UNLV vs Air Force ncaaf betting

NCAAF: UNLV vs. Air Force Prediction 11/18/2023

The UNLV Rebels (8-2) travel to face off against the Air Force Falcons (8-2) on Saturday, November 18th. This game will be played at Falcon Stadium in USAF Academy and televised on CBSS. UNLV is coming off a win in their previous game, while Air Force is looking to get back on track from a loss to the Hawaii. Kickoff is set for 3:30 ET.

UNLV Rebels vs Air Force Falcons

The UNLV Rebels Are Coming Off A Win

UNLV is coming off a 34-14 win over Wyoming in their last game. Quarterback Jayden Maiava finished with 232 passing yards in the team’s most recent win over Wyoming. Not only did he throw for one touchdown but he ran for two score.

Looking at the point-spread for this game, UNLV covered as 3-point favorites. While on the over/under, the betting line was 48.5 at game time, resulting in a hit for the under.

The UNLV Rebels take on the Air Force with a 8-2 record, including 3-2 on the road and 4-0 at home.

UNLV’s average scoring differential for the season is +12.1 leading to an ATS mark of 8-1. The Rebels have been favored five times and the underdog in four games So far in this season, UNLV has posted an over/under record of 5-4. On average, their matchups have yielded a combined score of 60.7 points, with the typical over/under line set at 55.2 points.

The Air Force Falcons Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

In Air Force’s most recent loss to Hawaii, the Falcons faced a -3-point deficit going into the 4th and were unable to mount a comeback effort, falling 27-13. In the loss against Hawaii, Jensen Jones threw for 114 yards on 3 of 7 passing. His overall passer rating was 50.3 and he did not throw or rush for a touchdown.

Leading up to the game, Air Force was favored to win by 19, handing them an ATS and straight-up defeat. The under ended up hitting as the line going into the game was 46.5.

With a 8-2 record, the Air Force Falcons take on UNLV. Their road record so far is (3-1) and at home (3-1).

Air Force heads into this week’s matchup with an ATS record of 4-3-1. So far, they have been favored in every game and have an average scoring margin of +12.8 points per contest. Air Force has an over/under record of 4-4 so far this season. On average their games have combined for 44.2 points with the average over/under line being 42 points.

UNLV Offense Breakdown

UNLV’s offense is averaging 36.4 points per game, which ranks them 18th in the NCAA. Through the air, they’re at 225.9 passing yards on average, putting them at 67th in the nation. Their rushing attack is currently 21st in rushing yards, with an average of 419 rushing attempts per game this season.

So far, Jayden Maiava has accumulated 2058 passing yards while averaging 13.5 per completion. His completion rate for the year is 65.5%, and he’s tossed 11 touchdowns.

Air Force Offense Breakdown

Air Force enters the game on offense with an average of 28.5, ranking them 52nd in the NCAA. Their passing game has them at 127th in the nation, with an average of 86.9 passing yards per game. On the ground, they’re at 2nd in rushing yards, with an average of 535 rushing attempts per game this season.

Zac Larrier is Air Force’s top passer with 744 passing yards. In addition, he’s 2nd on the team in rushing yards on his 133 attempts, amassing 579 yards. His overall completon percentage for the season is at 59.7%.

UNLV Team Defense

This season, the Rebels’ defense has allowed 125.2 rushing yards per game, ranking 164th. Opponents average 256.8 passing yards, and opposing quarterbacks have put together a passer rating of 84.8 against UNLV. They hold the 60th position in NCAA points allowed.

Air Force Team Defense

As we head into this week’s game, the Air Force defense ranks 53rd for points allowed, with an average of 15.7 points per game. Teams have been gaining 159.3 passing yards per game against them (17th nationally). Against the run, they’ve given up 87.8 rushing yards, placing them 12th in college football.

UNLV vs Air Force Trends

  • Looking at UNLV’s five most recent road games, they have put together a record vs. the spread of 5-0.
  • Looking across Air Force’s ten most recent home games, they are 5-4-1 against the spread.
  • Air Force is 2-1 in their last three games as underdogs.
  • UNLV is 6-4 in their last ten games as the favorite.

UNLV vs Air Force Prediction

Coming into this game, Air Force’s offense has been a below average group at converting on third downs. I’m not counting on them suddenly figuring this out and like UNLV +3.

UNLV games have an average margin of +5.8 vs. their over/under lines this season. With the over/under line at 47, our prediction is that this game will go over, concluding with a combined total of 49 points.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.