san jose vs UNLV ncaaf prediction

NCAAF San Jose State vs UNLV Rebels Prediction 11/25/2023

The San Jose State Spartans (6-5) travel to face off against the UNLV Rebels (9-2) on Saturday, November 25th. This game will be played at Allegiant Stadium in Las Vegas and televised on MWN. Both team’s come into this one having won their previous games. Kickoff is set for 3:00 ET.

San Jose State Spartans vs UNLV Rebels

The San Jose State Spartans Are Coming Off A Win

San Jose State’s most recent game ended in a 24-13 win over San Diego State. This week, the Spartans will once again look to get off to a strong start, as they took a seven-point leading into halftime vs. San Diego State. Quarterback Chevan Cordeiro threw for one touchdown in San Jose State’s win over San Diego State. Overall, he had a passer rating of 96.67 while completing 75.0% of his passes for 174 yards.

The over/under line going into this matchup was 49, resulting in a hit for the under. At kick-off, San Jose State was favored by 14.5, resulting in an ATS loss despite a straight-up win.

So far, the San Jose State Spartans are 6-5, including going 2-3 on the road and 3-2 at home.

So far, San Jose State has been favored five times and the underdog in five games. This has led to an ATS record of 7-3 and an average scoring differential of +7.7. Through 11 games, the average over/under line in San Jose State’s games is 56.1 points. Their games have averaged a combined 58.3 points leading to an OU record of 6-4.

The UNLV Rebels Are Coming Off A Win

UNLV will be looking to build off their 4-point win over Air Force (31-27) as they face off against San Jose State this week. In the win vs. Air Force, quarterback Jayden Maiava concluded with a QB rating of 88.15, connecting on 15 of 29 passes for 339 yards. He also added two touchdowns to his performance.

Going into the game, UNLV was the underdog at +3, giving them both a straight-up and ATS win. The over hit in this matchup as the line was 47 pre-game.

This season, the UNLV Rebels are currently 9-2. So far this season, they have played six road games and four at home.

UNLV has gone into five games as the favorite this season and five games as the underdog. Their ATS record is currently 9-1. So far in this season, UNLV has posted an over/under record of 6-4. On average, their matchups have yielded a combined score of 60.5 points, with the typical over/under line set at 54.4 points.

San Jose State Offense Breakdown

Heading into their matchup vs. UNLV, the Spartans’ offense is averaging 184.4 rushing yards per game, along with 5 yards per attempt. They currently hold the 31st rank in rushing yards and 80th rank in passing yards, amassing an average of 216.4 yards per game. In terms of scoring, San Jose State is at 33 points per game, which is 27th in the NCAA.

Leading the team in passing yards is Chevan Cordeiro with 2300 yards. In addition, he is 3rd on the team in rushing yards. This season, he’s carried the ball 71 times for 208 yards while boasting a completion rate of 61.4%.

UNLV Offense Breakdown

The Rebels’ offense is set to face San Jose State while averaging 188.7 rushing yards per game and 4 yards per attempt. In the national rankings, they currently stand at 23rd for rushing yards and 53rd for passing yards, with an average of 237.3 yards per matchup. Overall, UNLV is putting up 35.9 points per game, which is 18th nationally.

So far this season, Jayden Maiava has thrown for 2397 yards, averaging 14.4 per completion. His completion percentage is 64%, and he’s registered 13 touchdowns.

San Jose State Team Defense

This season, the Spartans’ defense has allowed 172.5 rushing yards per game, ranking 86th. Opponents average 177.4 passing yards, and opposing quarterbacks have put together a passer rating of 82.3 against San Jose State. They hold the 58th position in NCAA points allowed.

UNLV Team Defense

As we head into this week’s game, the UNLV defense ranks 94th for points allowed, with an average of 24.5 points per game. Teams have been gaining 238.9 passing yards per game against them (124th nationally). Against the run, they’ve given up 145.1 rushing yards, placing them 70th in college football.

San Jose State vs UNLV Trends

  • When playing on the road, San Jose State has an ATS mark of 5-0 vs. the spread.
  • UNLV’s ATS record at home (last five) is 5-0.
  • In the ten most recent times they were the underdog, UNLV has put together an ATS record of 8-2.
  • The previous ten time that San Jose State was favored, they are 5-5 against the spread.

San Jose State vs UNLV Prediction

San Jose State’s pass defense was able to contain Air Force’s passing attack in their recent game. Even as 3-point underdogs on their away turf, I believe they have what it takes to cover against UNLV.

On the over/under, I have the best bet being to take the over at 58.5. This looks like a slam dunk bet for me, as my gut tells me the over will hit as well as our model projecting a combined 59 points.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.