buccaneers vs packers nfl prediction

NFL: Buccaneers vs. Green Bay Packers Prediction 12/17/2023

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers (6-7) travel to face off against the Green Bay Packers (6-7) on Sunday, December 17th. This game will be played at Lambeau Field in Lambeau Field and televised on FOX. The Buccaneers are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Packers are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Giants. Kickoff is set for 1:00 ET.

Buccaneers vs Packers

The Buccaneers Are Coming Off A Win

The Buccaneers came out on top in their previous game against the Falcons, with the game ending in a score of 29-25. In addition to winning the game, the Buccaneers managed to cover the spread as 1.5-point underdogs.

Tampa Bay’s offense finished with 290 yards of total offense vs. the Falcons. On third down, the Buccaneers converted at a rate of 37.5%. Rachaad White was the Buccaneers’ top rusher with 102 yards while Baker Mayfield threw for 144 yards.

When it came to defense, the Buccaneers yielded 434 yards of total offense to Atlanta. Among these yards, 96 were attributed to the rushing game, while 338 yards were given up through 40 attempts by the Falcons’ offense.

As they prepare to face the Packers, the Buccaneers hold an overall record of 6-7 and have secured two consecutive victories. Within the NFC-South, Tampa Bay is in 1st place.

The Buccaneers have a 8-5 record against the spread this season. So far this season, their average scoring margin is -0.6. This season, the Buccaneers have an over/under record of 5-8. Their games have seen an average over/under betting line of 41.3 points, and the average combined score per game has been 40.9 points.

Buccaneers Injury Report

  • Rakim Jarrett – Quad (Out)
  • Mike Greene – Calf (Out)
  • Silas Dzansi – Undisclosed (Out)
  • Devin White – Foot (Questionable)
  • Jamel Dean – Ankle/foot (Questionable)
  • Ryan Jensen – Knee (Out)
  • William Gholston – Knee (Questionable)
  • Ryan Neal – Hip (Questionable)
  • Russell Gage – Knee (Out)
  • Carlton Davis III – Groin (Questionable)
  • Vita Vea – Toe (Questionable)

The Packers Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

After a 24-22 loss to the Giants, the Packers are looking to get back on track this week. Not only did the Packers lose the game, but they also didn’t cover the spread as 5.5-point favorites.

In their matchup against the Giants, the Packers ran the ball 25 times, with AJ Dillon emerging as the top rusher with 53 yards. In the passing game, Jordan Love finished with 39 passes, resulting in 218 yards and a passer rating of 76.

In their last game vs. the Giants, the Packers defense struggled to defend the run, giving up 77.1849593495935 first downs on the ground. Overall, New York ran for 209 yards against the Packers’ defense.

At 6-7, the Packers are 7th in the NFC and 3rd in the NFC-North. This will be Green Bay’s 7th home game this season, where they have gone 4-2 compared to 2-5 on the road.

Against the spread, the Packers are 7-6 this season. This includes them covering the spread in three straight games at home. Coming in with an over/under record of 7-6, the Packers have an average margin of +0.1 vs. their over/under lines. So far, their games have averaged 42.1 points per game.

Packers Injury Report

  • Quay Walker – Shoulder (Out)
  • Christian Watson – Hamstring (Out)
  • Luke Tenuta – Ankle (Out)
  • Eric Stokes – Hamstring (Questionable)
  • Luke Musgrave – Kidney (Out)
  • Caleb Jones – Gameday Inactive (Out)
  • Kyu Kelly – Gameday Inactive (Out)
  • Emanuel Wilson – Shoulder (Out)
  • Dontayvion Wicks – Ankle (Questionable)
  • Darnell Savage – Chest (Probable)
  • Tyler Davis – Knee (Out)
  • Jaire Alexander – Shoulder (Out)
  • Aaron Jones – Knee (Out)
  • David Bakhtiari – Knee (Out)

Buccaneers Offense Breakdown

On the offensive side of the ball, the Buccaneers currently hold an average of 20.2 points per game, which places them at 19th in the NFL.

Tampa Bay currently ranks 17th in passing attempts and has an average of 6.3 yards per attempt (12). With 214.4 passing yards per game, they are positioned 20th in the league.

On the ground, the Buccaneers have ran the ball an average of 25.5 times per game and are 29th in rushing yards. So far, they are averaging 3.6 yards per rushing attempt.

Packers Offense Breakdowngreen bay packers betting

The Green Bay offense is currently ranked 16th in the league, averaging 21.5 points per contest.

Green Bay is currently 15th in passing attempts and are averaging 6.5 yards per attempt (10). At 223 passing yards per game, they are 18th in the league.

The Packers are running the ball an average of 24.9 times per game and currently hold the 19th rank in rushing yards. Per attempt, they are averaging 4.2 yards.

Buccaneers Team Defense

On the defensive front, the Buccaneers enter the game as the 6th ranked team in tackles for loss and 6th in sacks. Their opponents are averaging 20.8 points per game against them, along with an average of 362.8 yards per contest.

Packers Team Defense

On the defensive side of the ball, Green Bay currently ranks 11th in points allowed. Their opponents have been averaging 20.5 points per game while gaining 342.1 yards per contest.

Buccaneers vs Packers Trendstampa bay buccaneers betting

  • When looking at their past five road matchups, Tampa Bay has an ATS record of 4-1 while averaging 23 per game. The team went 1-4 overall in these games.
  • Across the Packers last five home games, the team averaged 20 points per game while allowing 21. Their record vs the spread in these contests was 1-4, while going 1-4 straight-up.
  • In their last ten games as the betting underdog, the Buccaneers have a straight up record of 3-7 and an ATS mark of 6-4.
  • Going back to their last ten games as the favorite, the Packers have a straight up record of 4-6. But, their mark vs the spread was just 4-6.

Buccaneers vs Packers Prediction

I’m leaning towards Tampa Bay to cover as 3.5-point underdogs in this matchup. Tampa Bay demonstrated a strong rushing game in their recent game against Atlanta and is expected to continue in the same vein. I’ll be placing my bet on Tampa Bay before the game kicks off.

For this matchup, I’m going to be hammering the under, as our model has Tampa Bay and Green Bay combining for 42 points. Right now the over/under line is sitting at 42.5, so I’d recommend getting some action on the under.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.