pittsburgh vs duke ncaaf prediction

NCAAF Pittsburgh Panthers vs Duke Blue Prediction 11/25/2023

The Pittsburgh Panthers (3-8) travel to face off against the Duke Blue Devils (6-5) on Saturday, November 25th. This game will be played at Wallace Wade Stadium in Durham and televised on ACCN. Pittsburgh is coming off a win in their previous game, while Duke is looking to get back on track from a loss to the Virginia. Kickoff is set for 12:00 ET.

Pittsburgh Panthers vs Duke Blue Devils

The Pittsburgh Panthers Are Coming Off A Win

In their previous game, Pittsburgh faced off against Boston College and picked up a 24-16 win. In Pittsburgh’s win over Boston College, quarterback Nate Yarnell had one touchdown through the air and added one touchdown on the ground. Throughout the game, he threw for a total of 207 yards while achieving a completion rate of 57.9%.

The over/under line going into the game was 45.5 points, which the teams fell short of. Pittsburgh picked up an ATS win as they were favored by 2.5.

So far, the Pittsburgh Panthers are 3-8, including going 0-5 on the road and 2-3 at home.

So far, Pittsburgh has been favored five times and the underdog in five games. This has led to an ATS record of 3-7 and an average scoring differential of -6.8. After 11 games, the average over/under line in Pittsburgh’s matches stands at 44.8 points. The collective score in their games has averaged 47.4 points, resulting in an OU record of 6-4.

The Duke Blue Devils Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

In the Duke’s most recent 30-27 loss to Virginia, they were unable to pull it out late, despite cutting into Virginia’s 17-13 lead going into the 4th. In the loss against Virginia, quarterback Grayson Loftis achieved a QB rating of 81.53, completing 26 of 45 passes for 278 yards. Additionally, he contributed two touchdowns to the game.

Going into the game, Duke was favored by 3, giving them an ATS loss. On the over/under, the team’s combined for 57 which surpassed the betting line of 46 points.

With a 6-5 record, the Duke Blue Devils take on Pittsburgh. Their road record so far is (1-3) and at home (4-1).

So far, Duke has been favored five times and the underdog in four games. This has led to an ATS record of 4-5 and an average scoring differential of +7.7. Duke has put together an over/under record of 5-4 throughout this season. The average combined score in their games has been 47.4 points, and the standard over/under line has stood at 47.7 points.

Pittsburgh Offense Breakdown

In the rushing game, the Panthers are currently 91st in college football with 319 attempts per game. This has resulted in an average of 109 rushing yards per game, putting them 109th nationally. Their passing game has averaged 29.4 passes and 211.5 yards per game. When it comes to scoring, they are 88th, averaging 20.3 points per game.

This season, Christian Veilleux has thrown for a total of 1179 yards while maintaining an average of 12.5 yards per completion. His completion percentage is 51.1%, and he’s recorded seven touchdowns.

Duke Offense Breakdown

On the offensive side, Duke has averaged 27.5 points per game this season. This figure has them 57th in the NCAA. Their passing game, averaging 175.3 passing yards, is ranked 111th nationally. In terms of rushing, they’re 41st in rushing yards with an average of 378 rushing attempts per contest this season.

So far, Riley Leonard has accumulated 1102 passing yards while averaging 11.6 per completion. His completion rate for the year is 57.6%, and he’s tossed three touchdowns.

Pittsburgh Team Defense

The Panthers defense faces off against Duke with 30 sacks and are 1st in QB hurries. When it comes to points allowed, they’re giving up 27.1 points per game which is 109th in the nation. Against the pass, they’re 63rd in the NCAA, allowing 208.1 passing yards per game. Pittsburgh’s run defense is yielding 159.2 rushing yards per contest.

Duke Team Defense

The Duke defense, going into this week’s game, holds 73rd place for points allowed, allowing 19.8 points per game. Opponents have been gaining an average of 203.1 passing yards each game against them (56th in the country). On the ground, they’re yielding 156.3 rushing yards, ranking them 91st in college football.

Pittsburgh vs Duke Trends

  • When playing on the road, Pittsburgh has an ATS mark of 0-5 vs. the spread.
  • Duke is 1-2 ATS in their last home games.
  • Blue Devils is 2-3 in their last five games as underdogs.
  • Over their last three games as the betting favorite, Pittsburgh has an ATS record of 1-2.

Pittsburgh vs Duke Prediction

The Duke passing game has faced issues with turnovers. As the underdogs at away, my pick is Pittsburgh to cover the spread at +6.

On the over/under, I have the best bet being to take the over at 42.5. This looks like a slam dunk bet for me, as my gut tells me the over will hit as well as our model projecting a combined 44 points.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.