bills vs chargers nfl betting prediction

NFL: Buffalo Bills vs. LA Chargers Prediction 12/23/2023

The Buffalo Bills (8-6) travel to face off against the Los Angeles Chargers (5-9) on Saturday, December 23rd. This game will be played at SoFi Stadium in SoFi Stadium and televised on None. The Bills are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Chargers are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Raiders. Kickoff is set for 8:00 ET.

Bills vs Chargerslos angeles charges betting

The Bills Are Coming Off A Win

The Bills hosted the Cowboys in week 15. The Bills finished the game with a 31-10 win. The Bills were able to cover the spread vs. Dallas, as they went into the game favored by 2.5.

In their matchup against the Cowboys, the Bills ran the ball 49 times, with James Cook emerging as the top rusher with 179 yards. In the passing game, Josh Allen finished with 15 passes, resulting in 94 yards and a passer rating of 89.

The Bills defense is coming off a game in which they gave up just 89 yards vs. the run. For the game, the Cowboys averaged 4.4 yards per attempt. Buffalo’s defense gave up a total of 195 yards of offense.

Taking a glance at the AFC-East standings, the Bills are 2nd with a record of 8-6. Within the AFC, Buffalo is currently in 9th place as they enter week 16.

The Bills have a 6-8 ATS record so far. As we enter week 16, their scoring margin per game is +8.9. So far this season, the Bills have been given an average over/under line of 46.3 points. Their games have averaged 45.2 points per game, leading to an over/under record of 4-10.

Bills Injury Report

  • Justin Shorter – Hamstring (Questionable)
  • Kaiir Elam – Ankle (Questionable)
  • Spencer Brown – Finger (Questionable)
  • Tommy Doyle – Knee (Out)
  • Zach Davidson – Knee (Out)
  • A.J. Epenesa – Ribs (Questionable)
  • Kameron Cline – Undisclosed (Out)
  • Ty Johnson – Shoulder (Questionable)
  • Damien Harris – Neck (Out)
  • Tre’Davious White – Achilles (Out)
  • Matt Milano – Lower Leg (Out)
  • Nyheim Hines – Knee (Out)
  • Jordan Phillips – Wrist (Questionable)
  • Micah Hyde – Neck (Questionable)
  • DaQuan Jones – Pectoral (Out)

The Chargers Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

In week 15, the Chargers hit the road to face the Raiders, but they suffered a 63-21 loss. In addition to their 42-point loss, the Chargers also suffered a setback in their ATS record. They were 3-point underdogs at the start of the game.

Los Angeles’ offense generated 326 total yards against the Raiders. On third downs, the Chargers managed a conversion rate of 50%. Isaiah Spiller led the team in rushing with 50 yards, while Easton Stick passed for 257 yards.

The Chargers’ defense finished their last game with one sack and one interception. The team’s secondary conceded 254 passing yards, while their rush defense allowed 124 rushing yards.

At home, the Chargers have a record of 2-5 this season and are 5-9 overall. When looking at the standings, Los Angeles is 13th in the AFC and 4th in the AFC-West. On the road, Los Angeles has gone 3-4 thus far.

In terms of the spread, the Chargers hold a record of 5-9. This has come on an average scoring margin of -3. This season, the Chargers have an over/under record and have an average margin of +0.5 compared to their over/under lines. Their games have been averaging 46.3 points per game.

Chargers Injury Reportbuffalo bills betting

  • Corey Linsley – Heart (Out)
  • Nick Williams – Shoulder (Questionable)
  • Keenan Allen – Heel (Questionable)
  • Joey Bosa – Foot (Out)
  • Mike Williams – Knee (Out)
  • Will Clapp – Knee (Out)
  • Donald Parham Jr. – Shoulder (Questionable)
  • Zack Bailey – Back (Out)
  • Justin Herbert – Finger (Out)
  • Essang Bassey – Concussion (Questionable)
  • Tanner Muse – Knee (Out)
  • Chris Rumph II – Foot (Out)
  • Amen Ogbongbemiga – Hamstring (Questionable)
  • Otito Ogbonnia – Knee (Questionable)
  • Deane Leonard – Ankle/heel (Questionable)
  • Raheem Layne – Knee (Out)
  • Andrew Trainer – Undisclosed (Out)
  • Amechi Uzodinma – Undisclosed (Out)

Bills Offense Breakdown

Buffalo’s offense comes in with an average of 27.1 points per game, which is currently 6th in the league.

Buffalo is currently ranked 8th in the NFL for passing yards per game, with an average of 244.6. In terms of passing yards per attempt, they are 6th in the league.

On the ground, the Bills have carried the ball an average of 29.2 times per game and currently rank 6th in rushing yards. Their average rushing yards per attempt is 4.4.

Chargers Offense Breakdown

For this season, the Los Angeles offense has an average of 21.6 points per game, placing them at 15th in the league.

As a team, Los Angeles is 10th in the NFL in passing yards per game (238). Their passing yards per attempt figure of 6.5 is 9th in the league.

At 95.7 rushing yards per game, the Chargers are currently ranked 27th in the NFL. In terms of attempts, they are carrying the ball an average of 25 time per game which is 22nd.

Bills Team Defense

The Bills’ defense has, on average, allowed 312.9 yards and 18.1 points per contest (4th). Leading up to this game, they’ve permitted a 65.9% completion rate and yielded 17 passing touchdowns. In terms of run defense, they rank 15th in the NFL.

Chargers Team Defense

In terms of turnovers, the Los Angeles defense has 17 takeaways, which is 8th in the NFL. Overall, they are giving up 24.6 points per game and 375.3 yards.

Bills vs Chargers Trends

  • When looking at their past three road matchups, Buffalo has an ATS record of 1-2 while averaging 24 per game. The team went 1-2 overall in these games.
  • Across the Chargers last three home games, the team averaged 15 points per game while allowing 28. Their record vs the spread in these contests was 1-2, while going 1-2 straight-up.
  • Going back to their previous five games as the underdog, Los Angeles has an ATS mark of 0-5 while going 0-5 straight up.
  • As the betting favorite, the Bills have an ATS mark of just 5-5 in their last ten games. Buffalo posted a straight up mark of 7-3 in these matchups.

Bills vs Chargers Prediction

A matchup I’m keeping a close eye on is Buffalo’s passing game versus the Los Angeles secondary. Considering Los Angeles’ difficulties against Las Vegas, I’m leaning towards Buffalo to cover with a 11-point advantage.

Not only does our model have a projected total of 47 points in this matchup, but the eye test has me feeling this line of 42.5 is low. I like Buffalo and Los Angeles to exceed 42.5 points.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.