bills vs chiefs nfl prediction

NFL: Buffalo Bills vs Chiefs Prediction 12/10/2023

The Buffalo Bills (6-6) travel to face off against the Kansas City Chiefs (8-4) on Sunday, December 10th. This game will be played at Arrowhead Stadium in Arrowhead Stadium and televised on CBS. Both the Bills and Chiefs will be looking to bounce back from losses in their previous games. Kickoff is scheduled for 4:25 ET.

Bills vs Chiefs

The Bills Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

After dropping their last game by a score of 37-34 to the Eagles, they are looking to bounce back with a win this week. In addition to their 3-point loss, the Bills also suffered a setback in their ATS record. They were 2.5-point underdogs at the start of the game.

Against Philadelphia, quarterback Josh Allen had a passer rating of 82 while completing 56% of his passes. Overall, he ended the game with 339 yards through the air.

During week 12, the Eagles aimed to establish their ground game against the Bills, with 32 rushing attempts accumulating 185 yards. Overall, Buffalo’s defense had given up a total of 378 yards, including 193 yards against the pass.

This season, the Bills hold the 2nd position in the AFC-East with an overall record of 6-6. Their non-conference game record is 3-1, and in AFC action, they are AFC.

Looking at the Bills’ scoring margin so far, it currently stands at +8.4. This has led to an ATS record of 4-8. This season, games featuring the Bills have averaged 46.2 points, placing them at 8th in the NFL. They currently hold an over/under record of 4-8, with an average OU line of 45.8 points.

Bills Injury Report

  • Justin Shorter – Hamstring (Out)
  • Dane Jackson – Concussion (Questionable)
  • Kameron Cline – Undisclosed (Out)
  • Kaiir Elam – Ankle (Out)
  • Zach Davidson – Knee (Out)
  • Tommy Doyle – Knee (Out)
  • Taylor Rapp – Neck (Questionable)
  • Dawson Knox – Wrist (Out)
  • Damien Harris – Neck (Out)
  • Nyheim Hines – Knee (Out)
  • Matt Milano – Lower Leg (Out)
  • Tre’Davious White – Achilles (Out)
  • DaQuan Jones – Pectoral (Out)
  • Von Miller – Personal (Questionable)

The Chiefs Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

This week, the Chiefs are hoping to bounce back from a 27-19 loss to the Packers. Besides their straight-up loss, the Chiefs also failed to cover the spread as 5.5-point favorites.

Patrick Mahomes wrapped up the game with 210 passing yards and a passer rating of 79. Overall, he completed 21 of 33 passes.

On the defensive side, the Chiefs allowed 382 yards of total offense to Green Bay. Among these yards, 129 were given up on the ground, while the team’s secondary gave up 253 yards through 36 attempts.

During this season, the Chiefs have an overall record of 8-4, which has them 1st in the AFC-West. Their performance includes 1-0 as underdogs and 7-4 when they are favored.

Looking at their ATS performance so far, the Chiefs are above .500 at 7-5. Their average scoring margin is +5.6. Coming in with an over/under record of 4-8, the Chiefs have an average margin of -7.2 vs. their over/under lines. So far, their games have averaged 40.2 points per game.

Chiefs Injury Report

  • Bryan Cook – Ankle (Questionable)
  • Nazeeh Johnson – Knee (Out)
  • Cole Christiansen – Hamstring (Out)
  • Prince Tega Wanogho – Quad (Out)
  • Jody Fortson – Shoulder (Out)
  • Justyn Ross – Commissioner Exempt List (Out)
  • Nick Bolton – Wrist (Questionable)
  • Jerick McKinnon – Groin (Questionable)
  • Donovan Smith – Neck (Questionable)
  • Mecole Hardman Jr. – Thumb (Out)
  • Drue Tranquill – Concussion (Questionable)

Bills Offense Breakdown

On the offensive side of the ball, the Bills currently hold an average of 27.3 points per game, which places them at 5th in the NFL.

This season, Buffalo’s passing offense ranks 7th in passing attempts. With an average of 260.9 passing yards per game, they hold the 5th spot in the NFL.

When it comes to rushing, the Bills are averaging 4.3 yards per attempt while running the ball an average of 27.7 times per game. At 122.3 rushing yards per contest, they are 10th in the league.

kansas city chiefs bettingChiefs Offense Breakdown

So far this season, the Kansas City offense has been averaging 22.9 points per game, ranking them 11th in the league.

Kansas City’s passing attack comes in to this week’s game ranked 8th in passing yards. In addition, they are 2nd in attempts, throwing the ball an average of 37.5 times per game.

The Chiefs are currently 16th in the NFL with 109.9 rushing yards per game. This has come on an average of 25.3 rushing attempts (20th).

Bills Team Defense

So far the Bills’ defense has given up an average of 319.9 yards per game and 18.9 points per contest (5th). Coming into the game, they have allowed a completion percentage allowed of 67.1% and have given up 16 passing touchdowns. Against the run, they are 18th in the NFL.

Chiefs Team Defense

The Chiefs are 4th in the league in terms of yards allowed, giving up 297.7 yards per contest. Kansas City’s defense comes in with an average of 17.3 points per game allowed, which is 3rd in the NFL.

Bills vs Chiefs Trendsbuffalo bills betting

  • Through their last five road games, Buffalo has an ATS record of just 1-4. However, their overall record was 1-4 while averaging 26 points per game.
  • In their last three games at home, the Chiefs have a straight up record of 1-2 while going 1-2 vs the spread. The team’s offense averaged 19 points per game in these contests.
  • Going back to their last ten games as the underdog, the Bills have a straight up record of 4-6. But, their mark vs the spread was just 5-5.
  • Looking back on the team’s last ten games as the favorite, the Chiefs have a straight up record of 7-3. Their record vs the spread in these games was 6-4.

Bills vs Chiefs Prediction

Kansas City’s passing game didn’t look good in their last game against Green Bay. I’m not anticipating a sudden turnaround, which is why I’m favoring Buffalo as 2.5-point underdogs.

After crunching the numbers, our model is pointing to this game finishing with a combined 52 points. This projection has me feeling good about taking the over at 47.5.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.