browns vs texans nfl betting prediction

NFL: Browns vs. Houston Texans Prediction 1/13/2024

The Cleveland Browns (11-6) travel to face off against the Houston Texans (10-7) on Saturday, January 13th. This game will be played at NRG Stadium in NRG Stadium and televised on NBC. The Texans are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Browns are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Bengals. Kickoff is set for 4:30 ET.

Browns vs Texanscleveland browns betting

The Browns Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

The Browns are coming off a 31-14 loss to the Bengals. In addition to their 17-point loss, the Browns also suffered a setback in their ATS record. They were 7.5-point underdogs at the start of the game.

Against the Bengals, the Browns ran the ball 24 times, with Pierre Strong Jr. as the primary rusher, accumulating 65 yards. Jeff Driskel attempted 26 passes, amassing 166 yards and a passer rating of 63.

The Browns’ defense finished their most recent game with three sacks and two interceptions. The team’s secondary gave up 145 passing yards while their rush defense allowed 183 rushing yards.

Through 17 games, the Browns have a record of 11-6. This mark has them 2nd in the AFC-North and 5th in the AFC.

Looking at their ATS performance so far, the Browns are above .500 at 10-6-1. Their average scoring margin is +2. Throughout this season, Cleveland games have averaged 44.6 points, ranking them 14th in the NFL. They hold an over/under record of 10-6-1, with an average OU line of 38.2 points.

Browns Injury Report

  • Michael Woods II – Achilles (Out)
  • Bopete Keyes – Finger (Out)
  • Dawson Deaton – Knee (Out)
  • Thomas Graham Jr. – Ankle (Out)
  • Daylen Baldwin – Hamstring (Out)
  • Jacob Phillips – Pectoral (Out)
  • Jakeem Grant Sr. – Knee (Out)
  • Drew Forbes – Illness (Out)
  • Jordan Kunaszyk – Knee (Out)

The Texans Are Coming Off A Winhouston texans betting

Houston is looking to string together another win after taking down the Colts 23-19 in their last game. Houston was favored by 1.5 against the Colts and notched an ATS victory.

Against Indianapolis, quarterback C.J. Stroud had a passer rating of 134 while completing 76% of his passes. Overall, he ended the game with 264 yards through the air.

In their last game vs. the Colts, the Texans defense struggled to defend the run, giving up 90.06294964028777 first downs on the ground. Overall, Indianapolis ran for 227 yards against the Texans’ defense.

Heading into their matchup vs. the Browns, the Texans are 10-7 overall and have picked up two straight matchups. In the AFC-South, Houston is in 1st place.

The Texans’ have a scoring margin of +1.4 this season, which has led to an ATS record of 9-8. Currently, the Texans have an average over/under line of 42.7 points for this season. Their games have been averaging 42.9 points per game, leading to an over/under record of 6-11.

Texans Injury Report

  • Cameron Johnston – Calf (Out)
  • Juice Scruggs – Leg (Out)
  • Brandon Hill – Undisclosed (Out)
  • Tytus Howard – Hand (Out)
  • Jesse Matthews – Knee (Out)
  • DJ Scaife – Leg (Out)
  • Kilian Zierer – Ankle (Out)
  • Kenyon Green – Shoulder (Out)
  • Charlie Heck – Foot (Out)
  • Scott Quessenberry – Knee (Out)
  • Troy Hairston – Back (Out)

Browns Offense Breakdown

On the offensive side of the ball, the Browns currently hold an average of 23.3 points per game, which places them at 10th in the NFL.

In this week’s game, Cleveland’s passing game is currently 19th in passing yards. Additionally, they are 5th in pass attempts, throwing an average of 36.7 passes each game.

At 118.6 rushing yards per game, the Browns are 12th in the NFL. This figure has come on an average of 30.5 attempts (4th).

Texans Offense Breakdown

The Texans offense has been better at home this year, averaging 24.6 at home compared to 19.5 on the road. In terms of overall scoring, they are 12th in the league.

In the passing game, the Texans are averaging 245.5 passing yards per game, which is 7th in the league. So far, 65.3% of their first downs have come through the passing game.

With an average of 96.9 rushing yards per game, the Texans currently rank 22nd in the NFL. This figure is based on 26.1 rushing attempts (20th).

Browns Team Defense

On the defensive front, the Browns currently hold the 1st position in tackles for loss and rank 6th in sacks. Opponents are averaging 21.3 points and 270.2 yards per game against them.

Texans Team Defense

The Texans’ defense has, on average, allowed 330.7 yards and 20.8 points per contest (11th). Leading up to this game, they’ve permitted a 67.6% completion rate and yielded 17 passing touchdowns. In terms of run defense, they rank 6th in the NFL.

Browns vs Texans Trends

  • In their last ten games away from home, the Browns have a straight up record of 4-6 while going 3-6-1 vs the spread. The team’s offense averaged 23 points per game in these contests.
  • Through their last ten home contests, the Texans offense has averaged 20 points per game while allowing an average of 21. Houston posted an overall record of 6-4 while going 7-3 ATS.
  • Going back to their previous three games as the underdog, Houston has an ATS mark of 1-2 while going 1-2 straight up.
  • The last ten games that Cleveland was favored, they have an ATS mark of 8-2 while going 9-1 straight up.

Browns vs Texans Prediction

On the spread, I’m taking Cleveland at -2.5. I’m expecting Cleveland’s rushing attack to take advantage of a Houston defense that struggled to defend the run in their most recent game. Lock in Cleveland -2.5.

For this matchup, I’m going to be hammering the under, as our model has Cleveland and Houston combining for 41 points. Right now the over/under line is sitting at 44.5, so I’d recommend getting some action on the under.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.