record is 3-6. Their average margin against their over/under lines is currently -3.7 with their games averaging 63.4 points per game.

The Arizona State Sun Devils Are Coming Off A Win

The Sun Devils’ most recent game came against UCLA and led to them picking up a 17-7 win. Against UCLA, Trenton Bourguet threw for 149 yards against UCLA, but did throw a touchdown pass. Overall his passer rating was 54.66 on a completion percentage of 55.9%.

Arizona State was the underdog at +14.5, giving them an ATS and straight-up win. The under hit in the game with the over/under line set at 45.5 points.

With a 3-7 record, the Arizona State Sun Devils take on Oregon. Their road record so far is (1-3) and at home (1-4).

When looking at Arizona State’s betting lines on the spread, they have been the underdog in all of their games and have an ATS mark of 5-3-1. This season, Arizona State has an over/under record of 3-6. Their games have, on average, produced a combined total of 45.1 points, with the typical over/under line being 51.3 points.

Oregon Offense Breakdown

On offense, Oregon comes into the game averaging 46.3, which is 2nd in the NCAA. On average, they are averaging 338.7 passing yards (3rd) compared to 13th in rushing yards. For the season, they are averaging 322 rushing attempts per contest.

Quarterback Bo Nix leads the team with 3135 passing yards while completing 77.7% of his passes. So far, he is averaging 9.4 yards per passing attempt.

Arizona State Offense Breakdown

On the ground, the Sun Devils are 79th in college football at 307 attempts per game. This has led to an average of 103.8 (114th). So far, they have turned to the passing game 36.9 and have a per game average of 223.7. Overall, they are 100th in points (17.7 PPG).

Quarterback Trenton Bourguet leads the team with 1344 passing yards while completing 62.1% of his passes. So far, he is averaging 6.4 yards per passing attempt.

Oregon Team Defense

The Oregon defense, going into this week’s game, holds 57th place for points allowed, allowing 17.1 points per game. Opponents have been gaining an average of 214.7 passing yards each game against them (75th in the country). On the ground, they’re yielding 94.7 rushing yards, ranking them 16th in college football.

Arizona State Team Defense

The Arizona State defense holds the 106th position in points allowed, allowing 27.4 points per game. Teams have an average of 217 passing yards per game against them (78th nationally). In terms of rushing, they’ve given up 137.2 rushing yards, placing them 61st in college football.

Oregon vs Arizona State Trends

  • Oregon’s ten most recent games vs. the spread has seen them go 6-3-1 against the spread.
  • Looking across Arizona State’s three most recent home games, they are 2-1 against the spread.
  • Arizona State’s ATS record in their ten most recent games as the underdog is 6-3-1.
  • Over their last five games as the betting favorite, Oregon has an ATS record of 3-2.

Oregon vs Arizona State Prediction

Coming in as the 23.5-point favorites on the road, I like Oregon to cover the spread. Oregon’s offense is coming off a good performance vs. USC and should carry that momentum into this week’s matchup vs. Arizona State.

So far this season, Oregon’s games have combined for 63.4 points. With the over/under line sitting at 54.5, I’m taking the over.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.