Utah vs New Mexico ncaaf prediction

NCAAF Utah State vs New Mexico Lobos Prediction 11/24/2023

The Utah State Aggies (5-6) travel to face off against the New Mexico Lobos (4-7) on Friday, November 24th. This game will be played at University Stadium in Albuquerque and televised on CBSS. New Mexico is coming off a win in their previous game, while Utah State is looking to get back on track from a loss to the Boise State. Kickoff is set for 3:30 ET.

Utah State Aggies vs New Mexico Lobos

The Utah State Aggies Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

Against Boise State, the Aggies trailed by -35 going into the 4th quarter and ended up losing by a score of 45-10. In the loss to Boise State, quarterback Cooper Legas concluded with a QB rating of 129.86 while connecting on 8 of 12 passes for 128 yards. Moreover, he contributed one touchdown to the game.

The betting lines going into the game were 63.5 on the over/under and Utah State as 4-point underdogs. As they combined for 55 points, this was a hit for the under and Utah State was handed an ATS loss.

So far, the Utah State Aggies are 5-6, including going 1-3 on the road and 2-3 at home.

So far, Utah State has been favored two times and the underdog in seven games. This has led to an ATS record of 4-5 and an average scoring differential of 0. Across 11 games, the average over/under line in Utah State’s matchups is 55 points. These games have seen an average combined score of 66.4 points, resulting in an OU record of 6-3.

The New Mexico Lobos Are Coming Off A Win

The Lobos’ last game was a matchup vs. Fresno State, ending in a 25-17 win for New Mexico. During their most recent game, quarterback Dylan Hopkins had 18 passing attempts against Fresno State. He finished the game with 124 passing yards and a completion rate of 44.4%. In addition, he threw two interceptions in the win.

New Mexico was the underdog at +21.5, giving them an ATS and straight-up win. The under hit in the game with the over/under line set at 58.5 points.

This season, the New Mexico Lobos are currently 4-7. So far this season, they have played five road games and four at home.

New Mexico’s average scoring differential for the season is -8.3 leading to an ATS mark of 3-6. The Lobos have been favored one time and the underdog in eight game New Mexico has put together an over/under record of 6-3 throughout this season. The average combined score in their games has been 60.3 points, and the standard over/under line has stood at 53 points.

Utah State Offense Breakdown

As they prepare to face the New Mexico, the Aggies’ offense is averaging 176.1 rushing yards per game and 4 yards per attempt. Nationally, they are 44th in rushing yards and 37th in passing yards, on an average of 265.4 yards per matchup. Utah State has averaged 33.2 points per game so far. This figure places them 25th in the nation.

The top passer for Utah State is Cooper Legas, who has accumulated 1815 passing yards and boasts a completion rate of 64.8%. He’s currently averaging 8.5 yards per passing attempt.

New Mexico Offense Breakdown

New Mexico’s rushing attack is ranked 53rd in college football with 390 rushing attempts per game. This has translated into an average of 180.5 rushing yards per game, placing them 33rd nationally. On average, they are attempting 28 passes per game leading to 219.4 passing yards per contest. In terms of scoring, they hold the 61st position, averaging 26 points per game.

This season, Dylan Hopkins has thrown for a total of 1960 yards while maintaining an average of 13.4 yards per completion. His completion percentage is 57.9%, and he’s recorded 11 touchdowns.

Utah State Team Defense

Utah State’s defense holds the 127th rank in passing yards allowed per game as they head into this game. On average, opponents have made 32.5 passing attempts against the Aggies. They have given up 33.2 points per game, which places them at 139th in college football. In the rush defense category, they rank 146th in the NCAA.

New Mexico Team Defense

New Mexico’s defense holds the 88th rank in passing yards allowed per game as they head into this game. On average, opponents have made 26.2 passing attempts against the Lobos. They have given up 34.3 points per game, which places them at 142nd in college football. In the rush defense category, they rank 111th in the NCAA.

Utah State vs New Mexico Trends

  • On the road, Utah State has gone 3-7 vs. the spread.
  • New Mexico’s ATS record at home (last three) is 1-2.
  • The Lobos are 1-2 in their last three games as underdogs.
  • Utah State’s record vs. the spread in their five most recent games as the favorite is 4-1.

Utah State vs New Mexico Prediction

One of the main reasons I’m taking Utah State at -8.5 is the fact that they come in with a strong pass rush. Look for this to cause problems up-front for New Mexico. I’d recommend taking the Utah State Aggies on the spread.

Utah State’s games this season have produced an average of 66.4 points. With the over/under line set at 62, I’m opting for the over.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.