Nevada Wolfpack vs New Mexico Lobos NCAAB Betting Prediction

Nevada Wolf Pack vs. New Mexico Lobos Prediction 1/28/2024

The Nevada Wolf Pack (16-4) travel to face off against the New Mexico Lobos (17-3) on Sunday, January 28th. This game will be played at The Pit in Albuquerque and televised on FS1. Both team’s come into this one having won their previous games. Tip-off is set for 10:00 ET.

Nevada Wolf Pack vs New Mexico Lobos

The Nevada Wolf Pack Are Coming Off A Win

After winning their last game against Colorado State by a score of 77-64, Nevada enters tonight’s contest with a record of 16-4. So far this season, the Wolf Pack have gone 3-3 in Mountain West play and 13-1 in non-conference matchups.

On the road this season, Nevada is 6-3, and their average scoring margin in these games is +4.1. Over their last 10 games away from home, the team has gone 6-4.

As the underdog, Nevada has an ATS record of 2-1 this season and a mark of 5-5 in their last 10 games as the underdog. On the road, the Wolf Pack have gone 6-3 vs. the spread this year and are 6-4 in their last 10 road games ATS.

So far this season, the over/under record in Nevada games is 8-12 and today’s line of 153.5 is higher than the average over/under line in their games (143). This year, 16 of their games have finished with fewer points than today’s line. In their last three games, the over/under record is 1-2 and the average scoring total in those games is 153 points.

The New Mexico Lobos Are Coming Off A Win

With a record of 9-0 at home this season, New Mexico has been dominant on their home court. They have won their last 10 games at home and have an average scoring margin of +20.2 points per game at home. This season, they have been favored in 16 of their 20 games and have gone 15-1 in those games.

Coming into this game, New Mexico has won three games in a row, and they are 17-3 overall. In their last game, they defeated San Jose State by a score of 95-75. So far, they have gone 4-2 in conference games compared to 13-1 in non-conference games.

As the favorite, New Mexico has been a strong bet vs. the spread this season, going 13-3. At home, their ATS mark is 8-1, and over their last 10 games as the favorite, they are 8-2.

On the season, the over/under record for New Mexico games is 9-9 and today’s over/under line of 153.5 is very close to the average over/under line in their games this year (153.1). Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 168 points and the over/under record in their last five games is 4-0.

Nevada Offense Breakdown

In their recent game, the Wolf Pack’s offense concluded with 77 points, consistent with their ongoing season average of 77 points per contest. The top scorer for the Wolf Pack was Jarod Lucas with 28 points, while Kenan Blackshear also chipped in with 20 points.

Jarod Lucas (G) 17.6 2.6 1.1
Kenan Blackshear (G) 16.1 5.2 4.9
Nick Davidson (F) 10.7 6.7 1.4

New Mexico Offense Breakdown

New Mexico’s offense is coming off a good game, putting up 95 points vs. San Jose State. Overall, they hit 50.7% of their shots from the field and went 17/26 from the free-throw line. The team’s top scorer is Donovan Dent, who comes into today’s matchup with an average of 14.9, while JT Toppin also maintains a PPG average of 13.4 leading up to the game.

Donovan Dent (G) 14.9 2.6 6.2
JT Toppin (F) 13.4 8.3 0.7
Jaelen House (G) 15.3 3.1 3.8

Nevada Team Defense

The Wolf Pack’s defense is presently ranked 37th nationally, allowing an average of 65.4 points per contest. In today’s game vs. New Mexico, the Nevada defense will be looking to do a better job avoiding putting opponents on the line. In their last game, Nevada made 15 free-throws vs. the Wolf Pack.

New Mexico Team Defense

So far, the Lobos’ defense is ranked 102nd in the country at 69.4 points per contest. In their most recent game, the New Mexico defense struggled to defend the three-point line, as San Jose State knocked down 10 three-pointers on their way to 75 points.

Wolf Pack vs Lobos Trends

  • Through their last ten road contests, the Wolf Pack offense has averaged 74 points per game while allowing an average of 73. Nevada posted an overall record of 6-4 while going 6-4 ATS.
  • Across their last three home contests, New Mexico has been good against the spread posting a mark of 2-1. Their overall mark in these games was 2-1, while averaging 84 points per game.
  • As the betting underdog, the Wolf Pack have an ATS mark of just 5-5 in their last ten games. Nevada posted a straight up mark of 4-6 in these matchups.
  • Going back to their previous ten games as the favorite, New Mexico has an ATS mark of 8-2 while going 9-1 straight up.

Wolf Pack vs Lobos Prediction

For a pick on the point-spread in this Lobos vs. Wolf Pack matchup, our bet is to grab the Wolf Pack at +6.5. Even though our projections have the Lobos winning 75-70, we see the Wolf Pack as the play on the point-spread.

Right now, the over/under line for the game is sitting at 153.5 and given that our model is projecting 145 points between the teams, we like the under.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.