Tulane vs Florida Atlantic ncaaf betting

NCAAF: Tulane vs Florida Atlantic Prediction 11/18/2023

The Tulane Green Wave (9-1) travel to face off against the Florida Atlantic Owls (4-6) on Saturday, November 18th. This game will be played at FAU Stadium in Boca Raton and televised on ESPN+. Tulane is coming off a win in their previous game, while Florida Atlantic is looking to get back on track from a loss to the East Carolina. Kickoff is set for 12:00 ET.

Tulane Green Wave vs Florida Atlantic Owls

The Tulane Green Wave Are Coming Off A Win

The Tulane Green Wave are coming off a 24-22 win over Tulsa. This was a big win for the Green Wave, as they were actually trailing 27-21 going into the 4th quarter. In the win vs. Tulsa, quarterback Michael Pratt concluded with a QB rating of 73.06, connecting on 16 of 29 passes for 194 yards. He also added one touchdown to his performance.

Despite winning straight-up, Tulane did not cover the spread as pre-game 24 point favorites. The teams fell short of the over/under line of 53.5 points.

This season, the Tulane Green Wave are currently 9-1. So far this season, they have played four road games and five at home.

So far, Tulane has been favored eight times and the underdog in one game. This has led to an ATS record of 3-6 and an average scoring differential of +8.6. After 10 games, the average over/under line in Tulane’s matches stands at 54.7 points. The collective score in their games has averaged 47.8 points, resulting in an OU record of 2-7.

The Florida Atlantic Owls Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

Florida Atlantic fell behind early in their most recent game vs. East Carolina, trailing 7-0 after the first quarter. The Owls ended up losing 22-7. Daniel Richardson finished with 151 yards against East Carolina while going 24 for 36 for a completion percentage of 66.7%. He ended the game without a rushing or passing touchdown.

The over/under line for the matchup was 44.5, resulting in a hit for the under. Against the spread, Florida Atlantic was tagged with the L, as they were favored by 7.5.

The Florida Atlantic Owls take on the Tulane with a 4-6 record, including 2-3 on the road and 2-3 at home.

Heading into this week’s matchup with Tulane, the Owls have been favored in six games and the underdog in four. Their ATS mark coming into the game is 3-6-1. This season, Florida Atlantic has an over/under record of 5-5. Their games have, on average, produced a combined total of 51.4 points, with the typical over/under line being 53.9 points.

Tulane Offense Breakdown

Tulane’s rushing attack is ranked 33rd in college football with 381 rushing attempts per game. This has translated into an average of 172.4 rushing yards per game, placing them 49th nationally. On average, they are attempting 26 passes per game leading to 227.6 passing yards per contest. In terms of scoring, they hold the 54th position, averaging 28.2 points per game.

Michael Pratt is the team’s passing leader, having thrown for 1791 yards. He has also added some production in the running game, ranking 2nd on the team in rushing yards. This season, he’s carried the ball 74 times for 273 yards, while maintaining a completion rate of 68%.

Florida Atlantic Offense Breakdown

On the offensive side, Florida Atlantic has averaged 25.6 points per game this season. This figure has them 65th in the NCAA. Their passing game, averaging 225.6 passing yards, is ranked 68th nationally. In terms of rushing, they’re 99th in rushing yards with an average of 309 rushing attempts per contest this season.

The top passer for Florida Atlantic is Daniel Richardson, who has accumulated 1706 passing yards and boasts a completion rate of 63.3%. He’s currently averaging 6.1 yards per passing attempt.

Tulane Team Defense

Tulane’s defense is ranked 63rd in passing yards allowed per game as they prepare for this matchup. Opponents have attempted an average of 34.9 passing attempts against the Green Wave. They have given up 19.6 points per game so far, placing them 68th in college football. In the NCAA’s rush defense category, they are 9th.

Florida Atlantic Team Defense

Florida Atlantic comes into the game 94th in points allowed, allowing 25.8 points per game. Teams have been gaining 247.1 passing yards on average against them (136th). Against the run, they’re giving up 149.8 yards, placing them 86th in college football.

Tulane vs Florida Atlantic Trends

  • Tulane is 1-2 ATS in their last road games.
  • At home, Florida Atlantic has gone 3-2 against the spread (last five).
  • Florida Atlantic’s ATS record in their five most recent games as an underdog is 3-2.
  • Over their last three games as the betting favorite, Tulane has an ATS record of 0-3.

Tulane vs Florida Atlantic Prediction

The Tulane offense has been good on third down this season, and should continue to move the chains against Florida Atlantic. My pick is to bet on Tulane at -9.5.

Not only does our model have a projected total of 49 points in this matchup, but the eye test has me feeling this line of 47.5 is low. I like Tulane and Florida Atlantic to exceed 47.5 points.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.