NFL Atlanta vs New Orleans Saints Prediction 1/7/2024

The Atlanta Falcons (7-9) travel to face off against the New Orleans Saints (8-8) on Sunday, January 7th. This game will be played at Caesars Superdome in Caesars Superdome and televised on CBS. The Saints are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Falcons are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Bears. Kickoff is set for 1:00 ET.

Falcons vs Saints

The Falcons Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

After a 37-17 loss to the Bears, the Falcons are looking to get back on track this week. The Falcons had a 20-point loss, resulting in a defeat on their ATS record. They were 3-point underdogs going into the game.

Taylor Heinicke wrapped up the game with 163 passing yards and a passer rating of 26. Overall, he completed 10 of 29 passes.

The Falcons defense is coming off a game in which they struggled to defend the run, conceding 84.62962962962962 first downs on the ground. In total, Chicago put up192 rushing yards against the Falcons’ defense. In terms of overall yardage, Chicago finished with 432 yards of offense.

On the road, the Falcons have a record of 2-6 this season and are 7-9 overall. When looking at the standings, Atlanta is 12th in the NFC and 3rd in the NFC-South. On the road, Atlanta has gone 2-6 thus far.

This season, the Falcons boast an above .500 record versus the spread, currently standing at 5-11. Their average scoring margin for this season is -1.3. The average over/under line for Atlanta games this season is 40.1 points. Their over/under record stands at 6-10, with an average margin against the over/under of -0.8.

Falcons Injury Report

Barry Wesley – Undisclosed (Out)
Ikenna Enechukwu – Leg (Out)
Josh Ali – Ankle (Out)
Jacob Saylors – Undisclosed (Out)
Troy Andersen – Arm (Out)
Adetokunbo Ogundeji – Foot (Out)
Avery Williams – Knee (Out)
Matt Hennessy – Knee (Out)
Feleipe Franks – Foot (Out)
Drew Dalman – Ankle (Questionable)
Ethan Greenidge – Leg (Out)
Kentavius Street – Shoulder (Out)
Mike Hughes – Concussion (Questionable)
Grady Jarrett – Knee (Out)
Keith Smith – Ankle (Out)

The Saints Are Coming Off A Win

The Saints clinched a win in their most recent contest against the Buccaneers, finishing with a final score of 23-13. Besides their outright victory, the Saints also covered the spread as 2.5-point underdogs.

For the game, quarterback Derek Carr attempted 32 passes and finished with 24 completions for 197. His passer rating for the game was 111.

On the defensive side, the Saints finished with two interceptions against the Buccaneers and surrendered 292 passing yards overall. Additionally, the rush defense allowed 57 yards on 15 carries.

This week will be the Saints’ 8th home game of the season. So far, they have put together a record of 4-3 at home and 4-5 on the road. Their overall mark of 8-8 has them sitting 2nd in the NFC-South.

The current scoring margin for the Saints’ is +2.8, and this has contributed to their ATS record of 5-10-1. Currently, the Saints have an average over/under line of 41.6 points for this season. Their games have been averaging 41.5 points per game, leading to an over/under record of 5-11.

Saints Injury Report

Michael Thomas – Knee (Out)
Trai Turner – Quadriceps (Out)
Marcus Maye – Shoulder (Out)
Marshon Lattimore – Ankle (Out)
Alvin Kamara – Ankle (Questionable)
Ryan Ramczyk – Knee (Out)
Landon Young – Knee (Questionable)
Payton Turner – Toe (Questionable)
Malcolm Roach – Knee (Out)
Eno Benjamin – Achilles (Out)
Ryan Connelly – Knee (Out)
Andrew Dowell – Knee (Out)
Lonnie Johnson Jr. – Knee (Questionable)
Nephi Sewell – Knee (Out)
Nick Saldiveri – Shoulder (Out)
Isaiah Foskey – Quad (Questionable)
Kendre Miller – Ankle (Questionable)

Falcons Offense Breakdown

Atlanta’s offense comes in the game as the 23rd in scoring at 19 PPG. In the first half, the Falcons have struggled with an average of 7.8 points.

So far this season, Atlanta’s passing game is 22nd in passing attempts. Their average of 200.8 passing yards per game places them 22nd in the NFL rankings.

Atlanta comes in with an average of 4.2 yards per rushing attempt and have an average of 31.1 attempts per game. In terms of total rushing yards, they are currently ranked 8th in the league.

Saints Offense Breakdown

New Orleans’ offense is 13th in the league, with an average of 22.1 points per contest.

Among the other teams in the league New Orleans ranks 12th in the NFL for passing yards per game with an average of 234. Their passing yards per attempt, 6.5, places them 9th.

At 99.2 rushing yards per game, the Saints are currently ranked 21st in the NFL. In terms of attempts, they are carrying the ball an average of 27.8 time per game which is 10th.

Falcons Team Defense

Atlanta is sitting 9th in points allowed so far. Heading into week 18, their opponents are putting up an average of 20.3 points per game, on 316.1 yards per contest.

Saints Team Defense

When it comes to yards allowed, the Saints rank 13th in the league, conceding an average of 323.3 yards per contest. New Orleans’ defense has allowed 19.4 points per game, which has them 6th in the NFL.

Falcons vs Saints Trends

Through their last five road games, Atlanta has an ATS record of just 1-4. However, their overall record was 1-4 while averaging 16 points per game.
Across their three previous home games, New Orleans has an ATS mark of 1-2. Their straight up record in these matchups was 1-2 while averaging 20 points per game.
As the betting underdog, the Falcons have an ATS mark of just 3-7 in their last ten games. Atlanta posted a straight up mark of 2-8 in these matchups.
Spanning across their last ten games as the betting favorite, the Saints have gone 3-7 vs the spread. Their overall record in these games was 4-6.

Falcons vs Saints Prediction

I’m going with Atlanta to cover as 3.5-point underdogs in this matchup. Atlanta had an impressive performance in their last game, particularly in the ground game against Chicago. I anticipate them to replicate that success, which is why I’m backing Atlanta before kickoff.

If you’re looking for a pick on the over/under, the data we have suggests this game finishing below 41.5 points. For this game, my money is on the under.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.

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