south alabama vs texas state ncaaf prediction

NCAAF South Alabama vs Texas State Prediction 11/25/2023

The South Alabama Jaguars (6-5) travel to face off against the Texas State Bobcats (6-5) on Saturday, November 25th. This game will be played at Bobcat Stadium (TX) in San Marcos and televised on NFLN. South Alabama is coming off a win in their previous game, while Texas State is looking to get back on track from a loss to the Arkansas State. Kickoff is set for 7:00 ET.

South Alabama Jaguars vs Texas State Bobcats

The South Alabama Jaguars Are Coming Off A Win

South Alabama will be looking for another big performance from their defense, as they shutout Marshall and won the game by a score of 28-0. In the win vs. Marshall, quarterback Carter Bradley concluded with a QB rating of 124.55, connecting on 17 of 23 passes for 176 yards. He also added two touchdowns to his performance.

South Alabama was favored by 10 heading into the game, giving them both a straight-up and ATS win. The under hit in the game, as the team’s combined for 28 with an over/under line of 45.5.

So far, the South Alabama Jaguars are 6-5, including going 2-3 on the road and 3-2 at home.

Against the spread, South Alabama has gone 4-6 this season. The Jaguars have been favored seven times compared to three games as the underdog. South Alabama has an over/under record of 5-5 so far this season. On average their games have combined for 48.9 points with the average over/under line being 49.6 points.

The Texas State Bobcats Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

After trailing by -14 at halftime, Texas State could not make a comeback and lost their most recent game 77-31 to Arkansas State. TJ Finley delivered a passer rating of 88.9 as he threw for 366 yards against Arkansas State. In the game, he made 55 passing attempts and completed 67.3% of his passes.

The over hit in this game as the pre-game over/under matchup was 59.5. On the point spread, Texas State was handed a straight-up and ATS loss as they were favored by 3.

The Texas State Bobcats take on the South Alabama with a 6-5 record, including 2-4 on the road and 4-1 at home.

So far, Texas State has been favored seven times and the underdog in four games. This has led to an ATS record of 5-6 and an average scoring differential of +1.6. Over 11 games, the average over/under line for Texas State’s games has been 61.2 points. The total score in these matchups has averaged 67.5 points, resulting in an OU record of 4-6-1.

South Alabama Offense Breakdown

The Jaguars’ heads into the game, averaging 167.7 rushing yards per game and 4 yards per attempt. Overall, they’re 55th in rushing yards and 55th in passing yards at 252.7 yards per contest. South Alabama is averaging 29.7 points per game, which is 45th in the nation.

So far, Carter Bradley has thrown for 2477 yards this season while averaging 12.2 per completion. His completion percentage this year is 67.2% and he has thrown 17 touchdowns.

Texas State Offense Breakdown

The Bobcats are currently ranked 16th in college football with 443 rushing attempts per game. In terms of rush yards, they are at 198.5 rushing yards per game, which is 17th in the nation. Looking at their production in the passing game, they are averaging 33.8 attempts per game and gain an average of 272.9 passing yards. Overall, they hold the 20th spot with 34.5 points per game.

The top passer for Texas State is TJ Finley, who has accumulated 2820 passing yards and boasts a completion rate of 68.6%. He’s currently averaging 7.9 yards per passing attempt.

South Alabama Team Defense

This season, the Jaguars’ defense has allowed 117.5 rushing yards per game, ranking 176th. Opponents average 195.3 passing yards, and opposing quarterbacks have put together a passer rating of 87.3 against South Alabama. They hold the 88th position in NCAA points allowed.

Texas State Team Defense

So far this season, the Bobcats’ defense has given up 166 rushing yards per game against the run (97th). Opponents are averaging 243.5 passing yards and opposing quarterbacks have a passer rating of 100.6 against Texas State. In terms of points allowed, they are 19th in the NCAA.

South Alabama vs Texas State Trends

  • On the road, South Alabama has gone 5-5 vs. the spread.
  • Texas State is 2-3 Against the spread in their last five games at home.
  • Texas State’s ATS record in their three most recent games as an underdog is 1-2.
  • The previous ten time that South Alabama was favored, they are 3-7 against the spread.

South Alabama vs Texas State Prediction

With South Alabama demonstrating a strong rushing game in their latest game and the Texas State defense showing vulnerability against the run when facing Arkansas State, I’m placing my bet on South Alabama at -5 in this matchup.

I’m going with the over as my pick, considering the over/under line at 58. Thus far, games featuring Texas State have averaged a combined score of 67.5 points, and I anticipate this game will go beyond 58.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.