wisconsin vs minnesota ncaaf prediction

NCAAF Wisconsin vs Minnesota Gophers Prediction 11/25/2023

The Wisconsin Badgers (6-5) travel to face off against the Minnesota Golden Gophers (5-6) on Saturday, November 25th. This game will be played at Huntington Bank Stadium in Minneapolis and televised on FS1. Wisconsin is coming off a win in their previous game, while Minnesota is looking to get back on track from a loss to the Ohio State. Kickoff is set for 3:30 ET.

Wisconsin Badgers vs Minnesota Golden Gophers

The Wisconsin Badgers Are Coming Off A Win

The Wisconsin Badgers most recently faced off against Nebraska, picking up a 24-17 win. Wisconsin needed overtime to finish the job, after they were tied with Nebraska 17-17 after regulation. In the win vs. Nebraska, quarterback Tanner Mordecai finished with a QB rating of 91.37 while completing 18 of 28 passes for 160 yards. He also ended the game with one touchdown.

Heading into the game Wisconsin was the betting favorite at 6.5 and picked up an ATS win. Together, the teams scored 41 points, resulting in a hit for the over.

With a 6-5 record, the Wisconsin Badgers take on Minnesota. Their road record so far is (2-2) and at home (2-3).

So far, Wisconsin has been favored eight times and the underdog in one game. This has led to an ATS record of 3-5-1 and an average scoring differential of +3. So far this season, Wisconsin boasts an over/under record of 3-6. On average, their matchups have resulted in a combined score of 41.7 points, while the average over/under line has been 47.4 points.

The Minnesota Golden Gophers Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

Minnesota will be looking to rebound from a 37-3 loss to Ohio State in their most recent game. The Golden Gophers fell behind early, trailing by -7 after the first quarter. In the loss against Ohio State, Athan Kaliakmanis threw for 89 yards on 11 of 19 passing. His overall passer rating was 47.92 and he did not throw or rush for a touchdown.

Against the spread, Minnesota was not able to cover as 27.5-point underdogs. On the over/under, the line was 51.5 going into the game resulting in the under hitting.

So far, the Minnesota Golden Gophers are 5-6, including going 1-3 on the road and 4-2 at home.

Minnesota has gone into six games as the favorite this season and four games as the underdog. Their ATS record is currently 3-7. Across 11 games, the average over/under line in Minnesota’s matchups is 44.7 points. These games have seen an average combined score of 47.5 points, resulting in an OU record of 4-6.

Wisconsin Offense Breakdown

In the rushing game, the Badgers are currently 62nd in college football with 375 attempts per game. This has resulted in an average of 154.7 rushing yards per game, putting them 70th nationally. Their passing game has averaged 36.8 passes and 212.6 yards per game. When it comes to scoring, they are 79th, averaging 22.4 points per game.

So far this season, Tanner Mordecai has thrown for 1543 yards, averaging 9.5 per completion. His completion percentage is 64.7%, and he’s registered four touchdowns.

Minnesota Offense Breakdown

The Golden Gophers are currently ranked 27th in college football with 425 rushing attempts per game. In terms of rush yards, they are at 153.4 rushing yards per game, which is 73rd in the nation. Looking at their production in the passing game, they are averaging 24.3 attempts per game and gain an average of 151.9 passing yards. Overall, they hold the 86th spot with 20.7 points per game.

The top passer for Minnesota is Athan Kaliakmanis, who has accumulated 1671 passing yards and boasts a completion rate of 52.6%. He’s currently averaging 6.3 yards per passing attempt.

Wisconsin Team Defense

Wisconsin’s defense is ranked 163rd in passing yards allowed per game as they prepare for this matchup. Opponents have attempted an average of 31.3 passing attempts against the Badgers. They have given up 19.4 points per game so far, placing them 71st in college football. In the NCAA’s rush defense category, they are 64th.

Minnesota Team Defense

Coming into this week’s game, the Minnesota defense is 108th in points allowed at 26.8 points per game. So far, team’s have averaged 225.9 passing yards per game vs. the unit (96th). On the ground, they are giving up 144.7 rushing yards, putting them 68th in college football.

Wisconsin vs Minnesota Trends

  • Looking at Wisconsin’s five most recent road games, they have put together a record vs. the spread of 3-2.
  • Looking across Minnesota’s ten most recent home games, they are 3-7 against the spread.
  • Minnesota is 5-5 in their last ten games as underdogs.
  • Over their last five games as the betting favorite, Wisconsin has an ATS record of 2-3.

Wisconsin vs Minnesota Prediction

So far this season, Wisconsin’s defense has finished with more tackles for losses than their opponents three of their 11 games. Look for their advantage up-front to continue and Wisconsin should go on to cover the spread in this one.

I’m taking the over with the over/under line set at 41.5. So far this season, games involving Minnesota have generated an average combined score of 47.5 points, and I believe this game will exceed 41.5.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.