UL Monroe vs Louisiana ncaaf prediction

NCAAF UL Monroe vs Louisiana Ragin Prediction 11/25/2023

The UL Monroe Warhawks (2-9) travel to face off against the Louisiana Ragin Cajuns (5-6) on Saturday, November 25th. This game will be played at Cajun Field in Lafayette and televised on ESPN+. Both UL Monroe and Louisiana will be looking to bounce back from losses in their previous games. Kickoff is scheduled for 3:00 ET.

UL Monroe Warhawks vs Louisiana Ragin Cajuns

The UL Monroe Warhawks Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

The Warhawks could never recover from a rough first quarter in their most recent game vs. Ole Miss, as they trailed 7-0 after the first period. UL Monroe ended up dropping the game 35-3. In the loss against Ole Miss, Jiya Wright threw for 56 yards on 7 of 19 passing. His overall passer rating was 23.36 and he did not throw or rush for a touchdown.

Looking at how the teams fared against the spread, UL Monroe was 36.5 point underdogs. This gave them a straight-up loss but an ATS win. As they combined for 38 points, the under hit in this matchup.

So far, the UL Monroe Warhawks are 2-9, including going 0-5 on the road and 1-4 at home.

This season, UL Monroe has gone into all of their games as the underdog and have an ATS mark of 5-5. So far, their average scoring margin is -16.4 points per contest. UL Monroe has an over/under record of 5-5 so far this season. On average their games have combined for 50.4 points with the average over/under line being 54.6 points.

The Louisiana Ragin Cajuns Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

Most recently, Louisiana took on Troy, falling by a score of 31-24. Louisiana lost the game despite leading by seven after the first-quarter. Against Troy, Chandler Fields threw for 282 yards on a completion percentage of 74.4%. In the loss, he threw three touchdowns and had a passer rating of 109.13.

Louisiana and Troy combined for 55 points in the game, which was enough to surpass the over/under line of 47 points. Even though Louisiana lost straight-up, they did cover the spread as 16.5-point underdogs.

This season, the Louisiana Ragin Cajuns are currently 5-6. So far this season, they have played six road games and three at home.

Louisiana’s average scoring differential for the season is +1.6 leading to an ATS mark of 4-5. The Ragin Cajuns have been favored five times and the underdog in four games Through 11 games, the average over/under line in Louisiana’s games is 56 points. Their games have averaged a combined 59.3 points leading to an OU record of 5-4.

UL Monroe Offense Breakdown

Heading into their matchup vs. Louisiana, the Warhawks’ offense is averaging 145.9 rushing yards per game, along with 4 yards per attempt. They currently hold the 85th rank in rushing yards and 106th rank in passing yards, amassing an average of 182.9 yards per game. In terms of scoring, UL Monroe is at 17 points per game, which is 102nd in the NCAA.

So far, Jiya Wright has thrown for 1181 yards this season while averaging 11.8 per completion. His completion percentage this year is 51.8% and he has thrown 10 touchdowns.

Louisiana Offense Breakdown

Heading into their matchup vs. UL Monroe, the Ragin Cajuns’ offense is averaging 181.4 rushing yards per game, along with 5 yards per attempt. They currently hold the 32nd rank in rushing yards and 74th rank in passing yards, amassing an average of 219.6 yards per game. In terms of scoring, Louisiana is at 30.5 points per game, which is 41st in the NCAA.

Quarterback Zeon Chriss leads the team with 1222 passing yards while completing 66.7% of his passes. So far, he is averaging 8 yards per passing attempt.

UL Monroe Team Defense

As we head into this week’s game, the UL Monroe defense ranks 141st for points allowed, with an average of 33.4 points per game. Teams have been gaining 277.5 passing yards per game against them (168th nationally). Against the run, they’ve given up 167.9 rushing yards, placing them 117th in college football.

Louisiana Team Defense

Louisiana’s defense enters the game ranked 116th in passing yards allowed per game. Opponents throw the ball an average of 30.2 times against the Ragin Cajuns. They have given up 28.8 PPG, which ranks 122nd in college football. In terms of rushing yards allowed, they stand at 104th in the NCAA.

UL Monroe vs Louisiana Trends

  • On the road, UL Monroe has gone 3-2 vs. the spread.
  • Louisiana is 4-6 in their last ten home games.
  • Looking back at the last ten times Louisiana went into a game as the underdog, their ATS mark was 6-4.
  • UL Monroe are 1-2 in their last three games as favorites.

UL Monroe vs Louisiana Prediction

I’m going with UL Monroe to cover as 12.5-point underdogs in this matchup. UL Monroe had an impressive performance in their last game, particularly in the ground game against Troy. I anticipate them to replicate that success, which is why I’m backing UL Monroe before kickoff.

The analysis we’ve been running for this game has UL Monroe and Louisiana finishing with a combined 52 points. With the over/under line sitting at 52.5, I’m getting a bet down on the under.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.