tulsa vs east carolina ncaaf prediction

NCAAF Tulsa Hurricane vs East Carolina Prediction 11/25/2023

The Tulsa Golden Hurricane (3-8) travel to face off against the East Carolina Pirates (2-9) on Saturday, November 25th. This game will be played at Dowdy-Ficklen Stadium in Greenville and televised on ESPN+. Both Tulsa and East Carolina will be looking to bounce back from losses in their previous games. Kickoff is scheduled for 2:00 ET.

Tulsa Golden Hurricane vs East Carolina Pirates

The Tulsa Golden Hurricane Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

In the Tulsa’s most recent 35-28 loss to North Texas, they were unable to pull it out late, despite cutting into North Texas’ 35-21 lead going into the 4th. Against North Texas, Kirk Francis threw for 251 yards on a completion percentage of 50.0%. In the loss, he threw three touchdowns and had a passer rating of 91.67.

Against the spread, Tulsa was not able to cover as 2.5-point underdogs. On the over/under, the line was 69.5 going into the game resulting in the under hitting.

The Tulsa Golden Hurricane take on the East Carolina with a 3-8 record, including 1-4 on the road and 1-3 at home.

Heading into this week’s matchup with East Carolina, the Golden Hurricane have been favored in two games and the underdog in seven. Their ATS mark coming into the game is 4-4-1. Across 11 games, the average over/under line in Tulsa’s matchups is 57.2 points. These games have seen an average combined score of 57.4 points, resulting in an OU record of 3-6.

The East Carolina Pirates Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

East Carolina fell behind early in their most recent game vs. Navy, trailing 7-0 after the first quarter. The Pirates ended up losing 10-0. During their most recent game, quarterback Alex Flinn had 38 passing attempts against Navy. He finished the game with 155 passing yards and a completion rate of 63.2%. In addition, he threw two interceptions in the loss.

The betting lines going into the game were 30.5 on the over/under and East Carolina as 2.5-point underdogs. As they combined for 10 points, this was a hit for the under and East Carolina was handed an ATS loss.

So far, the East Carolina Pirates are 2-9, including going 1-5 on the road and 0-4 at home.

East Carolina’s average scoring differential for the season is -5.4 leading to an ATS mark of 4-6. The Pirates have been favored one time and the underdog in nine game So far this season, the average over/under line for East Carolina’s games has been 44.8 points. The Pirates have an over/under record of 3-7 heading into this week’s game.

Tulsa Offense Breakdown

The Golden Hurricane’s offense is set to face East Carolina while averaging 184.6 rushing yards per game and 4 yards per attempt. In the national rankings, they currently stand at 30th for rushing yards and 95th for passing yards, with an average of 196.3 yards per matchup. Overall, Tulsa is putting up 22.9 points per game, which is 75th nationally.

Cardell Williams leads the team in passing yards this season with 1149. He’s averaged 14.5 per completion and holds a 59.8% completion rate, having thrown 10 touchdowns.

East Carolina Offense Breakdown

The Pirates’ offense is gearing up to take on Tulsa, with an average of 103.4 rushing yards per game and an 3 yards per attempt. In the college football rankings, they are currently in 115th place for rushing yards and 118th place for passing yards, accumulating an average of 162.1 yards per contest. East Carolina’s overall scoring average is at 16.5 points per game, placing them 103rd rank nationally.

The team’s leading passer is Alex Flinn, who has tallied 1374 passing yards with a completion percentage of 54.2%. He’s currently averaging 5.1 yards per pass attempt.

Tulsa Team Defense

Tulsa’s defense is ranked 35th in passing yards allowed per game as they prepare for this matchup. Opponents have attempted an average of 33.6 passing attempts against the Golden Hurricane. They have given up 34.5 points per game so far, placing them 144th in college football. In the NCAA’s rush defense category, they are 101st.

East Carolina Team Defense

The Pirates’ defense has allowed 120.5 rushing yards per game this season, ranking 170th. Opponents are averaging 212.1 passing yards, and opposing quarterbacks hold a passer rating of 94.3 against East Carolina. They currently rank 74th in points allowed in the NCAA.

Tulsa vs East Carolina Trends

  • On the road, Tulsa has gone 5-4-1 vs. the spread.
  • At home, East Carolina has gone 5-5 against the spread (last ten).
  • Looking back at the last ten times East Carolina went into a game as the underdog, their ATS mark was 5-5.
  • Looking back on the last five times Tulsa was favored, their ATS record was 1-4.

Tulsa vs East Carolina Prediction

For the point spread, I’m backing Tulsa at +3. I believe the Tulsa rushing game will take full advantage of the issues in East Carolina’s defense, which had trouble defending the run in their last game. Make your bet now on Tulsa with +3.

Games featuring Tulsa this season have averaged 57.4 points in total. Considering the over/under line at 44.5, I’m backing the over.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.