New Mexico-Colorado State NCAABB Prediction

New Mexico Lobos vs Colorado State Rams Prediction 1/2/2024

The New Mexico Lobos (12-1) travel to face off against the Colorado State Rams (12-1) on Tuesday, January 2nd. This game will be played at Moby Arena in Fort Collins and televised on FS1. Both team’s come into this one having won their previous games. Tip-off is set for 10:30 ET.

New Mexico Lobos vs Colorado State Rams

The New Mexico Lobos Are Coming Off A Win

After defeating UC Irvine by a score of 78-65 in their previous game, New Mexico is now 12-1 on the season. So far this season, all of the Lobos’ games have been played on the road. As of today’s game, New Mexico holds a 9-3 ATS record. In their previous five games, they have gone 3-1 vs. the spread.

So far, New Mexico’s games have averaged 152.6 points per game with the average over/under line being 153.6 points. Over the course of the last five games, the Lobos’ games have averaged 148 points per game, along with an over/under record of 1-3.

The Colorado State Rams Are Coming Off A Win

Colorado State enters today’s game against New Mexico with a 12-1 overall record. The Rams are undefeated on the road at 4-0 and have a home record of 7-1. As of now, Colorado State has a positive ATS record, sitting at 9-3. When playing away from home, the Rams have a perfect 4-0 record vs. the spread, while their ATS record at home is 5-3.

Looking at their over/under performance through 13 games, Colorado State has an over/under record of 6-5-1, with their games averaging 151.8 points per game on average. When looking at the Rams’ last three games, their over/under record is 0-2, with their games averaging 149 points per game.

New Mexico Offense Breakdown

The New Mexico offense is coming off a game in which they scored 78 points vs. UC Irvine. Overall their field goal percentage was 39.4% while connecting on 5 threes. Donovan Dent is the current leading scorer for the team, with an average of 16.8 as they approach today’s matchup. In addition, JT Toppin brings a PPG average of 12.4 into the game.

Donovan Dent (G) 16.8 3.0 6.2
JT Toppin (F) 12.4 7.6 0.5
Tru Washington (G) 10.6 4.7 1.8

Colorado State Offense Breakdown

In contrast to their season average of 84.7 points per game, the Colorado State had a below average performance. They scored 76 points against Loyola Marymount and had a field goal percentage of 56.6%. In terms of offense, the Rams have a season-long field goal percentage of 53%, putting them 14th in the NCAA. Regarding three-pointers, they are ranked 52nd in percentage and 81st in three-pointers made.

Isaiah Stevens (G) 17.3 2.9 7.3
Dominique Clifford (G) 13.2 6.1 2.4
Joel Scott (F) 12.2 5.8 1.5

New Mexico Team Defense

So far, the Lobos’ defense is ranked 83rd in the country at 67.2 points per contest. New Mexico will look once again to perform well on defense, holding UC Irvine to just 39% shooting in their most recent game.

Colorado State Team Defense

At present, the Rams’ defense is nationally ranked 99th, allowing 68.2 points per game. The Colorado State defense is coming off a game in which they gave up a total of 67 points and allowed Loyola Marymount to connect on 12 threes.

Lobos vs Rams Trends

  • In their last three road games, New Mexico has averaged 85 points per game while allowing 68. The team’s record in this stretch was 3-0 while going 2-1 vs. the spread.
  • Through their last ten home games, Colorado State has an ATS record of just 7-3. However, their overall record was 6-4 while averaging 66 points per game.
  • Going back to their last three games as the underdog, the Lobos have a straight up record of 0-3. But, their mark vs the spread was just 1-2.
  • Although the Rams have a strong straight up record in their last three games as the betting favorite, they have not done as well vs the spread going 1-2.

Lobos vs Rams Prediction

We’re calling a win for the Rams, with a final score of 76-68, and we’re taking them to cover the spread. Our recommendation is to bet on the Rams at -3.5.

As for the total, the line is currently sitting at 156.5 and our model has the Lobos and Rams finishing with a combined 144 points. Our pick is to take the under.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.