western kentucky vs florida international ncaaf prediction

NCAAF Western Kentucky vs Florida Prediction 11/25/2023

The Western Kentucky Hilltoppers (6-5) travel to face off against the Florida International Panthers (4-7) on Saturday, November 25th. This game will be played at Riccardo Silva Stadium in Miami and televised on ESPN+. Western Kentucky is coming off a win in their previous game, while Florida International is looking to get back on track from a loss to the Arkansas. Kickoff is set for 3:00 ET.

Western Kentucky Hilltoppers vs Florida International Panthers

The Western Kentucky Hilltoppers Are Coming Off A Win

In the Hilltoppers’ 28-23 win over Sam Houston, the Hilltoppers jumped out to an early 7-0 in the first quarter. In their most recent game, quarterback Austin Reed finished with 41 passing attempts against Sam Houston. He ended the game with 392 passing yards, while completing 68.3% of his passes. Additionally, he threw four interceptions in the win.

None

So far, the Western Kentucky Hilltoppers are 6-5, including going 2-2 on the road and 2-2 at home.

Western Kentucky’s average scoring differential for the season is +0.6 leading to an ATS mark of 4-4. The Hilltoppers have been favored five times and the underdog in three games So far this season, the average over/under line for Western Kentucky’s games has been 60.4 points. The Hilltoppers have an over/under record of 4-4 heading into this week’s game.

The Florida International Panthers Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

In their most recent game, Florida International took on Arkansas and lost by a score of 44-20. The Panthers trailed Arkansas by -24 going into the 4th quarter. In their previous game, quarterback Keyone Jenkins attempted 36 passing attempts against Arkansas. He finished with 265 passing yards and a completion rate of 58.3%. Additionally, he threw two interceptions during the loss.

The over hit in this game as the team’s combined for 64 point and the over/under line was 50. Florida International did cover the spread even with a straight-up loss because they were 27.5-point underdogs.

The Florida International Panthers take on the Western Kentucky with a 4-7 record, including 1-4 on the road and 1-2 at home.

Against the spread, Florida International has gone 4-4 this season. The Panthers have been favored one time compared to seven games as the underdog. After 11 games, the average over/under line in Florida International’s matches stands at 50.1 points. The collective score in their games has averaged 50.4 points, resulting in an OU record of 3-5.

Western Kentucky Offense Breakdown

The Hilltoppers’ offense is gearing up to take on Florida International, with an average of 113.4 rushing yards per game and an 4 yards per attempt. In the college football rankings, they are currently in 107th place for rushing yards and 25th place for passing yards, accumulating an average of 282.4 yards per contest. Western Kentucky’s overall scoring average is at 28.8 points per game, placing them 49th rank nationally.

The team’s leading passer is Austin Reed, who has tallied 3044 passing yards with a completion percentage of 60.5%. He’s currently averaging 7 yards per pass attempt.

Florida International Offense Breakdown

Florida International’s offense is averaging 19.4 points per game, which ranks them 91st in the NCAA. Through the air, they’re at 228.3 passing yards on average, putting them at 64th in the nation. Their rushing attack is currently 121st in rushing yards, with an average of 356 rushing attempts per game this season.

Leading the team in passing yards is Keyone Jenkins with 2173 yards. So far, he has completed 59% of his passes and is 3rd on the team in rushing yards. For the season, he has ran the ball 108 times for 34 yards.

Western Kentucky Team Defense

On defense, Western Kentucky comes into the game ranked 88th in passing yards per game. Opponents are throwing the ball an average of 32.6 times per contest vs. the Hilltoppers. Overall, they are giving up 28.2 points per game, which is 118th in college football. Against the run, they are 155th in the NCAA in rushing yards allowed.

Florida International Team Defense

Florida International’s defense is ranked 89th in passing yards allowed per game as they prepare for this matchup. Opponents have attempted an average of 31.6 passing attempts against the Panthers. They have given up 31 points per game so far, placing them 132nd in college football. In the NCAA’s rush defense category, they are 154th.

Western Kentucky vs Florida International Trends

  • Western Kentucky’s five most recent games vs. the spread has seen them go 2-3 against the spread.
  • Florida International is 2-1 ATS in their last home games.
  • Looking back at the last five times Florida International went into a game as the underdog, their ATS mark was 2-3.
  • Over their last five games as the betting favorite, Western Kentucky has an ATS record of 1-4.

Western Kentucky vs Florida International Prediction

Western Kentucky is my choice to come out on top and cover the spread in this game. They come in with a stronger passing game than Florida International, which gives them the edge. I’m going with Western Kentucky at -10 for this game.

The analysis we’ve been running for this game has Western Kentucky and Florida International finishing with a combined 55 points. With the over/under line sitting at 55.5, I’m getting a bet down on the under.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.