bears vs browns nfl prediction

NFL: Chicago Bears vs Cleveland Browns Prediction 12/17/2023

The Chicago Bears (5-8) travel to face off against the Cleveland Browns (8-5) on Sunday, December 17th. This game will be played at Cleveland Browns Stadium in Cleveland Browns Stadium and televised on FOX. Both team’s come into this one having won their previous games. Kickoff is set for 1:00 ET.

Bears vs Browns

The Bears Are Coming Off A Win

The last time Chicago played, the Bears beat the Lions by a final score of 28-13. In additon to winning straight-up, the Bears covered the spread as 3 point underdogs.

Offensively, Justin Fields finished with 223 passing yards while completing 57% of his passes. On the ground, the Bears ran the ball 30 times for 142 yards. The team went 6/14 on third down.

Defensively, the Bears recorded two interceptions against the Lions and allowed a total of 127 passing yards. The rush defense gave up 140 yards on 24 attempts.

This week will be the Bears’ 8th road game of the season. So far, they have put together a record of 2-5 on the road and 3-3 at home. Their overall mark of 5-8 has them sitting 4th in the NFC-North.

So far this season, the Bears are above .500 vs. the spread at 6-5-2. Their average scoring margin this season is -3. Against the over/under, the Bears have a record of 7-6. In their games, the average over/under betting line has been 43.5 points, and the games have averaged 44.5 points per contest.

Bears Injury Report

  • Equanimeous St. Brown – Pectoral (Questionable)

The Browns Are Coming Off A Win

In their previous game, the Browns defeated the Jaguars with a final score of 31-27. Since they were favored by 2.5 against the Jaguars, the Browns secured an ATS victory.

In the game, quarterback Joe Flacco had a huge game passing, throwing for 311 yards on 45 attempts. Flacco also finished the game with three passing touchdowns.

Cleveland’s defense faced a Jacksonville offense that threw the ball 50 times for 235 yards in week 14. The Browns gave up a completion percentage of 56.0% on passing plays and a total of 293 yards of offense to the Jaguars.

In the AFC-North standings, the Browns find themselves in 2nd place with a record of 8-5. In the AFC, Cleveland is in 5th place as week 15 approaches.

This season, the Browns find themselves above .500 versus the spread with a record of 7-5-1. Their average scoring margin for this season stands at +1.3. This season, Cleveland games have seen an average of 43.2 points, which is 16th in the league. Their over/under record stands at 7-5-1, with an average OU line of 38.5 points.

Browns Injury Report

  • Dawson Deaton – Knee (Out)
  • Michael Woods II – Suspension (Out)
  • Jerome Ford – Hand (Questionable)
  • Dawand Jones – Knee (Out)
  • Drew Forbes – Illness (Out)
  • Juan Thornhill – Calf (Questionable)
  • Grant Delpit – Groin (Questionable)
  • Jacob Phillips – Pectoral (Out)
  • Jedrick Wills Jr. – Knee (Out)
  • Jordan Elliott – Concussion (Questionable)
  • Maurice Hurst II – Pectoral (Questionable)
  • Denzel Ward – Shoulder (Questionable)
  • Nick Chubb – Knee (Out)
  • Ethan Pocic – Shoulder (Questionable)
  • Jack Conklin – Knee (Out)
  • Deshaun Watson – Shoulder (Out)
  • Jakeem Grant Sr. – Knee (Out)
  • Rodney McLeod Jr. – Bicep (Out)
  • Ty Nsekhe – Bicep (Out)

Bears Offense Breakdown

Offensively, the Bears have an average of 20.8 points per game, which positions them 17th in the NFL.

Among the other teams in the league Chicago ranks 26th in the NFL for passing yards per game with an average of 186.2. Their passing yards per attempt, 6.1, places them 13th.

On the ground, the Bears have ran the ball an average of 31.2 times per game and are 4th in rushing yards. So far, they are averaging 4.4 yards per rushing attempt.

Browns Offense Breakdown

Coming into week 15, the Browns offense is 12th in the league at 22.2 points per contest.

Looking at their performance in the passing game so far, Cleveland is 23rd in passing yards per game, where they have an average of 195.4. Additionally, their passing yards per attempt of 5.3, places them 18th in the league.

On the ground, the Browns have ran the ball an average of 32.2 times per game and are 7th in rushing yards. So far, they are averaging 4 yards per rushing attempt.

Bears Team Defense

Going up against the Browns’ offense, the Bears defense has allowed an average of 23.8 points per game. So far this season, they are 18th in quarterback hits and have yielded an average of 314.5 yards per contest.

Browns Team Defense

Facing the Bears this week, the Browns defense has allowed an average of 20.9 points per game. They currently rank 9th in quarterback hits and have allowed an average of 263.0 yards per contest.

Bears vs Browns Trends

  • In their last five road games, Chicago has averaged 21 points per game while allowing 23. The team’s record in this stretch was 2-3 while going 4-1.
  • Through their last ten home contests, the Browns offense has averaged 22 points per game while allowing an average of 25. Cleveland posted an overall record of 4-6 while going 3-6-1 ATS.
  • Through their last three games as the underdog, the Bears have an ATS record of 3-0 and a straight up mark of 2-1.
  • Cleveland has done well both straight up and vs the spread when favored to win the game, going 3-0 SU and 3-0 ATS in their last three games.

Bears vs Browns Prediction

Chicago’s most recent game against Detroit saw them look on the defensive side of the ball. I see them as the best bet to cover the spread for this week, with the line at +3.5.

For this matchup, I’m going to be hammering the under, as our model has the Bears and Browns combining for 37 points. Right now the over/under line is sitting at 38, so I’d recommend getting some action on the under.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.